2024 Wyndham Championship – Betting Preview

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In the final PGA Tour event before the start of the FedExCup Playoffs, Sedgefield Country Club will play host to the Wyndham Championship. Located near Greensboro, North Carolina, Sedgefield has been a regular Tour stop since 2008. It is a Donald Ross-designed classical course with a storied history that was built during golf’s “Golden Age”.

The recently updated and preserved Sedgefield course provides a tactical challenge rarely found on Tour. It is a shorter course where finding the contoured fairways carries real worth. While scoring has remained low over the years, the narrow, tree-lined fairways, strategic routing and bunkering, and elevated tricky green complexes ensure that Sedgefield will continue to be a fair test of golf.

Bombers off the tee do not have that much of an advantage at Sedgefield, and most tend to avoid this event. Instead, the course favors accurate positional drivers of the ball who are positive with short-to-mid irons and wedges and who are consistent putters, especially on Bermuda greens. Recent past winners like Lucas Glover, Tom Kim, Kevin Kisner, J.T. Poston, Webb Simpson, and Si Woo Kim each exemplify these traits.

The Field

With many of the world’s best choosing to rest up and prepare for the three-week FedExCup Playoffs on their own, we will see another field lacking in star power. Brian Harman, Robert Macintyre, and Sungjae Im represent the only top-20 players in the world golf rankings in attendance.

There is, however, some quality depth this week with players like Shane Lowry, Keegan Bradley, Cameron Young, Denny McCarthy, Si Woo Kim, and Akshay Bhatia in the field. Motivation becomes a real intangible this time of year as many players will be trying to either qualify for the playoffs or better their position with this being the final event before the end of the season.

This is magnified even more so as only the top 70 in the FedExCup point standings will be eligible for the playoffs. Almost every player just outside the top 70 will be teeing it up this week including the likes of Victor Perez, Kurt Kitayama, Keith Mitchell, Nicolai Hojgaard, and last year’s winner, Lucas Glover.

Past Winners/Odds

Most Important Stats For Success at Sedgefield Country Club

*In order of importance

  • Fairways Gained
  • SG: Putting (Bermuda)
  • SG: Approach
  • SG: Par 4
  • Birdie or Better %
  • 3-Putt Avoidance
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • SG: Less Than Driver Courses
  • Good Drive % (Bermuda rough courses)
  • SG: Sedgefield CC

Key Rabbit Hole Filters

  • Course Region: Southeast
  • Course Length: Short
  • Par: 70
  • Field Size: Full Field
  • Course Architect: Donald Ross
  • Greens Surface: Bermuda
  • Green Speed: Fast
  • Rough Surface: Bermuda
  • OTT Club Type: Less Than Driver
  • Missed Fairway Penalty: High
  • Fairway Accuracy: Average
  • GIR Accuracy: Easy
  • Gain Approach: Very Easy
  • Scrambling (Rough): Difficult
  • Gain Putting: Difficult

Weather Forecast – Greensboro, NC

Wyndham Championship – Final Model

In each preview article and on Discord, I present my final model, which gives a detailed player ranking of the most important stats and splits for the week. My modeling is built around the PGA’s Strokes Gained data, which is divided into SG: Off the Tee (OTT), SG: Approach (APP), SG: Around the Green (ARG), and SG: Putting (P). Learn more about Strokes Gained and why it can be so useful in analyzing the past and predicting future performance. Many of these specific metrics and conditions can be found in “The Rabbit Hole“, with my final model exclusively published here and in the Discord for subscribers.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO0pumF3m1pRcqhHiB5pI_8dcHTKP4H9AHQCzeo1BDE/edit?usp=sharing

Outright Betting Selections

For the most up-to-date picks, check out my Twitter and subscribe to our Discord at BetspertsGolf.com.

*Lines accurate at the time of publication.

  • Akshay Bhatia +4000 (0.60u) – MGM
  • Aaron Rai +4000 (0.60u) – DK
  • Cam Davis +4500 (0.53u) – FD
  • JT Poston +7000 (0.34u) – Rivers
  • Eric Cole +7000 (0.34u) – FD
  • Denny McCarthy +7000 (0.34u) – FD
  • Ben Griffin +8000 (0.30u) – MGM
  • Taylor Moore +9000 (0.26u) – Rivers

Finishing Position Picks

Top 10

  • Sungjae Im +190 (1u) – DK

Top 20

  • SW Kim +140 (1u) – DK
  • Brian Harman +160 (1u) – DK
  • Billy Horschel +163 (1u) – Rivers

Top 30 – all Rivers

  • Aaron Rai +110 (1u)
  • Cam Young +110 (1u)
  • Akshay Bhatia +120 (1u)

Top 40 – all Rivers

  • Keegan Bradley +100 (1u)
  • Jordan Spieth +105 (1u)
  • Denny McCarthy +110 (1u)
  • Eric Cole +125 (1u)
  • JT Poston +125 (1u)
  • Ben Grifin +125 (1u)
  • Webb Simpson +220 (1u)

This article is intended for entertainment purposes and adult users only. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem.

Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images