2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship Round 4 Betting and Showdown Picks

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In what should be a drama-filled Sunday of golf, 16 players are within four shots of the lead. Tomorrow is very important, not only to determine the winner but also the final 70 players who will qualify for next week’s BMW Championship. TPC Southwind is a perfect setup for “chasers” because both birdies and double bogeys are in play on so many of the holes (especially on the back nine).

Similar to Saturday’s round, if you strongly believe (like I do) that the unsuspecting duo of J.J. Spaun and Sepp Straka will fade into the background as the pack chases them down, that means Will Zalatoris (+450) and Cam Smith (+400), both at 11-under are prepared to duke it out. And if we view the “leaders” at 11-under, that also means players like Sungjae Im (+2200), Sam Burns (+2000), Matt Fitzpatrick (+1600), Tony Finau (+1800), Joaquin Niemann (+6600), Joohyung Kim (+5000), Collin Morikawa (+4000), and even Jon Rahm (+8000) are within four shots of that number.

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With that perspective in mind, I do think (and with a 30-1 ticket, definitely hope) Zalatoris comes out on top, but this will be his toughest challenge yet with so many strong competitors in the mix. Out of the group of chasers listed above, I like Morikawa, Im, and Burns (in that order).

Weather Forecast – Memphis, TN

Round 4 Betting Matchups Model

*Strokes Gained Rating (SG RTG) is the key metric that combines all the weighted categories in the model. Some players (or matchups) may not be listed due to not having enough sample size data.