{"id":9637,"date":"2024-02-06T18:30:12","date_gmt":"2024-02-06T18:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&#038;p=9637"},"modified":"2024-02-06T18:38:01","modified_gmt":"2024-02-06T18:38:01","slug":"2024-waste-management-phoenix-open-betting-card-picks-and-preview","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/2024-waste-management-phoenix-open-betting-card-picks-and-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Card Picks and Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Waste Management Open, aka &#8220;The People&#8217;s Open,&#8221; has changed drastically over the years and now fits perfectly as the best Super Bowl pregame show on Sunday afternoon. With over 700,000 in attendance, its equal parts tailgate party, Mardi Gras vibes, and golf all rolled into one four-day weekend in the Arizona desert.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TPC Scottsdale is a pretty straightforward track, but the event has grown in gravitas each year. After being one of the Tour&#8217;s designated events in 2023, it&#8217;s sandwiched between Signature Events this year, which has brought the strength of the field down considerably, and that was prior to the Monday morning withdrawals of Viktor Hovland and Xander Schauffele.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We are back to normal tournament golf after three consecutive weeks of course rotations and pro-am setups. The No. 1 player in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) will be going for his third straight WM Phoenix Open victory at TPC Scottsdale. The last golfer to win three straight events on the PGA Tour was Steve Stricker at the John Deere Classic from 2009-11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"ast-oembed-container\" style=\"height: 100%;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"WMPO Betting Preview: Data-Driven Insights for TPC Scottdale\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Yil7cPDxb2Y?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a 7,266 yards par-71 track, a ball-strikers paradise at altitude. The final few holes at TPC Scottsdale make for an intriguing finish to each round, with risk-reward choices all over the back nine. A quick look at the most recent winners of this event shows a shift from a wide-open event to a place where the top of the board thrives. According to Data Golf, course history at TPC Scottsdale is the third-most predictive of any course on Tour, behind only Augusta National and Waialae CC, so previous success here should be considered, and at least, should be used as a tie-breaker if you&#8217;re considering two golfers close in price or in a matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Handicapping early-season events when we have less relevant form data than we do in the spring and summer is a bit more of a feel thing than I&#8217;d like it to be. I&#8217;d prefer to lean on as much data as possible, but we&#8217;re all in the same boat, so let&#8217;s work with what we have. For more course details, check out&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/PGASplits101\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Ron&#8217;s<\/a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/golf-betting\/waste-management-phoenix-open-at-tpc-scottsdale-2024-preview\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">course preview<\/a>. It&#8217;s the best in the business, bar none. Here&#8217;s an important tidbit about TPC Scottsdale:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Total Driving will be one of the key stats this week as 14 of the last 15 winners here ranked inside the top 55 in Total Driving on the PGA Tour in the season of their victory (with an average rank of 35th out of 188). When handicapping this week, it&#8217;s also important to remember that while many elite drivers of the ball have had great success here, shorter, more accurate ball-strikers like Webb Simpson, J.T. Poston, and Matt Kuchar also have high finishes at TPC Scottsdale.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Along with Total Driving, ball-striking is the name of the game here in Scottsdale. With firm greens in play this week leading to a 16% relative increase in average proximity to the hole, the ability to hit approach shots close for birdie looks is vital. Because of this, a high ball flight is much preferred, which adds to the importance of distance of the tee because it means having shorter lofted irons into greens on approach shots.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Overall, TPC Scottsdale ranks in the middle of the pack in strokes gained approach difficulty. Last year, 62% of all approaches came from 125-200 yards, which is well above average. Every other approach range falls below the Tour norm. Related to the importance of &#8220;second shots&#8221; this week, 14 of the last 16 winners ranked inside the top 40 in Ball Striking on the PGA Tour in the season of their victory. Scottie Scheffler gained 9.5 strokes on approach in his victory here last year.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">We have partnered with&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vividpicks.com\/promo\/betspertsgolf\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Vivid Picks<\/a>&nbsp;to bring you an easy way to claim a FREE, no-strings-attached 2024 season at Betsperts Golf, plus a 100% deposit match up to $250! Click&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/golf-betting\/free-2024-subscription-to-betsperts-golf-with-vivid-picks-deposit-and-play\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a>&nbsp;to learn more!<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>There are millions of ways to bet on this beautiful game, and my goal with this piece is to touch on the golfers I&#8217;m targeting this week. Remember to check out the&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/the-rabbit-hole\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Rabbit Hole<\/a>, our customizable stat database that can help you pair down your player pool each week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Please take advantage of the&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/discord.gg\/HujqSwCvwR\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Discord<\/a>&nbsp;feature and community. It&#8217;s the best way to get up-to-the-minute lines and advice, and if you need help getting started, please reach out. That&#8217;s where my full card will be posted, along with any live in-tournament bets. Betting markets are fluid, but I&#8217;ll note the best number available at the time of this writing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ryan Noonan&#8217;s 2024 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Card Picks and Preview<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":9638,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14],"bs_tags":[29,146],"class_list":["post-9637","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_tag-golf-betting","bs_tag-wm-phoenix-open"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/USATSI_22047793_168403787_lowres.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":29,"name":"Golf Betting","slug":"golf-betting"},{"id":146,"name":"WM Phoenix Open","slug":"wm-phoenix-open"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Ryan Noonan","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Ryan-Noonan-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"true","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/9637","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9638"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9637"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=9637"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=9637"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}