{"id":21440,"date":"2026-05-20T19:06:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T19:06:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&#038;p=21440"},"modified":"2026-05-20T19:06:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T19:06:09","slug":"cj-cup-byron-nelson-betting-preview","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/cj-cup-byron-nelson-betting-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"CJ CUP Byron Nelson &#8211; Betting Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>After last week\u2019s second major championship of the year, the PGA TOUR heads back to Texas for THE CJ CUP\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/byron-nelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/byron-nelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Byron Nelson<\/a><\/a><\/span>. Located within the community of Craig Ranch in the Dallas suburb of McKinney, Texas, TPC Craig Ranch is the host course for the sixth consecutive year. The event dates back to 1944 and has moved all over the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex in recent years, with both Trinity Forest and the TPC Four Seasons Resort courses also hosting.<\/p>\n<p>Featuring easy scoring conditions, few hazards, wide-open fairways, and large receptive greens, Craig Ranch is a prototypical TPC course. With an average winning score of 25-under par, it is a birdie-maker\u2019s paradise that inevitably boils down to a putting contest. Along with \u201cspike putting\u201d ability,\u00a0 approach play from 200+ yards will be a key \u201cseparator\u201d when determining golfers to target this week.<\/p>\n<p>The course is expected to play somewhat more challenging this year after undergoing an offseason renovation led by course designer and former pro\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/lanny-wadkins\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/lanny-wadkins\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Lanny Wadkins<\/a><\/a><\/span>. The overhaul included new grass turf, tighter fairways, the movement of bunkers, additional water features, native grasses and waste areas and revamped holes. Wadkins, who won the\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/byron-nelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/byron-nelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Byron Nelson<\/a><\/a><\/span>\u00a0in 1973, said he aimed to make the course more difficult for PGA Tour players while still keeping it enjoyable for club members. He hopes the redesign will lower winning scores closer to 12- to 15-under par.\u00a0Last year,\u00a0<a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a>\u00a0steamrolled the field, winning at 31-under par.<\/p>\n<h2>The Field<\/h2>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/HIY6Fwla8AANgLC?format=jpg&amp;name=small\" alt=\"CJ Cup &lt;a href=\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Traditionally, the\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/byron-nelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/byron-nelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Byron Nelson<\/a><\/a><\/span>\u00a0has had a relatively weak strength of field. That continues to be amplified this year with the tournament being in the midst of a six-week stretch that includes two \u201cSignature\u201d events and two majors.<\/p>\n<p>World No. 1\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a><\/span>\u00a0will defend without many of his top-ranked peers around to challenge. Fellow Dallas resident\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/si-woo-kim\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/si-woo-kim\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Si Woo Kim<\/a><\/a><\/span>, ranked No. 22, is the next highest-ranked player. Other notables include\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/jordan-spieth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/jordan-spieth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jordan Spieth<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Brooks Koepka<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/michael-thorbjornsen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/michael-thorbjornsen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Michael Thorbjornsen<\/a><\/a><\/span>, and <span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/wyndham-clark\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/wyndham-clark\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Wyndham Clark<\/a><\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>Also in the 147-player field are past champions\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/taylor-pendrith\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/taylor-pendrith\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Taylor Pendrith<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/k.h.-lee\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/k.h.-lee\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">K.H. Lee<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/aaron-wise\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/aaron-wise\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Aaron Wise<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0and\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/billy-horschel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/billy-horschel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Billy Horschel<\/a><\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n<h3>Most Important Stats For Success at TPC Craig Ranch<\/h3>\n<p><em>*In order of importance<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>SG: APP<\/li>\n<li>Birdie or Better %<\/li>\n<li>Proximity 200+<\/li>\n<li>SG: Putting (Bent)<\/li>\n<li>SG: Par 4<\/li>\n<li>SG: Par 5<\/li>\n<li>Driving Distance<\/li>\n<li>SG: Easy Scoring Conditions<\/li>\n<li>SG: Weak Field Events<\/li>\n<li>SG: Long Courses<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Key\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/the-rabbit-hole\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Rabbit Hole<\/a>\u00a0Filters<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Region: Texas<\/li>\n<li>Scoring Conditions: Very Easy<\/li>\n<li>Course Length: Long<\/li>\n<li>Field Strength: Weak<\/li>\n<li>Greens Surface: Bentgrass<\/li>\n<li>OTT Club: Driver Heavy<\/li>\n<li>Missed Fwy Penalty: Low<\/li>\n<li>Gain OTT\/APP\/ARG\/PUTT: Very Easy<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>CJ CUP <a href=\"\/golfer\/byron-nelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/byron-nelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Byron Nelson<\/a><\/a> \u2013 Final Model<\/h2>\n<p>In each preview article and on\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/3j0FuhF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">Discord<\/a>, I present my final model, which gives a detailed player ranking of the most important stats and splits for the week. My modeling is based on the PGA\u2019s Strokes Gained data, which is categorized into SG: Off the Tee (OTT), SG: Approach (APP), SG: Around the Green (ARG), and SG: Putting (P). Learn more about\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.pgatour.com\/news\/2016\/05\/31\/strokes-gained-defined.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">Strokes Gained<\/a>\u00a0and why it can be so useful in analyzing the past and predicting future performance. Many of these specific metrics and conditions can be found in \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/3viXUDP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">The Rabbit Hole<\/a>\u201c, with my final model exclusively published here and in the Discord for subscribers.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1NZ-ae050uCA_Egj6Vk0fNmauocl4DNo6W5cfp8mCM9M\/edit?gid=1098538257#gid=1098538257\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1NZ-ae050uCA_Egj6Vk0fNmauocl4DNo6W5cfp8mCM9M\/edit?gid=1098538257#gid=1098538257<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21441\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142130.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1597\" height=\"952\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142130.jpg 1597w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142130-300x179.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142130-1024x610.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142130-768x458.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142130-1536x916.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1597px) 100vw, 1597px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21442\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142542.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1596\" height=\"952\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142542.jpg 1596w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142542-300x179.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142542-1024x611.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142542-768x458.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142542-1536x916.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1596px) 100vw, 1596px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21443\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142625.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1596\" height=\"953\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142625.jpg 1596w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142625-300x179.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142625-1024x611.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142625-768x459.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142625-1536x917.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1596px) 100vw, 1596px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21444\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142653.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1594\" height=\"680\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142653.jpg 1594w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142653-300x128.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142653-1024x437.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142653-768x328.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-20-142653-1536x655.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1594px) 100vw, 1594px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"outright-betting-selections\">Outright Betting Selections<\/h2>\n<p><em>For the most up-to-date picks, check out my\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PGASplits101\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0and subscribe to our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/discord.gg\/HujqSwCvwR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">Discord<\/a>\u00a0at BetspertsGolf.com.<\/em><\/p>\n<h4>Without Scheffler<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Hisatsune +3300 (0.72u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Clark +4000 (0.60u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Jaeger +5000 (0.48u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Greyserman +5000 (0.48u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Brennan +5000 (0.48u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Schmid +6600 (0.36u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Brown +8400 (0.28u) &#8211; DK<\/li>\n<li>Finau +10000 (0.24u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Hoge +21000 (0.11u) &#8211; DK<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>This article is intended for entertainment purposes and adult users only. Call\u00a0<a href=\"tel:1-800-GAMBLER\">1-800-GAMBLER<\/a>\u00a0if you have a gambling problem.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Photo by Sam Greenwood\/Getty Images<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/DK_DFS_GOLF_PGA_ValuePropAssets_TP_Static_1920x1080_WinningStories-1024x576.png\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":21445,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14],"bs_tags":[113,29],"class_list":["post-21440","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_tag-att-byron-nelson","bs_tag-golf-betting"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/gettyimages-2160762824-612x612-1.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":113,"name":"Byron Nelson","slug":"att-byron-nelson"},{"id":29,"name":"Golf Betting","slug":"golf-betting"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Ron Klos","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Ron-Klos-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/21440","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21445"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21440"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=21440"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=21440"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}