{"id":17718,"date":"2026-05-13T16:01:13","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T16:01:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&p=17718"},"modified":"2026-05-13T16:01:13","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T16:01:13","slug":"2026-pga-championship-one-and-done-picks-major-math-at-aronimink","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/2026-pga-championship-one-and-done-picks-major-math-at-aronimink\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 PGA Championship One and Done Picks: Major Math at Aronimink"},"content":{"rendered":"

The second major of the season heads to Aronimink, and the one and done calculus shifts hard from the past two weeks. Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a> is back in the field as the defending champion. The field bloats to 156. The cut returns after 36 holes.\u00a0 The purse?\u00a0 Not announced, but should be somewhere in the $20 million range.<\/p>\n

Not a Betsperts Golf member yet? Use promo code BSG26<\/strong> at checkout for 25 percent off any plan.<\/p>\n

Why This Week Plays Differently<\/h2>\n

Aronimink is a Donald Ross design that Gil Hanse restored, and it last hosted PGA Tour golf at the 2018 BMW Championship (Keegan Bradley<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/span> beat Justin Rose<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/span> in a playoff). The fairways are pinched down to roughly 32 yards at the landing zones, the rough is grown to 3.5 to 4 inches, and the greens are an average 8,200 square feet with stimp readings of 12.5 to 13.<\/p>\n

Some data worth looking into this week:<\/p>\n

Approach Play<\/h2>\n

This is the headline stat for the week. Strokes Gained: Approach on long, demanding courses over the past six months is the cleanest separator. I pulled six months of approach data and sorted by tough fields.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Wedge Proximity<\/h2>\n

Plenty of scoring opportunities from short range on the front nine that may help separate the wheat from the chaff here. The players at the top of this list also tend to handle Donald Ross courses historically.\u00a0 Last six months, sorted by overall proximity from 100-150.<\/p>\n

\"one<\/p>\n

Comp Course History<\/h2>\n

With no recent course history available for most of the field, the Hanse-restored Donald Ross profile points us toward similar venues. Oak Hill, Southern Hills, East Lake, and Philadelphia Cricket Club\u2019s Wissahickon are the cleanest comps. Pulling out who handles these tracks well is the move.\u00a0 I loaded up the comp courses in the Rabbit Hole and looked at SG: TOT over the past 18 months.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

One and Done Targets<\/h2>\n

Major math is different from a signature event. You want a name that fits the course, can survive the cut, and has a real path to lifting the trophy on Sunday. That tends to thin the list fast.<\/p>\n

We’re also getting to the part of the season where your standings start to drive decisions.\u00a0 Also, what’s left in your bag for the stretch run?\u00a0 It’s boring, but the top three names are all great plays at any spot where the purse is this big.\u00a0 If you do need to get weird, there are some viable options though!<\/p>\n

The Short List<\/h3>\n

Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n

Rory McIlroy<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n

Cameron Young<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n

Collin Morikawa<\/a><\/a>: He’s hurt!\u00a0 Maybe that keeps his ownership down and let’s you sneak out a low-owned T10?<\/p>\n

Sepp Straka<\/a><\/a>: Won at Philly Cricket last year and should have a fairly high floor at a course like this.<\/p>\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2013<\/p>\n

For more golf content, course breakdowns, and one-and-done help on every tournament, visit betspertsgolf.com and apply code BSG26<\/strong> for 25 percent off any plan.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2026 PGA Championship one and done picks for Aronimink. Scheffler defends, Rory chases the Slam, and the short list is tighter than you think.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":14793,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14,15],"bs_tags":[114],"class_list":["post-17718","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_type-fantasy","bs_tag-pga-championship"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/gettyimages-2162139177-612x612-1.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":114,"name":"PGA Championship","slug":"pga-championship"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"},{"id":15,"name":"Fantasy"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Andy Molitor","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Andy-Molitor-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/17718","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14793"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17718"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=17718"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=17718"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}