{"id":17707,"date":"2026-05-11T13:41:04","date_gmt":"2026-05-11T13:41:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&#038;p=17707"},"modified":"2026-05-11T13:41:04","modified_gmt":"2026-05-11T13:41:04","slug":"pat-mayos-2026-pga-championship-picks-preview-rankings-fantasy-golf-picks","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/pat-mayos-2026-pga-championship-picks-preview-rankings-fantasy-golf-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Pat Mayo&#8217;s 2026 PGA Championship Picks, Preview, Rankings | Fantasy Golf Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\">2026 PGA Championship Picks<\/h2>\n<p>Mayo and Ryan Noonan take a deep dive into <a href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/mayo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">tournament and player stats with the Rabbit Hole Tool from Betsperts Golf<\/a>, making early 2026 PGA Championship Picks, highlighting stats that matter inside the model, and previewing the course at Aronimink GC. Plus, research on <a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a>, <a href=\"\/golfer\/rory-mcilroy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/rory-mcilroy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rory McIlroy<\/a><\/a>, <a href=\"\/golfer\/bryson-dechambeau\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/bryson-dechambeau\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bryson DeChambeau<\/a><\/a>, Cam Young, <a href=\"\/golfer\/matt-fitzpatrick\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/matt-fitzpatrick\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Matt Fitzpatrick<\/a><\/a>, <a href=\"\/golfer\/collin-morikawa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/collin-morikawa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Collin Morikawa<\/a><\/a>, <a href=\"\/golfer\/rickie-fowler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/rickie-fowler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rickie Fowler<\/a><\/a>, and the entire field heading into the second major championship of the golf season.<\/p>\n<h4><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/-wnq7m3zcAc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">WATCH: PGA Championship Picks, Research, Sleepers, Aronimink Course Preview<\/a><\/h4>\n<h3>2026 PGA Championship Field<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Field: 156 Players<\/li>\n<li>Cut: Top 70 &amp; Ties<\/li>\n<li>Begins: Thursday, May 14<\/li>\n<li>Defending Champion: <a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4 data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\"><a href=\"https:\/\/mayomedia.substack.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><strong>SUB TO FREE PME NEWSLETTER TO GET ALL ARTICLES AND CHEATSHEETS EARLY + EXTRA INFO &amp; BREAKING NEWS<\/strong><\/a><\/h4>\n<p>Between the monotony of Signature Events and the constant chatter about the dissolution of LIV, the life has been sucked out of the year\u2019s second Major. Which sucks, because it shouldn\u2019t be that way.<\/p>\n<p>Scottie is returning to form, Cam Young is on a generational heater, the Fitzpatrick brothers loom, Rory is coasting off Augusta good vibes, Bryson and Rahm loom from LIV, while Xander and Fleetwood are close but struggling to put four rounds together. Couple in the PGA Championship delivering the most packed Sunday leaderboards over the last decade, and this should be a BANGER of a Major. Plus, Aronimink is the classic style, Northeast course I\u2019m a slut for. I\u2019m excited. And I\u2019ll try and get you PUMPED too.<\/p>\n<p>Gil Hanse\u2019s Aronimink restoration got the course back closer to the original Donald Ross design. It started in 2016, through 2017, and was completed by the time of the 2018 BMW Championship. The largest change was the strategic bunkering. Diagonal fairway bunkers and cross bunkers were brought back into play during the Hanse restoration. Almost 75 bunkers were added during that restoration, with the total on the property now sitting at 174.<\/p>\n<p>Since players are even longer now than they were almost 10 years ago, yardage has been added to a handful of holes to ensure these bunkers create decisions for the field off the tee. Overall, about 100 yards have been added to Aronimink since the 2018 event.<\/p>\n<p>While it shouldn\u2019t be surprising, <a href=\"\/golfer\/tiger-woods\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/tiger-woods\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tiger Woods<\/a><\/a> and <a href=\"\/golfer\/phil-mickelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/phil-mickelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Phil Mickelson<\/a><\/a> are already OUT of the PGA Championship. The biggest name with a question mark currently is <a href=\"\/golfer\/jake-knapp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/jake-knapp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jake Knapp<\/a><\/a>. In the midst of a career year, Knapp has withdrawn from each of the past two tournaments before they started with a hand injury. Sources tell me he\u2019s going to be out this week, too, but there\u2019s always a chance he attempts to give it a go. Wouldn\u2019t trust him either way. <a href=\"\/golfer\/marco-penge\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/marco-penge\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Marco Penge<\/a><\/a> and The Chairman, <a href=\"\/golfer\/william-mouw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/william-mouw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">William Mouw<\/a><\/a>, were both WD from the Myrtle Beach Classic last week, too. Both are expected to play at Aronimink.<\/p>\n<h3>2026 PGA Championship Pool<\/h3>\n<p>The PME Picks Pool IS BACK!!!!!! Five picks, $15 Salary Cap, $20 to play, $2000 to first. Choose wisely\u2026<\/p>\n<h4><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fanball.com\/contests\/pga\/OzHbngL\/enter\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">PLAY IN $20 ($2K TO 1st) PME PICKS POOL<\/a><\/h4>\n<div class=\"captioned-image-container\">\n<figure>\n<div class=\"image2-inset\">\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"sizing-normal aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!qVv2!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a0dc990-b88e-4cc1-b107-a1ddb5ae3ec8_2342x1346.png\" alt=\"2026 PGA Championship Picks\" width=\"1456\" height=\"837\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/0a0dc990-b88e-4cc1-b107-a1ddb5ae3ec8_2342x1346.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:837,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1589258,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/mayomedia.substack.com\/i\/197116684?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a0dc990-b88e-4cc1-b107-a1ddb5ae3ec8_2342x1346.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" \/><\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<h3>2026 PGA Championship Key Stats<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Strokes Gained: Approach<\/li>\n<li>Distance from Edge of the Fairway<\/li>\n<li>Par 3s Gained: 200+ Yards<\/li>\n<li>SG: Major Championships<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><a href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/Mayo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Mayo\u2019s Key Stat Rankings Powered by the Rabbit Hole at Betsperts Golf<\/a><\/h4>\n<div class=\"captioned-image-container\">\n<figure>\n<div class=\"image2-inset\">\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"sizing-normal alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!IE07!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F950b9391-e787-4ce8-b495-96bbd751293b_632x1012.png\" alt=\"2026 PGA Championship Picks\" width=\"632\" height=\"1012\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/950b9391-e787-4ce8-b495-96bbd751293b_632x1012.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1012,&quot;width&quot;:632,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:126714,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/mayomedia.substack.com\/i\/197116684?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F950b9391-e787-4ce8-b495-96bbd751293b_632x1012.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" \/><\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<h3>2026 PGA Championship Course<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Course: Aronimink GC<\/li>\n<li>Yardage: 7,394<\/li>\n<li>Par: 70<\/li>\n<li>Greens: Bentgrass<\/li>\n<li>Average Green Size: 8,300 sq. ft.<\/li>\n<li>Number of Sand Bunkers: 174<\/li>\n<li>Number of Holes Water is in Play: 3<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Par 3\u2019s (4) Average Distance &#8211; 215 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>1 under 200 yards<\/li>\n<li>1 200-225 Yards<\/li>\n<li>2 225+ Yards<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The 3 long ones are 3 of the 4 toughest holes on property (two on the back-9)<\/p>\n<p>#8 has a 28.9% bogey rate (no other hole has a bogey rate of 21% or higher)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Par 4\u2019s (12): Average Distance &#8211; 448 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>1 under 400 yards<\/li>\n<li>4 400-450 yards<\/li>\n<li>5 450-500 yards<\/li>\n<li>1 500+ yards<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The two toughest Par 4\u2019s both come on the back-9 (Hole 10 has a 5.5% double-or-worse rate next to just a 9.8% under par rate)<\/p>\n<p>Five Par 4\u2019s have a sub-15% under par rate<\/p>\n<p><strong>Par 5\u2019s (2): Average Distance &#8211; 580 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The two easiest holes on the course, with #16 virtually a must get (49.3% go under par with just 4.9% carding six or worse)<\/p>\n<p>The long #9 gets scored on, but there is some variance with a 10.6% over par rate and an eagle rate (1.2%) that is less than half of #16<\/p>\n<h3>2026 PGA Championship H2H Picks Contest<\/h3>\n<p>If you\u2019re in Canada (Outside Ontario), make sure you\u2019re logging into Coolbet each round to submit your round predictions in the PME Picks Contest. And, it\u2019s FREE TO PLAY!!!!!<\/p>\n<p>The game is straightforward: they\u2019ve set up head-to-head matchups, and you just need to predict the exact score for both golfers. For example, if you put down <a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a> for a 69 and <a href=\"\/golfer\/rory-mcilroy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/rory-mcilroy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rory McIlroy<\/a><\/a> for a 68, Rory is your predicted winner.<\/p>\n<p>You\u2019ll rack up 10 points if you nail the winner and both exact scores. You get 6 points for the winner plus one score, or 3 points just for picking the winner. And don&#8217;t worry\u2014 if your golfer loses but you still nailed their exact stroke count, you still walk away with 1 point. There will be new matchups before the start of every round.<\/p>\n<p>Most points by Sunday\u2019s final putt wins the Grand Prize.<\/p>\n<h4><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coolbet.com\/ca\/league\/264\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">PLAY IN THE FREE COOLBET PME H2H PICKS CONTEST<\/a><\/h4>\n<div class=\"captioned-image-container\">\n<figure>\n<div class=\"image2-inset\">\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"sizing-normal aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!b6i2!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4320f110-460d-47ba-9e67-941573fdce8a_1158x1252.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1158\" height=\"1252\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/4320f110-460d-47ba-9e67-941573fdce8a_1158x1252.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1252,&quot;width&quot;:1158,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:416325,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/mayomedia.substack.com\/i\/197116684?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4320f110-460d-47ba-9e67-941573fdce8a_1158x1252.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" \/><\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<h3>2026 PGA Championship Past Winners<\/h3>\n<p>PAST WINNERS<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>2025: <a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a> -11 (Quail Hollow)<\/li>\n<li>2024: <a href=\"\/golfer\/xander-schauffele\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/xander-schauffele\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Xander Schauffele<\/a><\/a> -21 (Valhalla)<\/li>\n<li>2023: <a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Brooks Koepka<\/a><\/a> -9 (Oak Hill)<\/li>\n<li>2022: <a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-thomas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-thomas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Justin Thomas<\/a><\/a> -5 (Southern Hills)<\/li>\n<li>2021: <a href=\"\/golfer\/phil-mickelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/phil-mickelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Phil Mickelson<\/a><\/a> -6 (Kiawah Island)<\/li>\n<li>2020: <a href=\"\/golfer\/collin-morikawa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/collin-morikawa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Collin Morikawa<\/a><\/a> -13 (TPC Harding Park)<\/li>\n<li>2019: <a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Brooks Koepka<\/a><\/a> -8 (Bethpage)<\/li>\n<li>2018: <a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Brooks Koepka<\/a><\/a> -16 (Bellerive)<\/li>\n<li>2017: <a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-thomas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-thomas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Justin Thomas<\/a><\/a> -8 (Quail Hollow)<\/li>\n<li>2016: <a href=\"\/golfer\/jimmy-walker\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/jimmy-walker\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jimmy Walker<\/a><\/a> -14 (Baltusrol)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>PAST WINNER DETAIL<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>2025: <a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a> (co-favorite with Rory at +450) beats <a href=\"\/golfer\/bryson-dechambeau\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/bryson-dechambeau\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bryson DeChambeau<\/a><\/a>, <a href=\"\/golfer\/davis-riley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/davis-riley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Davis Riley<\/a><\/a>, and <a href=\"\/golfer\/harris-english\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/harris-english\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Harris English<\/a><\/a> by 5<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bunched leaderboard behind Scottie (16 in total finished with a share of 8<sup>th<\/sup> place or better)<\/p>\n<p>13 of the top 16 finishers gained strokes putting from 5-10 feet (3 of the top 6 were a negative from 10-15 feet \u2013 including Scheffler)<\/p>\n<p>&gt;&gt; Scheffler led in with a win at the CJ Cup as a part of 4 straight top-10\u2019s prior (4<sup>th<\/sup> at The Masters)<\/p>\n<p><strong>2024: <a href=\"\/golfer\/xander-schauffele\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/xander-schauffele\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Xander Schauffele<\/a><\/a> (+1400, T-3 on the odds board) beats <a href=\"\/golfer\/bryson-dechambeau\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/bryson-dechambeau\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bryson DeChambeau<\/a><\/a> by 1<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>4 of the 6 best ARG golfers for the week cashed top-10 paychecks (Cam Smith and <a href=\"\/golfer\/hideki-matsuyama\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/hideki-matsuyama\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hideki Matsuyama<\/a><\/a> were the exceptions: that\u2019ll happen when you bleed strokes both OTT and APP in a big boy event)<\/p>\n<p>&gt;&gt; Schauffele led in with a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> place at Wells Fargo (his 4<sup>th<\/sup> top-10 in the 5 events prior, including an 8<sup>th<\/sup> at The Masters)<\/p>\n<p><strong>2023: <a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Brooks Koepka<\/a><\/a> (+2000, T-6 on the odds board) beats <a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a> and <a href=\"\/golfer\/viktor-hovland\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/viktor-hovland\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Viktor Hovland<\/a><\/a> by 2<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Finishing position for the top APP golfers of the week: 2<sup>nd<\/sup>-7<sup>th<\/sup>-4<sup>th<\/sup>-7<sup>th<\/sup>-1<sup>st<\/sup>-2<sup>nd<\/sup><\/p>\n<p>&gt;&gt;Finished 2<sup>nd<\/sup> at the Masters<\/p>\n<p><strong>2022: <a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-thomas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-thomas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Justin Thomas<\/a><\/a> (+1600, T-3 on the odds board) beats <a href=\"\/golfer\/will-zalatoris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/will-zalatoris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Will Zalatoris<\/a><\/a> in a playoff<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>7 of the top 8 finishers gained Distance \u2026 Thomas and Zalatoris both lost Fairways<\/p>\n<p>&gt;&gt;Thomas led in with a 5<sup>th<\/sup> place at <a href=\"\/golfer\/byron-nelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/byron-nelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Byron Nelson<\/a><\/a> (8<sup>th<\/sup> at The Masters)<\/p>\n<p><strong>2021: <a href=\"\/golfer\/phil-mickelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/phil-mickelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Phil Mickelson<\/a><\/a> (+25000, priced the same as <a href=\"\/golfer\/branden-grace\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/branden-grace\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Branden Grace<\/a><\/a> and behind KH Lee) beats <a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Brooks Koepka<\/a><\/a> and <a href=\"\/golfer\/louis-oosthuizen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/louis-oosthuizen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Louis Oosthuizen<\/a><\/a> by 2<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>6 gained 5+ strokes ARG, and 4 of them cashed top-10 paychecks<\/p>\n<p>&gt;&gt;69<sup>th<\/sup> at Wells Fargo prior, 21<sup>st<\/sup> at The Masters (outlier across the board)<\/p>\n<p><strong>ARONIMINK HISTORY<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>2018: <a href=\"\/golfer\/keegan-bradley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/keegan-bradley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Keegan Bradley<\/a><\/a> -20<\/li>\n<li>2011: <a href=\"\/golfer\/nick-watney\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/nick-watney\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nick Watney<\/a><\/a> -13<\/li>\n<li>2010: <a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-rose\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-rose\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Justin Rose<\/a><\/a> -10<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>2018 BMW Championship (Aronimink GC): <a href=\"\/golfer\/keegan-bradley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/keegan-bradley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Keegan Bradley<\/a><\/a> <\/strong>-20 (beats <a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-rose\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-rose\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Justin Rose<\/a><\/a> in a playoff with Schauffele and Horschel one shot outside of the playoff)<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Finishing position of the top putters for the week (starting with the best putt): 1<sup>st<\/sup>-3<sup>rd<\/sup>-8<sup>th<\/sup>-41<sup>st <\/sup>(shoutout <a href=\"\/golfer\/rafa-cabrera-bello\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/rafa-cabrera-bello\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rafa Cabrera Bello<\/a><\/a>!)-6<sup>th<\/sup>-8<sup>th<\/sup>-12<sup>th<\/sup>-2<sup>nd<\/sup>-3<sup>rd<\/sup>-8<sup>th<\/sup><\/li>\n<li>3 of the top-7 finishers and 5 of the top-14 actually lost strokes off the tee<\/li>\n<li>The top-7 finishers all gained Prox:200+ (Bradley and Rose both lost strokes Prox125-150 and 150-175)<\/li>\n<li>Finishing position of the top 4 in Par 3 scoring for the week: 3<sup>rd<\/sup>-24<sup>th<\/sup>-2<sup>nd<\/sup>-3rd<\/li>\n<li>11 of the top 14 on the final leaderboard were better than the field at avoiding left misses off the tee<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>PGA Championship FIRST ROUND LEADERS<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2025<br \/>\n64 \u2013 Jhonny Vegas (PM)<\/p>\n<p>2024<br \/>\n62 \u2013 <a href=\"\/golfer\/xander-schauffele\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/xander-schauffele\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Xander Schauffele<\/a><\/a> (AM)<\/p>\n<p>3-clear of anyone else<\/p>\n<p>2023<br \/>\n66 \u2013 <a href=\"\/golfer\/bryson-dechambeau\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/bryson-dechambeau\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bryson DeChambeau<\/a><\/a> (AM)<\/p>\n<p>2022<br \/>\n65 \u2013 <a href=\"\/golfer\/rory-mcilroy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/rory-mcilroy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rory McIlroy<\/a><\/a> (AM)<\/p>\n<p>2021<\/p>\n<p>67 \u2013 <a href=\"\/golfer\/corey-conners\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/corey-conners\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Corey Conners<\/a><\/a> (PM)<\/p>\n<p>2 clear of six golfers at 69 (Conners shot a 75 on Friday \u2026 six of the seven who shot 69 or better on Thursday fired 75 or worse on Friday with <a href=\"\/golfer\/sam-horsfield\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/sam-horsfield\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sam Horsfield<\/a><\/a> carding an 80)<\/p>\n<h3>2026 PGA Championship Trends<\/h3>\n<p>10 straight years with an American champion (2015 <a href=\"\/golfer\/jason-day\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/jason-day\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jason Day<\/a><\/a>)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/golfer\/phil-mickelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/phil-mickelson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Phil Mickelson<\/a><\/a> and <a href=\"\/golfer\/collin-morikawa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/collin-morikawa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Collin Morikawa<\/a><\/a> were exceptions on either side, but 6 of the past 8 PGA Champions won the event at age 28-33 with four in that 28-29 bucket)<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Currently 28: <a href=\"\/golfer\/viktor-hovland\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/viktor-hovland\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Viktor Hovland<\/a><\/a>, <a href=\"\/golfer\/matt-mccarty\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/matt-mccarty\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Matt McCarty<\/a><\/a>, Kris Reitan, <a href=\"\/golfer\/marco-penge\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/marco-penge\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Marco Penge<\/a><\/a> turns 28 on May 15 (Round 2!)<\/li>\n<li>Currently 29: <a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a>, <a href=\"\/golfer\/cameron-young\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/cameron-young\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Cameron Young<\/a><\/a>, <a href=\"\/golfer\/collin-morikawa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/collin-morikawa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Collin Morikawa<\/a><\/a>, <a href=\"\/golfer\/robert-macintyre\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/robert-macintyre\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Robert MacIntyre<\/a><\/a>, <a href=\"\/golfer\/sam-burns\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/sam-burns\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sam Burns<\/a><\/a>, <a href=\"\/golfer\/sam-stevens\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/sam-stevens\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sam Stevens<\/a><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a> in 2025 is the only one over the past decade to win by more than 2 strokes.<\/p>\n<p>*Importance of Moving Day in 2025<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Scheffler carded a 65, the best round of the day<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"\/golfer\/davis-riley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/davis-riley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Davis Riley<\/a><\/a> carded a 67, his best round of the week (finishes T-2)<\/li>\n<li>JT Poston and <a href=\"\/golfer\/keegan-bradley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/keegan-bradley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Keegan Bradley<\/a><\/a> tie their best rounds of the week (68) and finish top-10<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>2026 PGA Championship CONTENT<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/g9j9ayztjDg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><strong>PGA Championship DraftKings Picks: Millionaire Maker Picks, Lineup Builds, Ownership &amp; Pricing<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/dINZk-B3PaI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><strong>PGA Championship Preview | Player Rankings, Tier List &amp; Mid-Season PGA Awards<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>2026 PGA Championship Notes<\/h3>\n<p>The final hole has been stretched longer than the rest and now plays 490 yards.<\/p>\n<p>Expect lengthy rough and green-speed conditioning aimed at making Aronimink firmer and more penal than past tournaments. There\u2019s an issue with that, however. It\u2019s May. In the Northeast. It\u2019s not like the region has been on a hot and dry bender. This was a similar problem last year at the Philadelphia Cricket Club when it subbed in for the Truist Championship at exactly the same time of year. While still difficult, the teeth of the course were numbed with Novocaine. The fescue hadn\u2019t fully grown in, making errant shots far less penal, and the green speeds simply couldn\u2019t get fast enough.<\/p>\n<p>This will likely be a similar issue with Aronimink. While it certainly won\u2019t play slow, achieving the firm conditions to make this a truly difficult test may simply not be possible. Especially based on the early forecast.<\/p>\n<p>Temperatures are going to hang from 50-65 most of the week and aren\u2019t expected to breach 70 until Saturday afternoon. That\u2019s along with cloudy conditions and a touch of rain. Not conducive to firm and fast golf courses.<\/p>\n<div class=\"captioned-image-container\">\n<figure>\n<div class=\"image2-inset\">\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"sizing-normal aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!DXHB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb72d99e-4d00-4d12-a132-ff5f22cfb230_1862x480.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1456\" height=\"375\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/cb72d99e-4d00-4d12-a132-ff5f22cfb230_1862x480.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:375,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:145038,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/mayomedia.substack.com\/i\/197116684?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb72d99e-4d00-4d12-a132-ff5f22cfb230_1862x480.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" \/><\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"captioned-image-container\">\n<figure>\n<div class=\"image2-inset\">\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"sizing-normal aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!jxoO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa8eee207-3fa4-4d43-8d54-e7b664a7f19a_1862x494.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1456\" height=\"386\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/a8eee207-3fa4-4d43-8d54-e7b664a7f19a_1862x494.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:386,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:149328,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/mayomedia.substack.com\/i\/197116684?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa8eee207-3fa4-4d43-8d54-e7b664a7f19a_1862x494.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" \/><\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Anticipate the rough being quite penal to compensate, and colder, damp conditions will only make it tougher. And, as someone who has been playing Northeast golf the past few weeks, 65 degrees in the wind when the sun is behind clouds feels frigid.<\/p>\n<p>While bombers have been the skeleton key at PGA Championships the past decade, a combination of accuracy and elite iron play is likely to take the forefront this week, much like we saw at Oakmont for last year\u2019s US Open. Although no one thinks it will be remotely as difficult as Oakmont. This doesn\u2019t mean bombers won\u2019t play here; it simply means the bomb-and-gouge method may not be the correct strategy. Bombers like <a href=\"\/golfer\/rory-mcilroy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/rory-mcilroy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rory McIlroy<\/a><\/a> can\u2019t simply hit woods off the tee and vastly improve their accuracy while still sitting at a similar distance to the <a href=\"\/golfer\/russell-henley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/russell-henley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Russell Henley<\/a><\/a>s of the world. Fairways are going to be imperative because of the green complexes.<\/p>\n<p>While they likely won\u2019t come into the same zip code in terms of speed, the putting surfaces at Aronimink are constructed like Augusta National. They are massive and heavily tiered, with each green having separate quadrants that will repel approach shots and out-of-position chips. From the fairway, players can control their spin. Not so much from the thick rough. And unlike last year at Quail Hollow or at Southern Hills in 2022, there are fewer shaved, run-off areas green side; and when there are, they generally just filter into the thick grass. Without the ability to control spin from those shots, it could lead to significant rollout if the weight isn\u2019t correct. Like a lot of Donald Ross courses, the majority of the greens slope from back to front. Expect the short game to resemble the 2023 PGA Championship at Oak Hill (<a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Brooks Koepka<\/a><\/a> won), which was also a Ross design.<\/p>\n<p>If we focus on just distance and accuracy (I\u2019m using \u201cAverage Distance from Edge of the Fairway\u201d as the stat instead of driving accuracy), along with approach, here are the top players in just those three categories.<\/p>\n<div class=\"captioned-image-container\">\n<figure>\n<div class=\"image2-inset\">\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"sizing-normal aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!t5cu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d48279e-126c-45a4-a487-86e7fcc743cb_2030x1004.png\" alt=\"2026 PGA Championship Picks\" width=\"1456\" height=\"720\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/0d48279e-126c-45a4-a487-86e7fcc743cb_2030x1004.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:720,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:214390,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/mayomedia.substack.com\/i\/197116684?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d48279e-126c-45a4-a487-86e7fcc743cb_2030x1004.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" \/><\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p><span style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\">Now, this hasn\u2019t been adjusted for difficult conditions, the strength of the field, and only takes stats from 2026, hence why it\u2019s different than the actual PGA Championship POWER RANKINGS, but this is a different look at the type of player that\u00a0<em>could<\/em> excel this week.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>And, if you shrink the sample down to just the start of the Florida Swing, you get a few different names rising up the rankings\u2026<\/p>\n<div class=\"captioned-image-container\">\n<figure>\n<div class=\"image2-inset\">\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"sizing-normal aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!Ltj8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F199784f0-4f2d-4e03-aeca-34194a699ca7_2066x1014.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1456\" height=\"715\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/199784f0-4f2d-4e03-aeca-34194a699ca7_2066x1014.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:715,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:217782,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/mayomedia.substack.com\/i\/197116684?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F199784f0-4f2d-4e03-aeca-34194a699ca7_2066x1014.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" \/><\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"\/golfer\/j.j.-spaun\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/j.j.-spaun\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">J.J. Spaun<\/a><\/a>, eh? He did win a Major in Pennsylvania less than 12 months ago.<\/p>\n<p>Obviously, you can manipulate the data any way you like when you use the Rabbit Hole. Code \u201cMAYO\u201d gets you 25% off any subscription level and gets you access to all the projections, simulations, discord, etc; and I\u2019ll draw one person who signs up with code \u201cMAYO\u201d this week to get a FREE sub for a year!<\/p>\n<h4><a href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/Mayo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Use code \u201cMAYO\u201d at the Rabbit Hole for 25% OFF<\/a><\/h4>\n<p>The course has the ability to bogey the field to death, but based on the expected conditions, players who are hitting fairways, get locked in with irons, and roll a hot putter should find themselves well into the double digits below par.<\/p>\n<h3>2026 PGA Championship Picks<\/h3>\n<p><strong><em><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a><\/em><\/strong> \u2014 I can\u2019t think of a course that overemphasizes Scheffler\u2019s skills while detracting from many of the elite skills of his closest peers. Unless <a href=\"\/golfer\/cameron-young\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/cameron-young\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Cameron Young<\/a><\/a> is simply inevitable, of course. The knock all year on Scottie has been his irons. During the first few months of the season, Scheffler was over a shot per round worse on approach than he\u2019d been at any point over the last three years. Whatever clicked at The Masters in the third round has gotten him almost all the way back. He\u2019s lost on approach in just one round since (Round 4 at Heritage), which has led to three consecutive runner-up finishes. Because of the setup, there\u2019s room for an accuracy\/irons maven like Fleetwood, Henley, or Si Woo to challenge for a victory. The problem is, Scheffler is the most evolved form of that type of player.<\/p>\n<div class=\"captioned-image-container\">\n<figure>\n<div class=\"image2-inset\">\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"sizing-normal aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!0h4d!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97b07ba9-0ad8-4a69-8f9f-6887e1050f42_2160x868.png\" alt=\"2026 PGA Championship Picks\" width=\"1456\" height=\"585\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/97b07ba9-0ad8-4a69-8f9f-6887e1050f42_2160x868.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:585,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:220162,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/mayomedia.substack.com\/i\/197116684?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97b07ba9-0ad8-4a69-8f9f-6887e1050f42_2160x868.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" \/><\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mayo and Ryan Noonan take a deep dive into tournament and player stats with the Rabbit Hole Tool from Betsperts Golf making early 2026 PGA Championship Picks, highlighting stats that matter inside the model, and previewing the course at Aronimink GC. Plus, a research on Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Bryson DeChambeau, Cam Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, Collin Morikawa, Rickie Fowler and the entire field heading into the second major championship of the golf season.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":15163,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14,15],"bs_tags":[29,73,114],"class_list":["post-17707","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_type-fantasy","bs_tag-golf-betting","bs_tag-golf-dfs","bs_tag-pga-championship"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/gettyimages-2215782549-612x612-1.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":29,"name":"Golf Betting","slug":"golf-betting"},{"id":73,"name":"Golf DFS","slug":"golf-dfs"},{"id":114,"name":"PGA Championship","slug":"pga-championship"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"},{"id":15,"name":"Fantasy"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Pat Mayo","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Screenshot-2025-11-17-163255-150x150.png"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/17707","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/29"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15163"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17707"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=17707"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=17707"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}