{"id":16670,"date":"2026-02-18T15:21:10","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T15:21:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&p=16670"},"modified":"2026-02-18T15:21:10","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T15:21:10","slug":"genesis-invitational-one-and-done-picks-2026-best-strategy-to-win-your-pool","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/genesis-invitational-one-and-done-picks-2026-best-strategy-to-win-your-pool\/","title":{"rendered":"Genesis Invitational One and Done Picks 2026: Best Strategy to Win Your Pool"},"content":{"rendered":"

When you have someone who’s separated himself from the crowd in terms of talent, it creates an interesting problem.<\/p>\n

Whereas getting a 2nd place finish from a one-and-done pick is usually a decent result, if you pick Scottie Scheffler<\/span><\/span> and he ends up as runner-up, it feels like a loss.\u00a0 Obviously, you want to use him at a big money event, but how do you narrow that down?<\/p>\n

Maybe avoid the places he hasn’t won yet and try to stake a spot at a track he’s already conquered?\u00a0 That doesn’t help as much as you’d hope, as it basically leaves this week and the new stop at Doral <\/strong>as signature courses he hasn’t won at.\u00a0 I suppose you could cross off The Open, given that the weather sometimes dictates things, but you’re still left with 10 or so options.<\/p>\n

I don’t have the answer here, other than the “just use him at Sawgrass since it’s the biggest purse” cop-out.<\/p>\n

Maybe it’s more of a case of handicapping the fields rather than him, finding a spot where one or two of his contemporaries are taking the week off during a packed summer schedule.\u00a0 Either way, I’m going to keep listing him as an option every damn time the purse is this big, and hopefully, this is the last time I bring this up.<\/p>\n

This week should get a slight bump as well, since the three hosted signature events (here, API, & Memorial) have a cutline and give a bigger chunk of the purse to the winner ($4 million compared to $3.6 million).<\/p>\n

Finishing Positions<\/h2>\n

In an elite field, I not only wanted to look at who’s had consistent high finishes over the past few years, but who’s done it at the big-time events.\u00a0 So, this is a snapshot of only signature events from the past three years, sorted by the top 10 percent.\u00a0 BIG gap after the top guys, but some interesting names, and a gaudy average finish position by Cantlay, considering the decent-sized sample.<\/p>\n

\"one<\/p>\n

Course History: Comp Courses<\/h2>\n

Course history has been stickier here than at most courses, with nearly all the winners over the past two decades having played the place a few times before finishing on top.\u00a0 But, there’s also some comp course correlation, with success at the Masters as well as Torrey having some crossover. A look at the last three years’ worth of golf at Riviera, Augusta, and Torrey Pines.<\/p>\n

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<\/h2>\n

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<\/h2>\n

Approach Play<\/h2>\n

This is a screen from the Rabbit Hole<\/a> I use quite a bit, but haven’t featured here very much.\u00a0 Rolling form can be sorted by most of the major metrics to get an idea of how a player is trending in a skill set.\u00a0 This chart is SG: Approach, sorted by the last 12 rounds.\u00a0 Morikawa stands out big time.\u00a0 This is how his irons play looked when he was winning big events a few years back.<\/p>\n

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Par 5 Scoring<\/h2>\n

Finally, even though it’s a par 71, the scoring holes are the scoring holes, and also lend some correlation to the longer par 4s as well.\u00a0 Some unique names on this one since it’s a bit more granular, but still featuring Scottie and Rory.\u00a0 This is the last 12 months, sorted by BoB% on the par 5s.<\/p>\n

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Genesis Invitational One and Done Picks<\/h2>\n

Big purse, one of the top four biggest winners’ shares of the season on the line.\u00a0 Can’t be getting cute here.\u00a0 I think there are three options:\u00a0 Scottie, someone who’s got decent course history here and is in form, or someone else in the top 10-12 names on the betting board with the skill set to win this thing.\u00a0 That doesn’t leave a ton of names, and I think, despite how popular he’ll be, Hideki is a great look here.<\/p>\n

The Shortlist<\/strong><\/p>\n

Scottie Scheffler<\/span><\/span>
\nHideki Matsuyama<\/span><\/span>
\nRussell Henley<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Planning your Genesis Invitational one and done pick for 2026? Get the best strategy, sleeper picks, and expert advice to outlast your pool all season.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":16675,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14,15],"bs_tags":[147,163],"class_list":["post-16670","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_type-fantasy","bs_tag-genesis-invitational","bs_tag-one-and-done"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/8i6vK7nbw44iMmwDiY23pN.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":147,"name":"Genesis Invitational","slug":"genesis-invitational"},{"id":163,"name":"One and Done","slug":"one-and-done"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"},{"id":15,"name":"Fantasy"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Andy Molitor","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Andy-Molitor-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/16670","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16675"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16670"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=16670"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=16670"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}