2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am<\/h4>\n\n- Field: 80 Players<\/li>\n
- Cut: NO CUT<\/li>\n
- Lineup Lock: Thursday, February 12<\/li>\n
- Defending Champ: Rory McIlroy<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Two years ago, Pebble was given signature status. Something I found exciting. Pebble Beach is one of the TOUR\u2019s most iconic courses, and for decades, it delivered the worst broadcast of the year. The event was a massive disservice to viewers. Especially since, being the first event after football ends, Pebble is where many casual fans tune in for the first time every year. Classic put your worst foot forward type of stuff.<\/p>\n
The broadcast suffered from all the problems we still witness at The American Express: Limited cameras and a shotlink at the other courses. Brutal stuff.<\/p>\n
For decades, this tournament was marred by the awful three-course rotation, 54-hole cut, and Pro-Am format. But that changed in 2024. While I\u2019m usually a hater of smaller fields, shrinking this one from 156 to 80 players was a godsend. Anyone who ever sat through one of those brutal CBS Saturday rounds, where they spend more time breaking down Larry the Cable Guy\u2019s swing in slow motion (sorry, Konica Minolta Vision!) than actually showing shots of, you know, professional golfers, knows precisely what I\u2019m talking about.<\/p>\n
Since the upgrade to signature event status, there\u2019s no cut, which isn\u2019t awesome, but they dropped Monterey Peninsula from the course rotation and limited the Pro-Am portion of the event to just the first two rounds. The field splits between Pebble Beach GL and Spyglass Hill for the first two rounds before only playing at Pebble over the weekend.<\/p>\n
The Gods decided this was too much of a good thing in 2024. The weather blew everything up, and it became the first 54-hole tournament on TOUR since the 2016 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. We were robbed of a fantastic weekend showdown at Pebble in the first tournament with all the best players TOUR. They got us back last year. Rory put on a clinic, bombing and gouging his way to a two-stroke win, kicking off a run where he\u2019d win at Pebble, Sawgrass, and Augusta National over a two-month period.<\/p>\n
Of the top players in the world (excluding LIV guys, obviously), only Justin Thomas<\/a><\/a><\/span> and Sungjae Im<\/a><\/a><\/span> aren\u2019t playing. Still no word on when they\u2019ll be returning. Aaron Rai<\/a><\/a><\/span> is back listed in the field after pulling out of the Farmers’ after lineup lock for DFS players. Helpful stuff.<\/p>\nKeith Mitchell<\/a><\/a><\/span>, Tony Finau<\/a><\/a><\/span>, and Billy Horschel<\/a><\/a><\/span> are in the field on sponsor\u2019s exceptions.<\/p>\nThe final stragglers from Europe are all making their debut too: Rory McIlroy<\/a><\/a>, Shane Lowry<\/a><\/a><\/span>, Tommy Fleetwood<\/a><\/a><\/span>. Each played back-to-back weeks in Dubai in January. Rory and Lowry both posted a T3 at the Dubai Invitational, while Tommy didn\u2019t finish better than 25th in either start.<\/p>\nThe big question I had for 2024 was: Will we see the top-end players dominate, or will Pebble Beach be ripe for shorter-hitting long shots like previous years? Wyndham Clark<\/a><\/a><\/span> won at +6000 in three rounds, but was surrounded on the leaderboard by equal parts betting favorites and super long shots.<\/p>\nAnswer: Inconclusive.<\/p>\n
Last year, it was Rory, Lowry, and Rose at the top with the shorter-hitting\u00a0<\/span>Lucas Glover<\/a><\/span><\/a>,\u00a0<\/span>Tom Kim<\/a><\/span><\/a>,\u00a0<\/span>Russell Henley<\/a><\/a>, and\u00a0<\/span>Sepp Straka<\/a><\/span>,<\/a>\u00a0with a spattering of\u00a0<\/span>Cam Davis<\/a><\/a>.<\/span>\u00a0Davis\u2019 up-and-down from the tree roots on the 72nd hole was one of the shots of the year.<\/p>\nAnswer: Also Inconclusive<\/p>\n
2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Key Stats<\/h4>\n\n- Strokes Gained: Approach<\/li>\n
- Par 5s: Gained<\/li>\n
- Proximity Gained: 100-150 Yards<\/li>\n
- Par-4s Gained<\/li>\n
- Performance On Small Greens Courses<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Mayo\u2019s Key Stat Rankings Powered by the Rabbit Hole Tool<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!OMw8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F72085e72-0697-46c3-b4e0-adababad6212_550x886.png\")
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<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Course (s)<\/h4>\n
Course: Pebble Beach GL (Three Rounds)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n- Par: 72<\/li>\n
- Yardage: 6,972<\/li>\n
- Greens: Poa<\/li>\n
- Number of Sand Bunkers: 116<\/li>\n
- Number of Water Hazards: 1 (ocean)<\/li>\n
- Shot Tracker: Yes<\/li>\n
- Average Green Size: 3,500 sq. ft<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Par 3\u2019s (4): Average distance – 170 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n\n- 2025 Rory: two Par 3 bogey\u2019s in his first run at Pebble, three birdies over the weekend on the 3\u2019s<\/li>\n
- Four holes have a bogey rate north of 20%, and two are Par 3\u2019s (Holes 5 and 12)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Par 4\u2019s (10): Average distance – 413 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n\n- Four of the most difficult six holes are Par 4\u2019s that come within the first 10 holes when playing the course in order (Holes 1-8-9-10, all of which have an over-par rate over 18%)<\/li>\n
- 2025 Rory: Weekend at Pebble: six Par 4 birdies against one bogey<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Par 5\u2019s (4): Average distance – 541 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n\n- 2025 Rory: Par 5 eagle in two of three rounds at Pebble, birdied the first Par 5 in all three Pebble rounds<\/li>\n
- The two front-9 Par 5\u2019s are must gets \u2026 the two easiest holes on the course, both with an eagle rate over 2.5% and a birdie rate over 45%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
DFS Streak<\/strong><\/p>\nPebble Beach GL is designed to keep us from leveraging the starting hole in showdown. If you\u2019re going front-to-back, you run into holes 8-9-10 in succession, all of which rank among the five toughest on the course. If you\u2019re going back-to-front, you get access to Holes 18-1, both of which are among the seven easiest, but to go streaking, you need three straight … holes 2 and 17 rank as the second and third toughest on the course respectively. I don\u2019t think many streaks cross over the 9\u2019s this week, but if they do happen, I think going back-to-front is the play, as you only have to birdie one tough hole as opposed to two.<\/p>\n
While Wyndham Clark<\/a><\/a><\/span> did it in 2024, the odds of birding 8-9-10 are under 0.1%. Going the other direction, Hole 1 is tough (13% under par rate), but the surrounding holes are manageable (Holes 18-2-3 all rank easier than course average).<\/p>\nCourse: Spyglass Hill GC (One Round)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n- Par: 72<\/li>\n
- Yardage: 7,041<\/li>\n
- Greens: Poa<\/li>\n
- Number of Sand Bunkers: 62<\/li>\n
- Number of Holes Water is in Play: 4<\/li>\n
- Shot Tracker: No<\/li>\n
- Average Green Size: 5,000 sq. ft.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Par 3\u2019s (4): Average Distance – 171 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n\n- 2025 Rory: Birdie-Ace on the Par 3\u2019s on the Back-9<\/li>\n
- Take your pars \u2026 three of the most-oft par\u2019d holes are Par 3\u2019s (short #15 carries a 21% birdie rate)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Par 4\u2019s (10): Average Distance – 410 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n\n- 2025 Rory: nothing but par\u2019s on the Par 4\u2019s for the back-9 (two front-9 birdies)<\/li>\n
- The three toughest holes on the course are Par 4\u2019s, two of which come in a three-hole window (Holes 6-8)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Par 5\u2019s (4): Average Distance – 567 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n\n- 2025 Rory: Par\u2019d three of four on Thursday<\/li>\n
- Two have an eagle rate over 2%, but three do have a bogey rate over 10%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
DFS Streak<\/strong><\/p>\nThe advantage is limited, but by going back-to-front, you get access to a short Par 4 (#17) and a Par 5 (#1), making that the way to go if you\u2019re really trying to split hairs.<\/p>\n
2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: PAST WINNERS<\/h4>\n\n- 2025: Rory McIlroy<\/a><\/a><\/span> -21<\/li>\n
- 2024: Wyndham Clark<\/a><\/a><\/span> -17 (54 Holes)<\/em><\/li>\n
- 2023: Justin Rose<\/a><\/a><\/span> -18<\/li>\n
- 2022: Tom Hoge<\/a><\/a><\/span> -19<\/li>\n
- 2021: Daniel Berger<\/a><\/a><\/span> -18<\/li>\n
- 2020: Nick Taylor<\/a><\/a><\/span> -19<\/li>\n
- 2019: Phil Mickelson<\/a><\/a><\/span> -19<\/li>\n
- 2018: Ted Potter Jr. -17<\/li>\n
- 2017: Jordan Spieth<\/a><\/a><\/span> -19<\/li>\n
- 2016: Vaughn Taylor<\/a><\/a><\/span> -17<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
PAST WINNER NOTES<\/strong><\/p>\n2025 – Rory McIlroy<\/a><\/a><\/span> (+1400 as the second favorite) at -21, two clear of Shane Lowry<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n\n- Rory was the best off the tee (+6.2, no one else over +4.5) and a top-10 putter (+4.3)<\/li>\n
- The top 4 Par 5 scorers for the week all cashed top-10 paychecks<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
2024 – Wyndham Clark<\/a><\/a><\/span> (+6000) at -17, one clear of Ludvig Aberg<\/a><\/a><\/span> (Only 3 Rounds)<\/p>\n\n- Clark gained 6.9 strokes with the putter (best in the field, Hubbard was next at +4.8)<\/li>\n
- 7 of the top 10 finishers lost Prox 175-200<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
2023 – Justin Rose<\/a><\/a><\/span> (+3500) and -18, three clear of the Brandon\u2019s (Todd and Wu)<\/p>\n\n- Half the top-10 lost strokes around three green<\/li>\n
- Five of the top 6 finishers gained putting from 15-20 feet<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
2022 – Tom Hoge<\/a><\/a><\/span> (+6000) at -19, two clear of Jordan Spieth<\/a><\/a><\/span> \u2026 three-course rotation<\/p>\n\n- 14 of the top 15 finishers gained off the tee<\/li>\n
- The top-5 finishers all gained in Prox 150-175, 12 of the top-15 gained 175-200<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
2021: Daniel Berger<\/a><\/a><\/span> (+1400)<\/p>\n\n- 2 courses, four eagles in three rounds at Pebble, including two on Sunday (-6 on the Par 5\u2019s in that round)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
\n- Berger was 6th in approach and 15th in around-the-green — 10 of the top 13 finishers gained multiple strokes putting (Cameron Tringale<\/a><\/a><\/span> led with +6.3, fueling his T-7th finish despite ranking outside of the top-25 in T2G)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
\n- Highlight: Berger moved the wrong way on \u201cmoving day\u201d with a 72, but was seven shots better on Sunday<\/li>\n
- The Top-11 finishers all gained Driving Distance on the field<\/li>\n
- The Top-13 finishers all gained with the putter<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
2020: Nick Taylor<\/a><\/a><\/span> (+12500)<\/p>\n\n- 3-course rotation, Sunday had windy AF conditions for the first time that week, and Taylor wasn\u2019t immune — he was +4 over a four-hole stretch (Holes 11-14). The difference? His good was really good: -4 in a three-hole stretch early to get distance (Holes 4-6) and two birdies in three holes late (Holes 15-17, following an ugly \u20187\u2019 on Hole 14)<\/li>\n
- Highlight: Taylor was the Round 1 leader (by three strokes) after shooting a 63<\/li>\n
- The Top-10 finishers all gained with the putter (Taylor was the second-best putter for the week)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
2019: Phil Mickelson<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/strong> (-19, three shots clear of Paul Casey<\/a><\/a><\/span>)<\/p>\n\n- Highlight: Mickelson bookended the tournament with 65s and led the field in approach<\/li>\n
- The top-9 finishers all gained in Good Drives (only four gained in distance)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
2018: Ted Potter<\/strong> (-17, 3 clear of Day\/Mickelson\/Reavie\/DJ)<\/p>\n\n- Highlight: Potter fired a 62 on Saturday (best round of the weekend, no one else had a round better than 64)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
2017: Jordan Spieth<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/strong> (-19, 4 clear of Kelly Kraft<\/a><\/a><\/span>)<\/p>\n\n- Highlight: Spieth was inside the Top 5 in Good Drives and GIRs for the week<\/li>\n
- 3 of the Top 9 finishers gained over 50 strokes of distance, but lost fairways to the field<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
2016: Vaughn Taylor<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/strong> (-17, 1 clear of Mickelson)<\/p>\n\n- Highlight: Progressively got better \u2026 70-68-67-65<\/li>\n
- Taylor won despite losing almost a stroke with the putter (the other Top 15 finishers all gained with the flat stick \u2026 Taylor picked up 10.2 strokes T2G, 2.8 better than anyone else)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
First Round Leaders<\/strong><\/p>\n2025 ROUND 1<\/em><\/p>\nPebble Beach GL<\/strong><\/p>\n65<\/strong> – Justin Rose<\/a><\/a><\/span>, Cam Davis<\/a><\/a><\/span>, Victor Hovland, and Jake Knapp<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/p>\nSpyglass Hill<\/strong><\/p>\n\n- 64<\/strong> – Russell Henley<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/li>\n
- 65<\/strong> – Rasmus Hojgaard<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
2024 ROUND 1<\/em><\/p>\nPebble Beach GL<\/strong><\/p>\n\n- 65 <\/strong>– Mattieu Pavon<\/li>\n
- 66<\/strong> – Si WOO Kim<\/li>\n
- 67<\/strong> Collin Morikawa<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Spyglass Hill<\/strong><\/p>\n
Two years ago, Pebble was given signature status. Something I found exciting. Pebble Beach is one of the TOUR\u2019s most iconic courses, and for decades, it delivered the worst broadcast of the year. The event was a massive disservice to viewers. Especially since, being the first event after football ends, Pebble is where many casual fans tune in for the first time every year. Classic put your worst foot forward type of stuff.<\/p>\n
The broadcast suffered from all the problems we still witness at The American Express: Limited cameras and a shotlink at the other courses. Brutal stuff.<\/p>\n
For decades, this tournament was marred by the awful three-course rotation, 54-hole cut, and Pro-Am format. But that changed in 2024. While I\u2019m usually a hater of smaller fields, shrinking this one from 156 to 80 players was a godsend. Anyone who ever sat through one of those brutal CBS Saturday rounds, where they spend more time breaking down Larry the Cable Guy\u2019s swing in slow motion (sorry, Konica Minolta Vision!) than actually showing shots of, you know, professional golfers, knows precisely what I\u2019m talking about.<\/p>\n
Since the upgrade to signature event status, there\u2019s no cut, which isn\u2019t awesome, but they dropped Monterey Peninsula from the course rotation and limited the Pro-Am portion of the event to just the first two rounds. The field splits between Pebble Beach GL and Spyglass Hill for the first two rounds before only playing at Pebble over the weekend.<\/p>\n
The Gods decided this was too much of a good thing in 2024. The weather blew everything up, and it became the first 54-hole tournament on TOUR since the 2016 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. We were robbed of a fantastic weekend showdown at Pebble in the first tournament with all the best players TOUR. They got us back last year. Rory put on a clinic, bombing and gouging his way to a two-stroke win, kicking off a run where he\u2019d win at Pebble, Sawgrass, and Augusta National over a two-month period.<\/p>\n
Of the top players in the world (excluding LIV guys, obviously), only Justin Thomas<\/a><\/a><\/span> and Sungjae Im<\/a><\/a><\/span> aren\u2019t playing. Still no word on when they\u2019ll be returning. Aaron Rai<\/a><\/a><\/span> is back listed in the field after pulling out of the Farmers’ after lineup lock for DFS players. Helpful stuff.<\/p>\n Keith Mitchell<\/a><\/a><\/span>, Tony Finau<\/a><\/a><\/span>, and Billy Horschel<\/a><\/a><\/span> are in the field on sponsor\u2019s exceptions.<\/p>\n The final stragglers from Europe are all making their debut too: Rory McIlroy<\/a><\/a>, Shane Lowry<\/a><\/a><\/span>, Tommy Fleetwood<\/a><\/a><\/span>. Each played back-to-back weeks in Dubai in January. Rory and Lowry both posted a T3 at the Dubai Invitational, while Tommy didn\u2019t finish better than 25th in either start.<\/p>\n The big question I had for 2024 was: Will we see the top-end players dominate, or will Pebble Beach be ripe for shorter-hitting long shots like previous years? Wyndham Clark<\/a><\/a><\/span> won at +6000 in three rounds, but was surrounded on the leaderboard by equal parts betting favorites and super long shots.<\/p>\n Answer: Inconclusive.<\/p>\n Last year, it was Rory, Lowry, and Rose at the top with the shorter-hitting\u00a0<\/span>Lucas Glover<\/a><\/span><\/a>,\u00a0<\/span>Tom Kim<\/a><\/span><\/a>,\u00a0<\/span>Russell Henley<\/a><\/a>, and\u00a0<\/span>Sepp Straka<\/a><\/span>,<\/a>\u00a0with a spattering of\u00a0<\/span>Cam Davis<\/a><\/a>.<\/span>\u00a0Davis\u2019 up-and-down from the tree roots on the 72nd hole was one of the shots of the year.<\/p>\n Answer: Also Inconclusive<\/p>\n Mayo\u2019s Key Stat Rankings Powered by the Rabbit Hole Tool<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n Course: Pebble Beach GL (Three Rounds)<\/strong><\/p>\n Par 3\u2019s (4): Average distance – 170 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n Par 4\u2019s (10): Average distance – 413 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n Par 5\u2019s (4): Average distance – 541 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n DFS Streak<\/strong><\/p>\n Pebble Beach GL is designed to keep us from leveraging the starting hole in showdown. If you\u2019re going front-to-back, you run into holes 8-9-10 in succession, all of which rank among the five toughest on the course. If you\u2019re going back-to-front, you get access to Holes 18-1, both of which are among the seven easiest, but to go streaking, you need three straight … holes 2 and 17 rank as the second and third toughest on the course respectively. I don\u2019t think many streaks cross over the 9\u2019s this week, but if they do happen, I think going back-to-front is the play, as you only have to birdie one tough hole as opposed to two.<\/p>\n While Wyndham Clark<\/a><\/a><\/span> did it in 2024, the odds of birding 8-9-10 are under 0.1%. Going the other direction, Hole 1 is tough (13% under par rate), but the surrounding holes are manageable (Holes 18-2-3 all rank easier than course average).<\/p>\n Course: Spyglass Hill GC (One Round)<\/strong><\/p>\n Par 3\u2019s (4): Average Distance – 171 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n Par 4\u2019s (10): Average Distance – 410 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n Par 5\u2019s (4): Average Distance – 567 yards<\/strong><\/p>\n DFS Streak<\/strong><\/p>\n The advantage is limited, but by going back-to-front, you get access to a short Par 4 (#17) and a Par 5 (#1), making that the way to go if you\u2019re really trying to split hairs.<\/p>\n PAST WINNER NOTES<\/strong><\/p>\n 2025 – Rory McIlroy<\/a><\/a><\/span> (+1400 as the second favorite) at -21, two clear of Shane Lowry<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n 2024 – Wyndham Clark<\/a><\/a><\/span> (+6000) at -17, one clear of Ludvig Aberg<\/a><\/a><\/span> (Only 3 Rounds)<\/p>\n 2023 – Justin Rose<\/a><\/a><\/span> (+3500) and -18, three clear of the Brandon\u2019s (Todd and Wu)<\/p>\n 2022 – Tom Hoge<\/a><\/a><\/span> (+6000) at -19, two clear of Jordan Spieth<\/a><\/a><\/span> \u2026 three-course rotation<\/p>\n 2021: Daniel Berger<\/a><\/a><\/span> (+1400)<\/p>\n 2020: Nick Taylor<\/a><\/a><\/span> (+12500)<\/p>\n 2019: Phil Mickelson<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/strong> (-19, three shots clear of Paul Casey<\/a><\/a><\/span>)<\/p>\n 2018: Ted Potter<\/strong> (-17, 3 clear of Day\/Mickelson\/Reavie\/DJ)<\/p>\n 2017: Jordan Spieth<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/strong> (-19, 4 clear of Kelly Kraft<\/a><\/a><\/span>)<\/p>\n 2016: Vaughn Taylor<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/strong> (-17, 1 clear of Mickelson)<\/p>\n First Round Leaders<\/strong><\/p>\n 2025 ROUND 1<\/em><\/p>\n Pebble Beach GL<\/strong><\/p>\n 65<\/strong> – Justin Rose<\/a><\/a><\/span>, Cam Davis<\/a><\/a><\/span>, Victor Hovland, and Jake Knapp<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n Spyglass Hill<\/strong><\/p>\n 2024 ROUND 1<\/em><\/p>\n Pebble Beach GL<\/strong><\/p>\n Spyglass Hill<\/strong><\/p>\n2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Key Stats<\/h4>\n
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<\/p>\n<\/p>\n2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Course (s)<\/h4>\n
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2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: PAST WINNERS<\/h4>\n
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