{"id":16485,"date":"2026-02-04T07:23:27","date_gmt":"2026-02-04T07:23:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&#038;p=16485"},"modified":"2026-02-04T15:02:56","modified_gmt":"2026-02-04T15:02:56","slug":"wm-phoenix-open-betting-preview","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/wm-phoenix-open-betting-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"WM Phoenix Open Betting Preview: Proven Picks and Key Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Set against the Sonoran Desert and framed by the rugged McDowell Mountains, the PGA Tour arrives at TPC Scottsdale for this week\u2019s Waste Management Phoenix Open. Designed by Tom Weiskopf and Jay Morrish and completed in 1986, the course has hosted the event for 38 consecutive years, becoming one of the most recognizable stops on the schedule.<\/p>\n<p>Dubbed \u201cThe People\u2019s Open,\u201d the tournament draws nearly 750,000 spectators annually and is renowned for its electric atmosphere\u2014none more famous than the raucous par-3 16th hole. With massive crowds, high energy, and a layout that invites drama, the Phoenix Open routinely delivers one of the most memorable and unpredictable finishes of the season. In 15 of the last 19 years, the scoring margin has been one stroke and has included eight playoffs.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"473\">While TPC Scottsdale offers plenty of scoring opportunities, it has proven far from a pure birdie fest. The winning score has reached 20-under par only three times in the past 18 years, and over the last five editions scoring has averaged just -0.89 per round. Success here has consistently favored elite drivers and ball-strikers, with past champions including\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a><\/span>\u00a0(twice),\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/hideki-matsuyama\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/hideki-matsuyama\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hideki Matsuyama<\/a><\/a><\/span>\u00a0(twice),\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Brooks Koepka<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/jon-rahm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/jon-rahm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jon Rahm<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/rickie-fowler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/rickie-fowler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rickie Fowler<\/a><\/a><\/span>, and\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-thomas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-thomas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Justin Thomas<\/a><\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"475\" data-end=\"901\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">Distance and precision off the tee are especially valuable in the thinner desert air, where all three par-5s are reachable and can be aggressively attacked for crucial eagle and birdie opportunities. Course history also carries significant weight, as TPC Scottsdale ranks as the fourth most predictive course on the PGA Tour based on past performance.<\/p>\n<h2>The Field<\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-16455\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/G_8YJwvWAAE4BHn.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 613px) 100vw, 613px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/G_8YJwvWAAE4BHn.png 613w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/G_8YJwvWAAE4BHn-270x300.png 270w\" alt=\"\" width=\"613\" height=\"680\" \/><\/p>\n<p>After consecutive weeks of course rotations, it\u2019s back to one course with a 123-player field and a cut after 36 holes with the top 65 and ties advancing to the weekend. Two-time WM Phoenix Open champion and World No. 1\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a><\/span>\u00a0will make his second start of the season after earning his 20th PGA TOUR victory at the 2026 American Express.<\/p>\n<p>As is typical for this event, the field is absolutely loaded with talent, and features 11 of the top 20 players in the world, including\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/xander-schauffele\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/xander-schauffele\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Xander Schauffele<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/j.j.-spaun\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/j.j.-spaun\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">J.J. Spaun<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/ben-griffin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/ben-griffin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ben Griffin<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/harris-english\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/harris-english\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Harris English<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/viktor-hovland\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/viktor-hovland\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Viktor Hovland<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/hideki-matsuyama\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/hideki-matsuyama\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hideki Matsuyama<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/collin-morikawa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/collin-morikawa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Collin Morikawa<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/cameron-young\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/cameron-young\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Cameron Young<\/a><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/matt-fitzpatrick\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/matt-fitzpatrick\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Matt Fitzpatrick<\/a><\/a><\/span>, and\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/sam-burns\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/sam-burns\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sam Burns<\/a><\/a><\/span>. Another two-time winner here,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Brooks Koepka<\/a><\/a><\/span>, will be making his second straight start since rejoining the PGA Tour. The WM Phoenix Open is the final opportunity for players to earn FedExCup points towards the Aon Swing 5 with entry into the next Signature Events (AT&amp;T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and The Genesis Invitational).<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/P6_NFL_Playoffs-Assets_TP_GIF_728x90_Play5Get50_NFL_Playoffs_Map.gif\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Past Winners &amp; Odds<\/h2>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/HAKk49jWkAAj2PW?format=jpg&amp;name=small\" alt=\"Image\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Most Important Stats For Success at TPC Scottsdale<\/h2>\n<p><em>*In order of importance<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>SG: APP<\/li>\n<li>Total Driving<\/li>\n<li>Birdie or Better %<\/li>\n<li>Par 4 Scoring<\/li>\n<li>TPC Scottsdale Course History<\/li>\n<li>Bogey Avoidance<\/li>\n<li>SG: Putting (Poa Trivialis\/Bent)<\/li>\n<li>SG: OTT<\/li>\n<li>Good Drive %<\/li>\n<li>Scrambling \u2013 Short Grass<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Unique\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/the-rabbit-hole\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Rabbit Hole<\/a>\u00a0Filters<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Course Region: West<\/li>\n<li>Course Type: Desert<\/li>\n<li>Scoring Conditions: Average<\/li>\n<li>Course Length: Average<\/li>\n<li>Field Strength: Strong<\/li>\n<li>Elevation: High<\/li>\n<li>Event Season: West Coast<\/li>\n<li>Greens Surface: Poa Trivialis<\/li>\n<li>Greens Size: Large<\/li>\n<li>OTT Club Type: Driver Heavy<\/li>\n<li>Rough Penalty: Low<\/li>\n<li>Gain OTT: Easy<\/li>\n<li>Scrambling Short Grass: Difficult<\/li>\n<li>Gain Putting: Easy<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>WM Phoenix Open \u2013 Final Model<\/h2>\n<p>In each preview article and on\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/3j0FuhF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">Discord<\/a>, I present my final model, which gives a detailed player ranking of the most important stats and splits for the week. My modeling is based on the PGA\u2019s Strokes Gained data, which is categorized into SG: Off the Tee (OTT), SG: Approach (APP), SG: Around the Green (ARG), and SG: Putting (P). Learn more about\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.pgatour.com\/news\/2016\/05\/31\/strokes-gained-defined.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">Strokes Gained<\/a>\u00a0and why it can be so useful in analyzing the past and predicting future performance. Many of these specific metrics and conditions can be found in \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/3viXUDP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">The Rabbit Hole<\/a>\u201c, with my final model exclusively published here and in the Discord for subscribers.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-16487\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-005911.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1469\" height=\"951\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-005911.jpg 1469w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-005911-300x194.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-005911-1024x663.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-005911-768x497.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1469px) 100vw, 1469px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-16488\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-010228.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1468\" height=\"950\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-010228.jpg 1468w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-010228-300x194.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-010228-1024x663.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-010228-768x497.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1468px) 100vw, 1468px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-16489\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-010430.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1224\" height=\"886\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-010430.jpg 1224w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-010430-300x217.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-010430-1024x741.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-010430-768x556.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1224px) 100vw, 1224px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Model Link: <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/16VYp1vDQN-VmzWS1i-_qMJUdvVy27MqXcGrA_ezK1bo\/edit?usp=sharing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/16VYp1vDQN-VmzWS1i-_qMJUdvVy27MqXcGrA_ezK1bo\/edit?usp=sharing<\/a><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"outright-betting-selections\">Outright Betting Selections<\/h2>\n<p><em>For the most up-to-date picks, check out my\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PGASplits101\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0and subscribe to our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/discord.gg\/HujqSwCvwR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">Discord<\/a>\u00a0at BetspertsGolf.com.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Winner w\/o <span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/scottie-scheffler\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scottie Scheffler<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Matsuyama +2200 (1.08u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Gotterup +3300 (0.72u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>McNealy +3300 (0.72u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Spieth +4200 (0.57u) &#8211; DK<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Winner (Overall)<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>C. Young +2500 (0.96u) &#8211; FD<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>This article is intended for entertainment purposes and adult users only. Call\u00a0<a href=\"tel:1-800-GAMBLER\">1-800-GAMBLER<\/a>\u00a0if you have a gambling problem.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Photo by Sam Greenwood\/Getty Images<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Get Ron Klos\u2019 WMPO betting preview with course breakdown, key stats, and smart betting angles for this week at TPC Scottsdale.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":16486,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14],"bs_tags":[29,146],"class_list":["post-16485","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_tag-golf-betting","bs_tag-wm-phoenix-open"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/gettyimages-2258922699-612x612-1.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":29,"name":"Golf Betting","slug":"golf-betting"},{"id":146,"name":"WM Phoenix Open","slug":"wm-phoenix-open"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Ron Klos","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Ron-Klos-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/16485","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16486"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16485"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=16485"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=16485"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}