{"id":16421,"date":"2026-01-28T19:32:25","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T19:32:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&#038;p=16421"},"modified":"2026-01-28T19:32:25","modified_gmt":"2026-01-28T19:32:25","slug":"2026-farmers-insurance-open-betting-preview","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/2026-farmers-insurance-open-betting-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 Farmers Insurance Open \u2013 Betting Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The PGA Tour\u2019s west coast swing continues with the Farmers Insurance Open featuring the scenic Torrey Pines South Golf Course in La Jolla, California. Torrey Pines has hosted this event every year since 1968. Lying on land occupied by an anti-aircraft battery during World War II, it is one of America\u2019s most scenic course layouts atop coastal bluffs north of San Diego with dazzling views of the Pacific Ocean.<\/p>\n<p>Thanks to the frequent morning fog delays and early sunsets, there will be two courses utilized this week. Both are owned and maintained by the City of San Diego. Golfers will play both the North and South courses once before the cut on Friday. Only the South course will be used on the weekend. While the North course plays much easier and is more tree-lined, the South course sits much closer to the Pacific bringing possible weather effects into play. It is a massively lengthy track. In fact, it is the longest annual Tour course in the rotation, stretching to almost 7,800 yards.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"115\" data-end=\"450\">Scoring this week should be a complete reversal from last week\u2019s birdie-fest at The American Express. Torrey Pines\u2019 South Course ranks as the fifth-most difficult layout on Tour, offering no let-up and forcing players to use every club in the bag. It serves as a true barometer of a golfer\u2019s all-around game early in the 2026 season.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"457\" data-end=\"808\">Even at sea level, Torrey Pines plays longer than the scorecard yardage due to softer fairways and the cooler January air. Long irons will be unavoidable, and players will need to shake off any early-season rust quickly. That challenge is reflected on the leaderboard, as winning scores here have been 15-under par or lower in 12 of the past 13 years.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"117\" data-end=\"445\">Torrey Pines is a \u201csticky\u201d course when it comes to the profile of players who find success. Par is a good score on the majority of holes, and with the course\u2019s length, bombers and long-iron standouts hold a clear advantage. That said, the winners\u2019 list is also dotted with elite scramblers and players who thrive on Poa annua greens.<\/p>\n<h2>The Field<\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-16374\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/G_Yaav3aYAAq-0y.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1107px) 100vw, 1107px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/G_Yaav3aYAAq-0y.jpg 1107w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/G_Yaav3aYAAq-0y-274x300.jpg 274w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/G_Yaav3aYAAq-0y-935x1024.jpg 935w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/G_Yaav3aYAAq-0y-768x841.jpg 768w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1107\" height=\"1212\" \/><\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s the first tough test of the new calendar year, and all eyes will be on\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/brooks-koepka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Brooks Koepka<\/a><\/span><\/a><\/span>, the five-time major champion who returns to the PGA Tour after spending the last four years at LIV Golf. Koepka announced in December that he would be leaving LIV Golf, and three weeks later returned to the PGA Tour through the \u201cReturning Member Program,\u201d which allows the five-time major champion to rejoin with certain restrictions. Chief among them is ineligibility for signature events unless he qualifies, making non-signature stops like the Farmers Insurance Open a natural fit on his schedule. His inclusion also won\u2019t displace another Tour member. This week\u2019s field will feature 147 players\u2014the standard 144, plus Koepka, with two additional players added from the alternate list to complete threesomes.<\/p>\n<p>10 of the top 20 players in the world are in the field including\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/golfer\/xander-schauffele\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/xander-schauffele\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Xander Schauffele<\/a><\/span><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/golfer\/j.j.-spaun\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/j.j.-spaun\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">J.J. Spaun<\/a><\/span><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/golfer\/justin-rose\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-rose\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Justin Rose<\/a><\/span><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/golfer\/hideki-matsuyama\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/hideki-matsuyama\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hideki Matsuyama<\/a><\/span><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/golfer\/keegan-bradley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/keegan-bradley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Keegan Bradley<\/a><\/span><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/golfer\/chris-gotterup\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/chris-gotterup\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Chris Gotterup<\/a><\/span><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/golfer\/ludvig-aberg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/ludvig-aberg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ludvig Aberg<\/a><\/span><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/golfer\/cameron-young\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/cameron-young\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Cameron Young<\/a><\/span><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/golfer\/patrick-cantlay\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/patrick-cantlay\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Patrick Cantlay<\/a><\/span><\/a><\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/golfer\/alex-noren\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/alex-noren\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Alex Noren<\/a><\/span><\/a><\/span>, and returning champion,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/golfer\/harris-english\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/harris-english\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Harris English<\/a><\/span><\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>We are back to a standard 36-hole cut this week with the top 65 and ties playing the weekend. Only the South Course is equipped with ShotLink data. This is the last chance for players to earn a spot in the first signature event of the year in two weeks at the AT&amp;T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. The top five FedExCup points earners from the Sony Open, The American Express, and this week\u2019s Farmers Insurance Open will gain a spot in the field at Pebble Beach.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-16345 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/P6_NFL_Playoffs-Assets_TP_GIF_728x90_Play5Get50_NFL_Playoffs_Map.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"728\" height=\"90\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Past Winners &amp; Odds<\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-16422\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-25-034730.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"369\" height=\"628\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-25-034730.jpg 369w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-25-034730-176x300.jpg 176w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 369px) 100vw, 369px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Most Important Stats For Success at Torrey Pines<\/h2>\n<p><em>*In order of importance<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Scrambling\/SG: ARG (Rough)<\/li>\n<li>Total Driving<\/li>\n<li>SG: Approach<\/li>\n<li>SG: Putting (Poa)<\/li>\n<li>Bogey Avoidance<\/li>\n<li>Par 5 Scoring<\/li>\n<li>Proximity 175+ yds<\/li>\n<li>SG: Torrey Pines Course History<\/li>\n<li>Rough Proximity 200+<\/li>\n<li>SG: Long and Difficult Courses<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Unique\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/the-rabbit-hole\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Rabbit Hole<\/a>\u00a0Filters<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Course Region: West<\/li>\n<li>Course Type: Coastal<\/li>\n<li>Scoring Conditions: Very Difficult\/Difficult<\/li>\n<li>Course Length: Very Long<\/li>\n<li>Field Size: Full Field<\/li>\n<li>Event Season: West Coast<\/li>\n<li>Greens Surface: Poa<\/li>\n<li>Rough Length: Long<\/li>\n<li>Greens Speed: Fast<\/li>\n<li>OTT Club Type: Driver Heavy<\/li>\n<li>SG: OTT: Difficult<\/li>\n<li>Fairway Accuracy: Difficult<\/li>\n<li>GIR Accuracy: Difficult<\/li>\n<li>Scrambling (Rough): Difficult<\/li>\n<li>Gain Putting: Very Difficult<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Farmers Insurance Open \u2013 Final Model<\/h2>\n<p>In each preview article and on\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/3j0FuhF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">Discord<\/a>, I present my final model, which gives a detailed player ranking of the most important stats and splits for the week. My modeling is based on the PGA\u2019s Strokes Gained data, which is categorized into SG: Off the Tee (OTT), SG: Approach (APP), SG: Around the Green (ARG), and SG: Putting (P). Learn more about\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.pgatour.com\/news\/2016\/05\/31\/strokes-gained-defined.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">Strokes Gained<\/a>\u00a0and why it can be so useful in analyzing the past and predicting future performance. Many of these specific metrics and conditions can be found in \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/3viXUDP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">The Rabbit Hole<\/a>\u201c, with my final model exclusively published here and in the Discord for subscribers.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-16423\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-125215.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1648\" height=\"952\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-125215.jpg 1648w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-125215-300x173.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-125215-1024x592.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-125215-768x444.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-125215-1536x887.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1648px) 100vw, 1648px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-16425\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130037.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1650\" height=\"953\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130037.jpg 1650w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130037-300x173.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130037-1024x591.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130037-768x444.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130037-1536x887.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1650px) 100vw, 1650px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-16426\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130116.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1653\" height=\"952\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130116.jpg 1653w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130116-300x173.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130116-1024x590.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130116-768x442.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130116-1536x885.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1653px) 100vw, 1653px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-16427\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130156.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1651\" height=\"553\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130156.jpg 1651w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130156-300x100.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130156-1024x343.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130156-768x257.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-28-130156-1536x514.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1651px) 100vw, 1651px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Model Link: <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1UKkPmNUCKBLTCA_pMvd2a-BMckaN9E9qryjqhINccHg\/edit?usp=sharing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1UKkPmNUCKBLTCA_pMvd2a-BMckaN9E9qryjqhINccHg\/edit?usp=sharing<\/a><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"outright-betting-selections\">Outright Betting Selections<\/h2>\n<p><em>For the most up-to-date picks, check out my\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PGASplits101\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0and subscribe to our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/discord.gg\/HujqSwCvwR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-describedby=\"audioeye_new_window_message\">Discord<\/a>\u00a0at BetspertsGolf.com.<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Young +2700 (0.88u) &#8211; 365<\/li>\n<li>Matsuyama +3500 (0.68u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Bradley +5500 (0.43u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Homa +6000 (0.40) &#8211; 365<\/li>\n<li>N. Hojgaard +6600 (0.36u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Rose +6600 (0.36u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Li +10000 (0.24u) &#8211; DK<\/li>\n<li>Theegala +10000 (0.24u) &#8211; DK<\/li>\n<li>Novak +12500 (0.19u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Finau +17500 (0.13u) &#8211; DK<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>This article is intended for entertainment purposes and adult users only. Call\u00a0<a href=\"tel:1-800-GAMBLER\">1-800-GAMBLER<\/a>\u00a0if you have a gambling problem.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Photo by Sam Greenwood\/Getty Images<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":16428,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14],"bs_tags":[144,29],"class_list":["post-16421","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_tag-farmers-insurance-open","bs_tag-golf-betting"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/gettyimages-2204174258-612x612-1.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":144,"name":"Farmers Insurance Open","slug":"farmers-insurance-open"},{"id":29,"name":"Golf Betting","slug":"golf-betting"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Ron Klos","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Ron-Klos-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/16421","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16428"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16421"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=16421"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=16421"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}