{"id":16339,"date":"2026-01-21T17:21:05","date_gmt":"2026-01-21T17:21:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&#038;p=16339"},"modified":"2026-01-21T22:44:44","modified_gmt":"2026-01-21T22:44:44","slug":"american-express-one-and-done-strategy-one-golfer-for-three-courses","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/american-express-one-and-done-strategy-one-golfer-for-three-courses\/","title":{"rendered":"American Express One and Done Strategy: One Golfer for Three Courses"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Not a terrible start to the year, with a couple of my names threatening the lead, including <span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/harry-hall\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/harry-hall\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Harry Hall<\/a><\/a><\/span> as the clubhouse leader for a bit on Saturday.\u00a0 Still, I was no where NEAR Gotterup.\u00a0 Apparently, he&#8217;s just the kind of golfer who can show up and win anywhere now?<\/p>\n<p>Anyway, this week is another of the &#8220;normal-sized&#8221; purses with $9.2 million to divvy up, and the winner taking home $1.58 million.<\/p>\n<h2>Cutmakers<\/h2>\n<p>Starting out with the placement screen from the Rabbit Hole to see who&#8217;s finding the top of the leaderboard the most. This chart is folks with at least 10 starts of the past year, sorted by the top 10 %.\u00a0 <span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-rose\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/justin-rose\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Justin Rose<\/a><\/a><\/span> is a strange case here, making only half the cuts but finishing in the top 10, 29% of the time!<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-16340\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/cut-amex-1024x532.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"532\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/cut-amex-1024x532.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/cut-amex-300x156.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/cut-amex-768x399.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/cut-amex.png 1393w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-16345 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/P6_NFL_Playoffs-Assets_TP_GIF_728x90_Play5Get50_NFL_Playoffs_Map.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"728\" height=\"90\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>West Coast Golf<\/h2>\n<p>Sometimes I just want to look at form, and later on in the season, I certainly will.\u00a0 But with so many golfers taking extended breaks in the fall, it&#8217;s hard to consider much data like that useful until maybe March.\u00a0 Instead, I&#8217;ve sorted out some data by region, seeing how the field has played on mostly similar courses on the West Coast.\u00a0 This displays the last two years on courses in the &#8220;West&#8221;, so this isn&#8217;t just the early season California swing, this will also include other events contested out west like the Shriners and Procore.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-16341\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Cali-golf-1024x488.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"488\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Cali-golf-1024x488.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Cali-golf-300x143.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Cali-golf-768x366.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Cali-golf.png 1518w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Short Course Success<\/h2>\n<p>Comp courses can be a bit tough when dealing with unique agronomy (West Coast Poa), but length is length, and this week, there isn&#8217;t any.\u00a0 These courses are all quite short and I figured it was sorth looking into how the field has played when that was the case.\u00a0 Surprise.\u00a0 Scottie is still in the lead. Again, two years worth of data with a minimum round threshold set, this time on only courses categorized as short or very short.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-16342\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/short-very-short-1024x494.png\" alt=\"one and done\" width=\"1024\" height=\"494\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/short-very-short-1024x494.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/short-very-short-300x145.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/short-very-short-768x370.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/short-very-short.png 1501w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Par 5 Scoring<\/h2>\n<p>Finally just checking in on who&#8217;s the best at scoring on the par 5s.\u00a0 With some incredibly easy ones here (across all three courses), anyone looking to get low is going to have to find ways to score early and often on the par 5s. This can be just length OTT or really dialed in long irons, either way, the winners and high placers here will be scoring in gobs on those holes.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-16343\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/par5-amex-1024x487.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"487\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/par5-amex-1024x487.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/par5-amex-300x143.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/par5-amex-768x365.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/par5-amex.png 1509w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>American Express One and Done Suggestions<\/h2>\n<p>I think with the smaller purse, you need to avoid using Mr. Scheffler this early.\u00a0 Yeah, he may win, but nailing the timing on him seems big for winning one of these contests.\u00a0 Find a mid-range guy you love here, and fire away.<\/p>\n<p><strong><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/taylor-pendrith\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/taylor-pendrith\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Taylor Pendrith<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/strong><br \/>\n<strong><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/ben-griffin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/ben-griffin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ben Griffin<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/strong><br \/>\n<strong><span class=\"unlink-player\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/sepp-straka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/sepp-straka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sepp Straka<\/a><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Optimize your American Express One and Done strategy by balancing win odds, ownership, and season-long value.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":16344,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14,15],"bs_tags":[163,143],"class_list":["post-16339","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_type-fantasy","bs_tag-one-and-done","bs_tag-the-american-express"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-21-111853.png","tags_list":[{"id":163,"name":"One and Done","slug":"one-and-done"},{"id":143,"name":"The American Express","slug":"the-american-express"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"},{"id":15,"name":"Fantasy"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Andy Molitor","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Andy-Molitor-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/16339","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16344"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16339"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=16339"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=16339"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}