- \n
- WATCH: Bermuda Championship Picks, Bets, Fantasy Golf Picks | WWT, LPGA, DPWT Recap<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n
- LISTEN ON APPLE<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n
- WATCH\/LISTEN ON SPOTIFY<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
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<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n
Quick Bets (FINAL CARD)<\/h5>\n
- \n
- Matt Kuchar +3700<\/li>\n
- Sami Valimaki<\/a> +4500<\/li>\n
- Victor Perez<\/a> +4500<\/li>\n
- Takumi Kayana +5500<\/li>\n
- Justin Lower +6000 (With 5 Places)<\/li>\n
- Andrew Putnam<\/a> +10000 (With 8 Places)<\/li>\n
- Paul Peterson +20000 (With 8 Places)<\/li>\n
- Blades Brown<\/a> +20000 (With 8 Places)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
First Round Leader<\/h5>\n
- \n
- Putnam +8000<\/li>\n
- Manassero +10000<\/li>\n
- Peterson +11000<\/li>\n
- Streb +27500 (With 5 Places)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
LPGA<\/h5>\n
Green +3300<\/p>\n
2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Info<\/h4>\n
- \n
- Course: Port Royal Golf Course<\/li>\n
- Yardage: 6,828<\/li>\n
- Par: 71<\/li>\n
- Greens: Bermuda<\/li>\n
- Average Green Size: 8,000 sq. ft.<\/li>\n
- Number of Sand Bunkers: 87<\/li>\n
- Number of Holes Water is in Play: 7<\/li>\n
- Cutline: Top 65 and Ties<\/li>\n
- Field: 120 Players<\/li>\n
- Defending Champ: Rafael Campos<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Subscribe now<\/a><\/p>\n
2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Past Winners<\/h4>\n
- \n
- 2024: Rafael Campos<\/a> -19<\/li>\n
- 2023: Camilo Villegas<\/a> -24<\/li>\n
- 2022: Seamus Power<\/a> -19<\/li>\n
- 2021: Lucas Herbert<\/a> -15<\/li>\n
- 2020: Brian Gay<\/a> -15<\/li>\n
- 2019: Brendon Todd<\/a> -24<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Stat Rankings<\/h4>\n
\u2705 Accurate from 100\u2013150 yards
\n\u2705 Elite Putting and\/or Short Game
\n\u2705 Able to Manage Conditions
\n\u2705 Scoring on Par 4s
\n\u2705 Low flighted ball
\n\u2705 Doesn\u2019t need distance<\/p>\nThis week isn\u2019t about carrying bunkers \u2014 it\u2019s about sticking wedges and surviving wind gusts.<\/p>\n
You can access my exact filters (and modify for yourself) for this precision model, which is available under the \u201cExpert Rankings\u201d tab inside the Rabbit Hole.<\/p>\n
GET 25% OFF THE RABBIT HOLE TOOL AT BETSPERTS GOLF<\/strong><\/a><\/h4>\n
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<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Overview<\/h4>\n
Port Royal is a precision competition: Point, shoot, and putt. Playing just 6,828 yards, all players, regardless of distance, are live to win. That brings in a bunch of old guys, too: Flat Stick extraordinaire Brian Gay<\/a> won this event five years ago at age 47. How? He made every putt. Even accuracy off the tee, while always helpful, isn\u2019t even necessarily required because of the short rough. Much like Waialae in that sense. Expect players not to even have to hit the driver at Port Royal if they\u2019re not feeling it.<\/p>\n
The main defenses of the course will be the bunkers guarding the green, elevation changes, but mainly, the dramatic wind that can swirl off the coast. Sitting directly on the Atlantic, the wind gusts and throws off the yardage management into the large greens. After reviewing the wind-affected rounds from the past three years, the main impact of the wind will actually be on the greens. The amount of short, missed putts in the final round in 2024 was staggering at the top of the leaderboard. Yes, nerves almost certainly played a factor with so many players looking for a first win on TOUR, but still, you just don\u2019t see so many three putts from inside 3-feet anywhere \u2014 Maybe Riviera or Torrey Pines? Because of the sheer size and amount of undulations, short downhill putts can be death if not hit exactly right.<\/p>\n
If you get to watch this event at all, pay attention to hole 16. It\u2019s a beautiful, downhill 235-yard Par 3, situated directly on the ocean cliffs, with swirling. Very Scenic. Quite difficult. It\u2019s the toughest hole on the course with a bogey or worse rate over 30%.<\/p>\n
No. 16 Cliff Notes<\/em><\/p>\n
- \n
- Bogey or worse rate:<\/strong> 31%+<\/em><\/li>\n
- Cliffside Outcomes: <\/strong>The Ocean<\/em><\/li>\n
- Beauty:<\/strong> Very High<\/em><\/li>\n
- Terror level:<\/strong> Higher<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
\n\n \n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!LMAZ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa36cb9e2-fa76-4354-b236-cc1c85d654bc_800x600.webp\")
<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n2026 ONE AND DONE CONTEST<\/strong><\/h4>\n
As a heads up, the Race for the Mayo Cup 2026 is OPEN FOR BUSINESS!!!!!! It starts in January per usual, but there\u2019s now $1.2M guaranteed in the prize pool. The top 750 get paid, and just look at this glorious, flat payout structure. Everyone inside the Top 20 will win at least $10,000 with $110,000 to the winner.<\/p>\n
The Sentry has been cancelled this year, so there won\u2019t be a tournament to remind you to sign up for the following week. So, just reserve your spot right now as not to forget.<\/p>\n
Tambo and I always mention how we get our dad\u2019s entries for Christmas (since buying for a Dad is basically impossible), I highly recomend that move.<\/p>\n
JOIN THE MAYO CUP ONE & DONE CONTEST<\/strong><\/a><\/h4>\n
\n\n \n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!VMQG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68bc0114-fcb8-4707-b9f0-717df46ce12c_1444x1234.png\" "\\"\\"")
<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Course Breakdown: Port Royal Golf Course<\/h4>\n
The Butterfield Bermuda Championship returns to Port Royal Golf Course in Southampton \u2014 a 6,828-yard, Par 71 track that rewards control over chaos.<\/p>\n
- \n
- Bermuda grass greens (8,000 sq ft average)<\/li>\n
- 87 bunkers<\/li>\n
- 7 holes with water in play \u2014 mostly the ocean<\/li>\n
- Wind exposure: relentless<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
This is not a bomber\u2019s paradise. It\u2019s a target golf test where precision, spin control, and putting on grainy Bermuda dictate who contends.<\/p>\n
\ud83c\udf2c\ufe0f The Wind Is Everything<\/strong><\/p>\n
Port Royal is short, but it punches way above its weight when the gusts start swirling.<\/p>\n
One round, you\u2019re hitting wedges tight; the next, you\u2019re three-putting from two feet. Greens that roll slowly in calm air can turn lightning-fast in the wind, especially if you\u2019re putting from above the hole<\/p>\n
2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Fantasy Values<\/h4>\n
The majority of scoring shots fall in that 100\u2013150 window. If you\u2019re not crisp with wedges, you\u2019re toast.<\/p>\n
After weighing those key areas (with a focus on wedges and putting), the numbers pointed to a few players who consistently stand out as course fits to deploy in DFS and Fantasy Golf for a value.<\/p>\n
GET 25% OFF THE RABBIT HOLE TOOL AT BETSPERTS GOLF<\/strong><\/a><\/h4>\n
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<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\nMatt Kuchar<\/a><\/strong> \u2013 Fresh off his third consecutive Top 20 (in three starts) in the swing season, Kuch has picked up strokes on the green in five of six starts overall and is lethal on Bermuda. Kuchar has gained +0.34 SG: PUTT\/Round on Bermuda greens over his past 200 rounds.<\/p>\n
Data-wise, everything screams \u201cKuchar week.\u201d He\u2019s green across every key wedge range \u2014 100 to 150 yards, 50 to 100 yards \u2014 and still one of the best long-term Bermuda putters in the field. He topped the stat rankings and rates out as the ideal prototype for Port Royal: Accurate, flights wedges, and doesn\u2019t melt when the gusts pick up. If you want the safest profile in this field, it\u2019s Kuchar. It\u2019s a classic Kuchar setup. Like Mayakoba or Sony \u2014 hit it to 15 feet and make a bunch of birdies and be able to scramble out of jail if things go awry.<\/p>\n
Eric Cole<\/a><\/strong> \u2013 Cole is sneaky-elite with wedges, and when the putter heats up, he can post something low. Come to think of it, it\u2019s not that sneaky. Elite, though. He closed with five straight birdies to grind out a Top 10 in Mexico, his second Top 10 in three starts. He\u2019s got the combo I want \u2014 good from 100\u2013150, can get streaky with the flat stick, and doesn\u2019t beat himself.<\/p>\n
David Lipsky<\/a><\/strong> \u2013 Underrated in these technical setups. Strong wind player, precise with his wedges, and enters his very consistent form: Lipsky has made nine of his past 10 cuts. Can he putt? No. So that\u2019s always an issue.<\/p>\n
Paul Peterson<\/a><\/strong> \u2013 Peterson has been brutal since mid-July. Hence why he\u2019s been relegated to the \u201cAre we sure these aren\u2019t made-up names\u201d tier of the Fantasy pricing and odds board. Yet, if he plays to his long-term baseline skills, Peterson\u2019s the exact type of guy you want on this track. He\u2019s solid across every relevant stat \u2014 Par 4 scoring, wedge play, putting.\u00a0He rates 8th in my specific data point, which are most relevant to Port Royal, which shouldn\u2019t be THAT surprising. Peterson doesn\u2019t gain strokes with power; he gains them with\u00a0precision<\/em>.<\/span>\u00a0That plays here.<\/p>\n
Of Note: My data inputs really avoided almost all areas where Peterson struggles. While off the tee and distance isn\u2019t all that important in Bermuda, Peterson\u2019s been so bad that he could limit his upside on Par 5s or simply drive himself out of the tournament. Hence why he\u2019s with the specials.<\/p>\n
Justin Lower<\/a><\/strong> \u2013 Lower\u2019s stats don\u2019t leap off the screen, but his game fits this course like a glove. Above average accuracy, smart decision-making, plus, he putts, he chips, and he\u2019s never finished outside the Top 20 in four starts at Port Royal.<\/p>\n
Brandt Snedeker<\/a><\/strong> \u2013 Yeah, I\u2019m going back to Sneds. Missed the cut by one last week, but the putter\u2019s still elite, and that\u2019s what wins here. His wedges have been a bit off, but he\u2019s always been an excellent wind player. He\u2019s back in the triple-digits on the betting board, so I feel comfortable wasting that cash. And the spike performance is live, in his past five starts, he\u2019s gone MC\/T19\/MC\/T9\/MC. Fingers crossed he can be the Brian Gay<\/a> of 2025.<\/p>\n
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- Cliffside Outcomes: <\/strong>The Ocean<\/em><\/li>\n
- 2023: Camilo Villegas<\/a> -24<\/li>\n
- 2024: Rafael Campos<\/a> -19<\/li>\n
- Victor Perez<\/a> +4500<\/li>\n
- LISTEN ON APPLE<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n