Total Purse<\/strong>: $20 million<\/p>\n<\/li>\n Winner\u2019s Share<\/strong>:<\/span> $3.6 million<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n I know we have all these changes that are going to make accuracy a bit more important, but I still don’t see a way that distance doesn’t matter here.\u00a0 All the charts today are the whole of 2025, this is of course sorted by driving distance.\u00a0 With the firmer setup predicted for the most of the week, some of these guys legitimately may have short irons on their second shots even on the longest of the par 4s.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Speaking of the par 4s, we have 12 of them this week due the reconfiguring.\u00a0 While I originally just sorted by 2025 par 4 scoring, that playoff at -27 is still gnawing at me, and even with some reduced scoring, I think you’re going to have to make hay all week to compete, so we filtered by par 4 birdie or better rate.\u00a0 Lo and behold, the guy that I thought might be a good fit last week here (Hall), is sitting on top with an 80 round sample.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Finally, similar to the par 4 scoring, I’m just straight up looking for guys who close on their opportunities.\u00a0 A bogey here or there isn’t going to matter if we find 5+ birdies every day, which is about what the top players rates imply here.\u00a0 Scoring certainly won’t reach -27 again, but I think at worst case, you’ll need to be in the high teens to have a shot at the trophy.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n The line goes “this is a good setup for Scottie (because they all are)” but a spot where he and Rory can just rip it and let their overall ball striking lead them to makeable putts on what should be easy enough greens doesn’t bode well for the field.\u00a0 That said, you can get a little weird here if you need to chase.<\/p>\n If you’re leading: USE YOUR BEST PLAYER.\u00a0 You can’t take it with you.<\/p>\n Chasing, find a guy who has at least two of three traits to score here: Bombing, Elite long irons, and strong consistent putting.<\/p>\n I built a “mini model” using driving distance, overall proximity from 200+, and SG:putting to test this theory.\u00a0 Guys that fit the bill (not named Scottie or Rory):<\/p>\n Ludvig Aberg<\/a> GOOD LUCK HAVE FUN!<\/p>\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Master your BMW Championship One and Done picks with expert strategy tips, key player insights, and course analysis to maximize your fantasy golf success.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":15826,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14,15],"bs_tags":[128],"class_list":["post-15825","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_type-fantasy","bs_tag-bmw-championship"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-12-160429.png","tags_list":[{"id":128,"name":"BMW Championship","slug":"bmw-championship"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"},{"id":15,"name":"Fantasy"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Andy Molitor","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Andy-Molitor-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/15825","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15826"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15825"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=15825"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=15825"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Bombers<\/h2>\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/ddistance-1024x563.png\")
<\/p>\nPar 4 Masters<\/h2>\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/p4bob-1024x543.png\")
<\/p>\nScoring in Bunches<\/h2>\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/bobeasy-1024x536.png\")
<\/p>\nBMW Championship One and Done Suggestions<\/h2>\n
\nCameron Young<\/span><\/span><\/a>
\nSam Burns<\/span><\/span><\/a>
\nKurt Kitayama<\/span><\/span><\/a>
\nAkshay Bhatia<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n