{"id":15293,"date":"2025-07-02T14:01:39","date_gmt":"2025-07-02T14:01:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&#038;p=15293"},"modified":"2025-07-02T14:01:39","modified_gmt":"2025-07-02T14:01:39","slug":"john-deere-classic-one-and-done-strategy","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/john-deere-classic-one-and-done-strategy\/","title":{"rendered":"John Deere Classic One and Done Strategy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>One of the smallest purses of the season, a holiday weekend, and only a half dozen weeks or so to go.\u00a0 It feels very much like last week:\u00a0 If you&#8217;re leading, keep it on the level with Griffin (or whoever you think is safe and chalky), and if you&#8217;re trailing, there is literally about 40 guys that you could call upon this week.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So, let&#8217;s head to Iowa\/Illinois to see how to grab as much as possible from this $8.4M purse ($1.5M to the winner).<\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Cutmakers<\/h2>\n<p>Not a ton of names with a win on the list, but it&#8217;s not that kind of week (in fact we often have a first time winner here).\u00a0 So this is going to be the last 12 months (all golf, no filters), sorted by made cut %.\u00a0 This isn&#8217;t a huge sample, but it goes to show that even some of the lower priced options can be considered &#8220;safe&#8221; if you&#8217;re short on names and need to tread water with a deeper cut.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-15294\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/cut-jdc-1024x560.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"560\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/cut-jdc-1024x560.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/cut-jdc-300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/cut-jdc-768x420.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/cut-jdc.png 1351w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Scorers<\/h2>\n<p>Birdiefest requires birdies; it&#8217;s pretty simple.\u00a0 So, looking at BoB rates for the past 12 months (taking out any rounds played under difficult conditions).\u00a0 Again, a bunch of names in the $7000 DFS range, all of them with decent enough samples to take seriously.\u00a0 A few guys spiking a bit in the Eagles department, but with one fewer par 5 this week, I&#8217;m not as focused on that.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-15296\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bob-2-1024x537.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"537\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bob-2-1024x537.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bob-2-300x157.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bob-2-768x403.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bob-2.png 1449w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Comp Course Guys<\/h2>\n<p>Finally, I looked at comp courses (Detroit, 3M, Sedgefield, River Highlands) over the past three years to see who&#8217;s shone in similar conditions.\u00a0 I thought about including Deere Run, but opted to just leave it to comp courses and not include course history.\u00a0 I did filter this by golfers that played at least eight rounds over the 36 month time frame.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-15295\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/comp-courses-1024x527.png\" alt=\"john deere classic one and done\" width=\"1024\" height=\"527\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/comp-courses-1024x527.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/comp-courses-300x154.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/comp-courses-768x395.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/comp-courses.png 1471w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>John Deere Classic One and Done Suggestions<\/h2>\n<p>Literaly anyone in the top 50 on the odds board.\u00a0 You can make a case for almost any of them.\u00a0 There are probably some guys worth crossing off based on form (especially putting) .\u00a0 Plenty of guys can play themselves into form, but if you&#8217;re losing strokes on the putting green consistently, it&#8217;s not going to be easy (chart shows the worst in the field over the past two months, min 12 rounds).<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-15297\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/putz.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"868\" height=\"697\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/putz.png 868w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/putz-300x241.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/putz-768x617.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 868px) 100vw, 868px\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Safe-ish<\/h4>\n<p>Ben Griffin<br \/>\nDavis Thompson<br \/>\nJ.T. Poston<\/p>\n<h4>Chaser Shots<\/h4>\n<p>Emiliano Grillo<br \/>\n<span class=\"unlink-player\">Kevin Yu<\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"unlink-player\">Andrew Putnam<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Exploring a few key stats in hopes of finding a diamond in the rough down in the Quad Cities.  Recommendations for One and Done Strategy for the 2025 John Deere Classic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":15298,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14],"bs_tags":[120,163],"class_list":["post-15293","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_tag-john-deere-classic","bs_tag-one-and-done"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/USATSI_26550429_168402478_lowres.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":120,"name":"John Deere Classic","slug":"john-deere-classic"},{"id":163,"name":"One and Done","slug":"one-and-done"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Andy Molitor","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Andy-Molitor-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/15293","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15298"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15293"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=15293"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=15293"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}