{"id":15197,"date":"2025-06-24T14:45:58","date_gmt":"2025-06-24T14:45:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&#038;p=15197"},"modified":"2025-06-24T14:48:52","modified_gmt":"2025-06-24T14:48:52","slug":"2025-rocket-classic-noonans-outright-picks-and-preview","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/2025-rocket-classic-noonans-outright-picks-and-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"2025 Rocket Classic- Noonan\u2019s Outright Picks and Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">There&#8217;s no way to sugarcoat things here; the North Course at Detroit Golf Club is one of the easiest layouts on the PGA Tour rotation. It&#8217;s a traditional parkland venue with tree-lined fairways and flat topography. The Par-72 layout comes in at 7,370 yards, and without the penal areas off the tee or on approach, scoring opportunities will be plentiful. Since the course does not penalize poor shots, there is <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">little<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> separation between great and below-average tee-to-green play. We&#8217;ve seen a wide array of golf styles compete at this event, so there&#8217;s not a perfect golfer archetype to hone in on this week, though those with plus distance will be at an advantage.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This is a driver-heavy setup, with the field using <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">driver<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> off the tee roughly 10-15% more often than a standard PGA Tour event. We also see a greens in regulation rate that hovers around 73%, with GIR% from the fairway and rough significantly higher than an average event. It&#8217;s easy to understand why we see such a high GIR% here, considering 31% of the approach shots at Detroit GC come from the 50-125-yard range. We&#8217;re looking at a lot of holes where it&#8217;s driver-wedge-birdie, which is why the scoring average hovers around 1.7 strokes under par with a winning score in the 18-25 under-par range.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">For more course details, check out\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/PGASplits101\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Ron&#8217;s<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/golf-betting\/2025-rocket-classic-at-detroit-golf-club-preview\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">course preview<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">. It&#8217;s the best in the business, bar none. Also, don&#8217;t forget to check out our new research tools, the course <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/course-stats\/detroit-gc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">stats page<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, along with the\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/tournament-cheat-sheet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Tournament Cheat Sheet.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Podcast:\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/podcasts.apple.com\/us\/podcast\/betsperts-golf-betting-and-dfs-preview\/id1613405978\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Apple<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> |\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/show\/2vCFcaoVvBFsGRs4lgiywh\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Spotify<\/span><\/a><\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">YouTube:\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCizPcPE4ktiGahWyzq9ycJA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Betsperts Golf<\/span><\/a><\/h3>\n<h2><\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Key\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/the-rabbit-hole\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Rabbit Hole<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> Stats This Week:<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">SG: Total (Scoring Conditions: Very Easy and Easy)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">SG: BS (Driver Heavy, Missed Fairway Penalty Low)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Driving Distance<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">SG: BS (Very Easy\/Easy OTT + Very Easy\/Easy APP)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Birdie or Better%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">There are millions of ways to bet on this beautiful game, and my goal with this piece is to touch on the golfers I&#8217;m targeting in the outright market this week. Remember to check out the\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/the-rabbit-hole\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Rabbit Hole<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, our customizable stat database that can help you pare down your player pool each week.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Please take advantage of the\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/discord.gg\/HujqSwCvwR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Discord<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> feature and community. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">It&#8217;s the best way to <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">get<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> up-to-the-minute lines and advice<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, and if<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> you need help getting started, please reach out.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> That&#8217;s where my full card will be posted, along with any live in-tournament bets.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">*Betting lines are accurate at the time of publication in Discord.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-15200 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Subheading-9.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"970\" height=\"250\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Subheading-9.png 970w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Subheading-9-300x77.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Subheading-9-768x198.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 970px) 100vw, 970px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Noonan&#8217;s Rocket Mortgage Classic Outright Targets<\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/cameron-young\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Cameron Young<\/a> (30\/1)<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>I have more golfers on my card than I normally do, but I&#8217;m fishing at the bottom of the barrel a lot, with most plays 100\/1 or greater. I&#8217;m taking two shots near the top of the board, with the first being Cameron Young.<\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">I&#8217;m new to the <a href=\"\/golfer\/cameron-young\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Cameron Young<\/a> bandwagon, and while I&#8217;d love to jump off after a poor showing over the week at the Travelers, this seems like a bad time to pull the plug. Few golfers in this field have the distance\/putting chops that Young&#8217;s flashing of late, and he&#8217;s finished T6 and T2 in his two previous Detroit Golf Club starts.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/luke-clanton\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Luke Clanton<\/a> (40\/1)<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">I&#8217;ve bet <a href=\"\/golfer\/luke-clanton\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Luke Clanton<\/a> at shorter prices against better fields, so I can&#8217;t be on the sidelines here. This is the event that put Clanton on the map for casual PGA Tour fans last season, with a T10 finish. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">His <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">strokes gained<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> profile is a bit inconsistent right now, but I believe in <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">the<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> talent long-term, and I like seeing him <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">gaining<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> strokes on approach in four straight starts.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> If we see another solid putting week like his 0.59 strokes per round last week in Connecticut, he should contend.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/jake-knapp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jake Knapp<\/a> (90\/1)<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">We&#8217;re <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">a bit<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> removed from the spring swing, where <a href=\"\/golfer\/jake-knapp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jake Knapp<\/a> posted multiple strong finishes, but he profiles well for Detroit Golf Club.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> He&#8217;s generally a good putter but struggled a bit on these greens last season, but he was seventh in SG: Ball-striking, just behind Cam Young and <a href=\"\/golfer\/luke-clanton\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Luke Clanton<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">I used the Rabbit Hole to <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">look at<\/span> <span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">who&#8217;s<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> performed best on courses with easy scoring conditions, where it&#8217;s easy to gain strokes ball striking, and the field went driver-heavy off the tee due to the lack of missed fairway penalty.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> Over the past two years, <a href=\"\/golfer\/jake-knapp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jake Knapp<\/a> <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">leads<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> the field in average strokes gained per round.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/michael-thorbjornsen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Michael Thorbjornsen<\/a> (100\/1)<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Our guy, Ron Klos, is boots on the ground in Detroit this week and <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/PGASplits101\/status\/1937223741265543177\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">was able to chat with<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> <a href=\"\/golfer\/michael-thorbjornsen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Michael Thorbjornsen<\/a> and his caddie, JJ Jakovac, about the wrist injury that led to the RBC Canadian <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">withdrawal<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> Thor was trending well heading into June, having made four straight cuts and contending at the Corales Puntacana Championship (T2). He&#8217;s gained strokes ball-striking in six <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">straight<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> starts, and this driver-heavy, birdie-demanded setup serves him well.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/jesper-svensson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jesper Svensson<\/a> (100\/1)<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">After rating out <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/custom-report\/24815\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">eighth in my model this week<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, <a href=\"\/golfer\/jesper-svensson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jesper Svensson<\/a> was a no-brainer click for me at 100\/1. His skill set is the ideal fit for navigating Detroit GC. He ranks fourth in this field in driving distance and also cracks the top ten in birdie or better rate and wedge proximity (50-100 yards), a key recipe for a strong finish here.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Consistency isn&#8217;t his strength, which is why he&#8217;s 100\/1, but he&#8217;s flashed a high-upside ceiling this season. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">He&#8217;ll <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">just<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> need to piece it together for four rounds.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> The putter has been wildly inconsistent, but the ceiling outcomes are what we should be looking for when shopping this deep down the odds board. He&#8217;s just 59th in this field in the percentage of rounds where he&#8217;s strokes gained positive putting (50%), but he&#8217;s ninth in the <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">percentage<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> of rounds where he&#8217;s gained 2+ strokes putting (20.83%).<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/lee-hodges\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Lee Hodges<\/a> (110\/1)<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/lee-hodges\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Lee Hodges<\/a> has played his best golf on driver-heavy courses this season, posting a T9 at Torrey Pines, a T11 at Memorial Park, and a T9 last time out in Canada. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">His lone career victory came at the 2023 3M Open, a track <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">that has a lot of<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> similarities to Detroit GC.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Hodges isn&#8217;t especially long off the tee, but he&#8217;ll still be left with a lot of short approach shots this week, and he&#8217;s a sneaky-good wedge player. He <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">putted<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> poorly this spring but gained nearly a full shot per round last time out in Canada. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">If he can continue to roll it well, <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">I think<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> he has a lot of upside this week.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/matt-mccarty\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Matt McCarty<\/a> (150\/1)<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/matt-mccarty\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Matt McCarty<\/a> has a similar profile to <a href=\"\/golfer\/lee-hodges\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Lee Hodges<\/a>, except he&#8217;s a far more consistent putter. The Black Desert Classic winner is among the top 12 putters in the field on similar bentgrass\/poa greens over the past two seasons, and he&#8217;s an exceptional wedge player as well, ranking fourth in proximity from 50-100 yards over the past 36 rounds.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">A poor showing at Oakmont is dragging down <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">a lot<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> of his rolling strokes gained metrics, but that&#8217;s why using the Rabbit Hole to contextualize this week&#8217;s test is <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">such<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> a better way to handicap things.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> McCarthy was a popular sleeper heading into the U.S. Open after his T4 at the RBC Canadian Open. McCarty won three times on the Korn Ferry Tour last summer before his swing season win in Utah, so he&#8217;s capable of going low on easy setups.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/antoine-rozner\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Antoine Rozner<\/a> (150\/1)<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><a href=\"\/golfer\/antoine-rozner\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Antoine Rozner<\/a> has made the cut in 12 consecutive starts, and while he&#8217;s rarely teeing off late on the weekend, he&#8217;s trending up heading into Detroit. The Frenchman is an emerging member of &#8220;Team No Putt,&#8221; posting terrific ball-striking numbers that are just begging for a field-average putting performance.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">He&#8217;s<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> posted competitive finishes at similar venues, where his plus-distance and strong wedge game can shine.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> He&#8217;s gained strokes <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">putting<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> in three of his past four starts. If he can do that again, he&#8217;ll flirt with a top-20 finish or better.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-15199 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/downloaded-image-23.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1620\" height=\"1620\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/downloaded-image-23.jpg 1620w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/downloaded-image-23-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/downloaded-image-23-1024x1024.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/downloaded-image-23-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/downloaded-image-23-768x768.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/downloaded-image-23-1536x1536.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1620px) 100vw, 1620px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":15198,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14],"bs_tags":[29,125],"class_list":["post-15197","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_tag-golf-betting","bs_tag-rocket-mortgage-classic"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/USATSI_23656032_168403787_lowres.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":29,"name":"Golf Betting","slug":"golf-betting"},{"id":125,"name":"Rocket Mortgage Classic","slug":"rocket-mortgage-classic"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Ryan Noonan","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Ryan-Noonan-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/15197","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15198"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15197"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=15197"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=15197"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}