{"id":14127,"date":"2025-03-26T19:28:51","date_gmt":"2025-03-26T19:28:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&#038;p=14127"},"modified":"2025-04-01T14:49:23","modified_gmt":"2025-04-01T14:49:23","slug":"2025-texas-childrens-houston-open-betting-preview","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/2025-texas-childrens-houston-open-betting-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"2025 Texas Children&#8217;s Houston Open &#8211; Betting Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With the Florida Swing concluded, and only two weeks before the Masters, the PGA Tour heads west to Memorial Park Golf Course and the Houston Open. One of the country\u2019s best public, municipal courses, Memorial Park is a long par 70 that measures 7,475 yards and can trace its origins back to 1912. The course features five par 3s and three par 5s. There are only 21 bunkers on the entire course and only four water danger holes. The defense of the course is the unique green complexes that feature plenty of undulations and short-grass runoffs with false fronts. \u201cNothing is hidden, it\u2019s all out in front of you. But these green complexes can be treacherous if they don\u2019t hit their target,\u201d said course superintendent, Parker Henry.<\/p>\n<p>Playing two-thirds of a stroke over par after its first four editions, Memorial Park emphasizes the importance of a well-rounded game. Due to the tournament moving from its fall slot (where it was held from 2020-2022) to the spring for last year\u2019s event, the agronomy change has allowed the course to play less challenging. What was once a wall-to-wall bermudagrass course is now overseeded with Poa trivialis on the greens, with the biggest change\u00a0 \u2013\u00a0 switching from penal 2.5\u2033 Bermuda rough to the much easier and shorter 1.25\u2033 ryegrass overseed. What was once one of the toughest non-major tee-to-green courses on Tour became less so thanks to this switch in turf necessitated by the tournament\u2019s seasonal change. Players can take more aggressive shots coming out of the rough than in years past without having to worry about \u201cfliers\u201d or bad lies from the unpredictable Bermuda turf.<\/p>\n<p>According to the data, and also the type of golfer that signs up to play here annually, this is one of the clearest \u201cbomber\u201d courses on the PGA Tour. Whether it\u2019s past winners (<span class=\"unlink-player\">Stephan Jaeger<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Tony Finau<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Carlos Ortiz<\/span>), contenders (<span class=\"unlink-player\">Scottie Scheffler<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Dustin Johnson<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Thomas Detry<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Alejandro Tosti<\/span>), or golfers who have played here all four previous tournaments (<span class=\"unlink-player\">Taylor Pendrith<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Wyndham Clark<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Jason Day<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Keith Mitchell<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Luke List<\/span>), players who crush the ball off the tee typically have a sizeable advantage at the second longest course on Tour.<\/p>\n<h2>The Field<\/h2>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/Gml9-CpX0AAigSB?format=jpg&amp;name=small\" alt=\"Image\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Headlining the 144-player field are nine of the top-30 ranked players in the world led by No. 1\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Scottie Scheffler<\/span>\u00a0and No. 2\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Rory McIlroy<\/span>. Other notables include\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Wyndham Clark<\/span>, Houston resident\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Sahith Theegala<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Tony Finau<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Sungjae Im<\/span>\u00a0and\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Jason Day<\/span>.\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Stephan Jaeger<\/span>\u00a0also returns to defend his 2024 title. McIlroy, who is currently the hottest player in the world, will be getting in his Augusta National prep this week as he makes his course debut. With two runner-up finishes in the last three years, Scheffler returns to Memorial Park looking for his first Houston Open victory.<\/p>\n<p>There is also a decent mid-tier group of golfers in attendance this week including\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Si Woo Kim<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Maverick McNealy<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Aaron Rai<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">J.J. Spaun<\/span>,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Thomas Detry<\/span>, and\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Taylor Pendrith<\/span>. The first two Houston Open champions at Memorial Park,\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Carlos Ortiz<\/span>\u00a0and\u00a0<span class=\"unlink-player\">Jason Kokrak<\/span>\u00a0will again be absent this week as each is on the LIV Tour. There is a 36-hole cut on Friday with the top-65 and ties making it through to the weekend to compete for the $9.5 million purse.<\/p>\n<h2>Most Important Stats For Success at Memorial Park<\/h2>\n<p><em>*In order of importance<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>SG: APP<\/li>\n<li>Scrambling (Short Grass)<\/li>\n<li>Bogey Avoidance<\/li>\n<li>Driving Distance<\/li>\n<li>Good Drive %<\/li>\n<li>Birdie or Better %<\/li>\n<li>SG: Putting (Poa Trivialis\/Overall)<\/li>\n<li>Proximity 200+ yards<\/li>\n<li>3-Putt AVD<\/li>\n<li>SG: Total on Difficult Scoring courses<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Key\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.betspertsgolf.com\/the-rabbit-hole\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Rabbit Hole<\/a>\u00a0Filters<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Course Region: Texas<\/li>\n<li>Comp Courses: GC of Houston, Renaissance Club, Congaree, Quail Hollow, Augusta National, TPC Scottsdale, Riviera, Southern Hills, Bay Hill<\/li>\n<li>Scoring Conditions: Difficult<\/li>\n<li>Course Length: Very Long<\/li>\n<li>Field Strength: Weak<\/li>\n<li>Greens Surface: Poa Trivialis<\/li>\n<li>Green Size: Large<\/li>\n<li>Rough Length: Short<\/li>\n<li>OTT Club: Driver Heavy<\/li>\n<li>Gain APP: Difficult<\/li>\n<li>Gain ARG: Difficult<\/li>\n<li>Scrambling Short Grass: Difficult<\/li>\n<li>3-Putt AVD: Difficult<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Weather Forecast \u2013 Houston, Texas<\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-14097\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-23-234905.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1112px) 100vw, 1112px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-23-234905.png 1112w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-23-234905-300x92.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-23-234905-1024x313.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-23-234905-768x235.png 768w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1112\" height=\"340\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-14098\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-23-234930.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1112px) 100vw, 1112px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-23-234930.png 1112w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-23-234930-300x93.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-23-234930-1024x316.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-23-234930-768x237.png 768w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1112\" height=\"343\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>The Houston Open \u2013 Final Model<\/h2>\n<p>In each preview article and on\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/3j0FuhF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Discord<\/a>, I present my final model, which gives a detailed player ranking of the most important stats and splits for the week. My modeling is built around the PGA\u2019s Strokes Gained data, which is divided into SG: Off the Tee (OTT), SG: Approach (APP), SG: Around the Green (ARG), and SG: Putting (P). Learn more about\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.pgatour.com\/news\/2016\/05\/31\/strokes-gained-defined.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Strokes Gained<\/a>\u00a0and why it can be so useful in analyzing the past and predicting future performance. Many of these specific metrics and conditions can be found in \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/3viXUDP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The Rabbit Hole<\/a>\u201c, with my final model exclusively published here and in the Discord for subscribers.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1VTC6yWKqeh6gm0ncl8xpiabA-gEZeeK2KeWT-9QJS8A\/edit?usp=sharing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1VTC6yWKqeh6gm0ncl8xpiabA-gEZeeK2KeWT-9QJS8A\/edit?usp=sharing<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-14130\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-135544.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1569\" height=\"928\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-135544.jpg 1569w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-135544-300x177.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-135544-1024x606.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-135544-768x454.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-135544-1536x908.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1569px) 100vw, 1569px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-14131\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-135939.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1569\" height=\"928\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-135939.jpg 1569w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-135939-300x177.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-135939-1024x606.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-135939-768x454.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-135939-1536x908.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1569px) 100vw, 1569px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-14132\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140241.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1568\" height=\"928\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140241.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140241-300x178.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140241-1024x606.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140241-768x455.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140241-1536x909.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-14133\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140318.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1571\" height=\"922\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140318.jpg 1571w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140318-300x176.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140318-1024x601.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140318-768x451.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140318-1536x901.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1571px) 100vw, 1571px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-14134\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140345.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1568\" height=\"480\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140345.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140345-300x92.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140345-1024x313.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140345-768x235.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Screenshot-2025-03-26-140345-1536x470.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"outright-betting-selections\">Outright Betting Selections<\/h2>\n<p><em>For the most up-to-date picks, check out my\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PGASplits101\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0and subscribe to our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/discord.gg\/HujqSwCvwR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Discord<\/a>\u00a0at BetspertsGolf.com.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>*Lines accurate at the time of publication.<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Im +4500 (0.53u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>M.W. Lee +5000 (0.48u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Clark +5000 (0.48u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Pendrith +5500 (0.43u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Detry +6000 (0.40u) &#8211; FD<\/li>\n<li>McNealy +6600 (0.36u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Theegala +7000 (0.34u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Greyserman +7500 (0.32u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>R. Hojgaard +10000 (0.24u) &#8211; MGM<\/li>\n<li>N. Hojgaard 12500 (0.19u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Finishing Position Picks<\/h2>\n<h3>Top 20<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Rai +135 (1u) &#8211; DK<\/li>\n<li>Thompson +175 (1u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Top 30<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Im +100 (1u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>MW Lee +110 (1u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Pendrith +120 (1u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>Theegala +130 (1u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>McNealy +140 (1u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Top 40<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Greyserman +110 (1u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<li>N. Hojgaard +138 (1u) &#8211; Rivers<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>This article is intended for entertainment purposes and adult users only. Call\u00a0<a href=\"tel:1-800-GAMBLER\">1-800-GAMBLER<\/a>\u00a0if you have a gambling problem.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Photo by Sam Greenwood\/Getty Images<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":14135,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14],"bs_tags":[29,139],"class_list":["post-14127","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_tag-golf-betting","bs_tag-houston-open"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/gettyimages-2205290035-612x612-1.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":29,"name":"Golf Betting","slug":"golf-betting"},{"id":139,"name":"Texas Children's Houston Open","slug":"houston-open"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Ron Klos","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Ron-Klos-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"true","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/14127","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14135"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14127"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=14127"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=14127"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}