\nRory McIlroy<\/a> WINNER<\/strong>
\nCollin Morikawa<\/a> T9<\/strong>
\nXander Schauffele<\/a> 72<\/strong>
\nTommy Fleetwood<\/a>\u00a0 T14<\/strong>
\nLudvig \u00c5berg<\/a> CUT<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
It’s a tough event with a lot of volatility again this week, but a much smaller purse.\u00a0 The Valspar is tied for 27th in the purse size rankings with an $8.7 million pot and $1.566 million to the winner.\u00a0 With lots of water and ways to eject, finding your guy will be another tough one, but as always, we’ll try.\u00a0 It’s a slightly better field than I expected with some guys looking to get some more golf in before the Masters, and as always, we’ll look at who’s been making the cut.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Cutmakers<\/h1>\n
I sorted out any rounds where it has been easy to gain strokes off the tee and looked at a two-year sample of it.\u00a0 Probably take Viktor Hovland<\/a> with a big grain of salt, as he’s still trying to figure stuff out.\u00a0 Still a ton of the favorites here, as usual, but Beau Hossler<\/a> is an interesting case.\u00a0 He’s losing strokes on approach over this sample but driving and putting well enough to be in the top twenty 31% of the time.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Another one where I added a filter to the page to help get a look at similar rounds.\u00a0 This is the past two years on “Less than Driver” courses, sorted by Strokes Gained: Ball Striking.\u00a0 Now, we’re getting some names further down the board.\u00a0 Xander, Conners, Shane, and Sepp still make the leaderboard here, but the suddenly not-terrible Joel Dahmen<\/span> does too.\u00a0 Dahmen’s putting is still hurting him, but he’s made the cut in three straight and has a couple top tens this year (one was in Mexico, not a great comp to Innisbrook to be fair).<\/p>\n Finally, this one was via Noonan on the livestream.\u00a0 With five par 3s and tough scoring conditions, I looked at how this field has done over the the past couple of years on Par 3s when I sorted out rounds that were “easy” scoring on the par 3s.\u00a0 All five are fairly long and will create some issues even if the wind doesn’t pick up that much.\u00a0 Vince Whaley<\/a> and Ryo Hiatsune are on the leaderboard with the big boys!\u00a0 Even playing injured for some time, Zalatoris also finds himself in a familiar spot.<\/p>\n With the winds looking like there will be a definite AM\/PM advantage, I guess for now I would look to guys with early tee times on Thursday.\u00a0 This can always switch up, as weather is unpredictable, but as of right now, the winds Thursday afternoon and Friday morning look rough and I won’t be getting cute with it.<\/p>\n Sepp Straka<\/a> Be sure to check out Ron’s free course preview<\/a> and to check out more stats at the Rabbit Hole<\/a><\/p>\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Looking at three key stats to help decide how to approach one and done this week at the Valspar Championship in Florida.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":14015,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14,15],"bs_tags":[163,97],"class_list":["post-14009","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_type-fantasy","bs_tag-one-and-done","bs_tag-the-valspar-championship"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/USATSI_25211467_168402478_lowres-Cropped.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":163,"name":"One and Done","slug":"one-and-done"},{"id":97,"name":"The Valspar Championship","slug":"the-valspar-championship"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"},{"id":15,"name":"Fantasy"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Andy Molitor","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Andy-Molitor-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/14009","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14015"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14009"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=14009"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=14009"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"\"](\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/cut2-1024x591.png\")
<\/p>\nBall Strikers<\/h1>\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/bs-ltd-1024x494.png\")
<\/p>\nPar 3 Golf<\/h1>\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Par-3-1024x747.png\")
<\/p>\nValspar One and Done Suggestions<\/h1>\n
\nTom Kim<\/a>
\nSam Burns<\/span>
\nMichael Kim<\/span>
\nwildcard: Rico Hoey<\/a><\/p>\n