{"id":13853,"date":"2025-03-04T18:39:06","date_gmt":"2025-03-04T18:39:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&p=13853"},"modified":"2025-03-04T18:39:06","modified_gmt":"2025-03-04T18:39:06","slug":"arnold-palmer-one-and-done-strategy-maximizing-the-purse-at-bay-hill","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/arnold-palmer-one-and-done-strategy-maximizing-the-purse-at-bay-hill\/","title":{"rendered":"Arnold Palmer One and Done Strategy: Maximizing the Purse at Bay Hill"},"content":{"rendered":"

I’m starting again with a recap of last week’s “suggestions.” Berger being the stinker of the safe picks was surprising, but most of it came in the last few holes on Sunday when his brain stopped working. Twitter darling Michael Kim<\/a> was a nice surprise. It feels like he’s going to win one this year (not a big one, but like 3M\/Detroit\/Alt Event).<\/p>\n

Anyway, last week’s results:<\/p>\n

Safe* (*as safe as one can be in Florida)<\/h5>\n

Daniel Berger<\/a>\u00a0T25<\/strong><\/span>
\nRussell Henley<\/a>\u00a0T6<\/strong><\/span>
\nSepp Straka<\/a>\u00a0T11<\/strong><\/span>
\nMin Woo Lee<\/a>\u00a0T11<\/strong><\/span>
\nBen Griffin<\/a>\u00a0T4<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Squirrely (barely)<\/h5>\n

Michael Kim<\/a>\u00a0T6<\/strong><\/span>
\nDavis Thompson<\/a>\u00a0CUT<\/strong><\/span>
\nBilly Horschel<\/a>\u00a0T25<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Heading into this week, we are in a very important two-week stretch.\u00a0 The API is a signature event, bringing a massive purse with it.\u00a0 Next week is even bigger, with $25 million on the table at Sawgrass.\u00a0 You kind of need to nail these.\u00a0 No pressure.<\/p>\n

Top 10 Finishes<\/h2>\n

Pulling up “cutmakers” in a field full of major champs can be a bit of an exercise in futility, so I sorted today by top 10%.\u00a0 As usual, the Texan is miles ahead, but that’ll be the case at any stop he find himself at this year.<\/p>\n

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Par Four Scoring<\/h2>\n

The six toughest holes are par 4s.\u00a0 While you need to find ways to score on the 5s, the winners will take care of business and find pars on the meatgrinder part of the course.\u00a0 Looking at Par 4 efficiency over the past year.\u00a0 Again, Scottie.<\/p>\n

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Looking at Comp Courses<\/h2>\n

Once again, I built out a model to save for next year with the rolling performance at 10 comp courses to see how the field has played on courses that match Bay Hill either agronomically or by how they play.\u00a0 You’ll never guess who’s coming up first overall.<\/p>\n

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Thesis\/Suggestions<\/h2>\n

It’s a big purse, and you should be using someone you consider a top 10-15 player in your ratings.\u00a0 You can use Scottie<\/em> if you don’t want to save him for the Players, a major, or the playoffs.\u00a0 That’s probably a decision you need to make based on the size of your pool.\u00a0 I’m skipping him here under the assumption he’s the best play from a pure “how many points will I score” standpoint at all the signature events and majors.\u00a0 If you are in a huge pool with multiple entries, you could go a little further down the board with some guys more in the 10-20 in the world type of ratings.<\/p>\n

Big Guns<\/h4>\n

Rory McIlroy<\/a>
\nLudvig Aberg
\nXander Schauffele<\/a><\/p>\n

Need to get unique?<\/h4>\n

Tommy Fleetwood<\/a>
\nSungjae Im<\/a>
\nSam Burns<\/a><\/p>\n

As always, if you want to use our data, play around with some models, or check what the experts built this week, head on over and take advantage of our\u00a0first month for just $10 deal.\u00a0 It’s going away after Bay Hill.\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>Just use promo code\u00a0MONTH10\u00a0<\/strong>when signing up for a monthly plan.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Boost your 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done pick with our data driven guide. Target top players like Scheffler or McIlroy at Bay Hill for max points!”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":13863,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14,15],"bs_tags":[70,163],"class_list":["post-13853","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_type-fantasy","bs_tag-arnold-palmer-invitational","bs_tag-one-and-done"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/USATSI_15689030_168402478_lowres-Cropped.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":70,"name":"Arnold Palmer Invitational","slug":"arnold-palmer-invitational"},{"id":163,"name":"One and Done","slug":"one-and-done"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"},{"id":15,"name":"Fantasy"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Andy Molitor","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Andy-Molitor-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/13853","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13863"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13853"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=13853"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=13853"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}