{"id":13592,"date":"2025-02-11T19:55:36","date_gmt":"2025-02-11T19:55:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&#038;p=13592"},"modified":"2025-02-11T19:55:37","modified_gmt":"2025-02-11T19:55:37","slug":"one-and-done-strategy-genesis-invitational","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/one-and-done-strategy-genesis-invitational\/","title":{"rendered":"One and Done Strategy: Genesis Invitational"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>It&#8217;s another Signature Event, and the pot is overflowing again.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This isn&#8217;t a week to get too cute with it; it&#8217;s time to <strong>burn a face card<\/strong> and move up the leaderboard.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, let&#8217;s look at a few splits that are important this week in the Rabbit Hole to see if someone floats to the top.  Starting with, as always, the cut line.  While this is just a 72-man event, the 36-hole cut will be limited to the top 50 players and anyone within 10 shots of the lead<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cut makers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This ain&#8217;t the Barracuda; we&#8217;re stacked with guys who make the cut 80%+ of the time they tee it up.  Maybe a number you should be paying a bit more attention to is the Top 5%, with Henley, Cantlay, Rory, Ludvig, and Collin over 25% (and Scottie again in a class of his own.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"564\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-22-1024x564.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13599\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-22-1024x564.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-22-300x165.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-22-768x423.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-22.png 1356w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carry Distance<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With this being one of the longer courses and the rains coming down to keep the fairways soft, it&#8217;s a good week to look at carry distance and see who can simply muscle it the furthest down there with clubhead speed.  Pulled a bigger sample here, but it&#8217;s still most of the usual suspects.  A nice one to look at when you dig in here may be smaller samples compared to something like the past 3-5 years to see who has been making improvements in this (or starting to lose their fastball).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"561\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-23-1024x561.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-23-1024x561.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-23-300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-23-768x420.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-23.png 1350w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tough Courses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p> I also wanted to sort &#8220;long&#8221; courses and &#8220;difficult&#8221; scoring conditions to see who&#8217;s performed well on comp courses and in similar conditions.  This is another bigger sample, so Scottie&#8217;s putting woes from a few years ago still crop up (as does Hov&#8217;s chipping), but overall, we&#8217;re getting a ton of the top-of-the-board guys here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"489\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-24-1024x489.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13601\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-24-1024x489.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-24-300x143.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-24-768x367.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-24.png 1465w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bad Weather<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, with the bad weather report, I pulled up a couple of years of data looking at golfers playing in 19mph+ winds to see who could handle themselves the best on Thursday and Friday.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"481\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-25-1024x481.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13602\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-25-1024x481.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-25-300x141.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-25-768x361.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-25.png 1465w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">One and Done Selections for Genesis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Like I said, off the top, this is not only a $20 million purse; it&#8217;s a $4 million prize for first place (some signature events are only 3.6M).  You can&#8217;t go throwing Patrick Rodgers out there this week.  Feels like it needs to be someone listed in your top 15 best remaining.  How I rank em isn&#8217;t too far off the odds board.  Just make sure Ludvig&#8217;s tummy is feeling better.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Scottie Scheffler<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Rory McIlroy<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ludvig Aberg<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Collin Morikawa<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hideki Matsuyama<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;<strong><em>But what if I&#8217;m in a massive contest, and I have ten entries, and I want to get weird with one<\/em> or two?<\/strong>&#8220;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, they probably don&#8217;t need to go too far down the board.  <strong>Finau, Lowry, Hovland, and Spieth<\/strong> work and help differentiate you slightly.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A quick look at which players should be considered for One and Done this week with a 20 million dollar pot at Torrey Pines<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":8771,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14,15],"bs_tags":[147,163],"class_list":["post-13592","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_type-fantasy","bs_tag-genesis-invitational","bs_tag-one-and-done"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/gettyimages-1628140233-612x612-1.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":147,"name":"Genesis Invitational","slug":"genesis-invitational"},{"id":163,"name":"One and Done","slug":"one-and-done"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"},{"id":15,"name":"Fantasy"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Andy Molitor","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Andy-Molitor-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/13592","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8771"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13592"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=13592"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=13592"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}