{"id":11776,"date":"2024-07-03T16:09:36","date_gmt":"2024-07-03T16:09:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&#038;p=11776"},"modified":"2024-07-03T16:12:48","modified_gmt":"2024-07-03T16:12:48","slug":"john-deere-classic-underdog-plays-round-1","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/john-deere-classic-underdog-plays-round-1\/","title":{"rendered":"John Deere Classic Underdog Plays \u2013 Round 1"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>We&#8217;ve partnered with&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/play.underdogfantasy.com\/pc-eRwOFPV5B3\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Underdog Fantasy<\/a> and their top-notch Pick&nbsp;&#8217;em&nbsp;platform! Each week,&nbsp;prior to Round 1, I&#8217;ll give you my thoughts on the top plays on the board. We also have a&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/discord.com\/channels\/951545006659878912\/1203142726741270580\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Discord channel devoted to Underdog Pick&nbsp;&#8217;em<\/a> plays as the tournament progresses, so remember to join and turn notifications on!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you&#8217;ve yet to sign up with&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/play.underdogfantasy.com\/pc-eRwOFPV5B3\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Underdog&nbsp;Fantasy<\/a>, now&#8217;s the time to get rewarded! New users who sign up with our exclusive promo code &#8220;BETSPERTSGOLF&#8221; not only get up to $250 in bonus funds with their first deposit but also a Pick&nbsp;&#8217;em&nbsp;Special waiting for them in the lobby.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>And that&#8217;s not all.&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/play.underdogfantasy.com\/pc-eRwOFPV5B3\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Underdog&nbsp;Fantasy<\/a> users who&nbsp;use promo code &#8220;BETSPERTSGOLF&#8221; and deposit at least $10 will get three months of Betsperts Golf for&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/golf-betting\/spend-the-summer-with-us-for-just-10-through-our-partner-underdog\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">FREE<\/a>, a value-packed offer!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For our Betspert Golf subscribers, we have an exciting tool in the works&nbsp;that&#8217;ll revolutionize your game! This tool will help highlight the top plays for each round based on our expert projections. We&#8217;ll have more information&nbsp;on that in the coming weeks, so keep an eye out for this game-changing feature!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/promotion-sign-up\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"186\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-23.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11556\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-23.png 720w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-23-300x78.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/play.underdogfantasy.com\/pc-eRwOFPV5B3\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Underdog&nbsp;Fantasy<\/a> does a great job of giving us so many different offerings&nbsp;to choose from. From round score to fairways hit, fantasy points to greens in regulation, their offerings are unmatched in the industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>John Deere Classic Underdog Plays \u2013 Round 1<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With slightly wider than average fairways and a handful of doglegs that force less-than-driver off the tee, TPC Deere Run has a fairway hit rate about 6% higher than the average Tour event. With that said, the fine folks at Underdog Fantasy are aware of this and have adjusted for it across the board. Still, some of the field&#8217;s more accurate drivers should still flourish, while other less accurate drivers are getting their line driven up based on the overall baseline expectation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I used the Rabbit Hole to create a driving accuracy model, accounting for short and long-term driving accuracy results along with how each golfer has fared when playing on courses with a high rough penalty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"605\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-7-1024x605.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11777\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-7-1024x605.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-7-300x177.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-7-768x454.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-7.png 1173w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>The top performers in the Driving Accuracy Model<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"537\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-8-1024x537.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11778\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-8-1024x537.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-8-300x157.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-8-768x403.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-8.png 1162w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Some other &#8216;notable&#8217; names<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Balancing out our slip with both HIGHER and LOWER options helps because we get taxed on correlation if we just use one side of one stat. Feel free to mix and match.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"328\" height=\"447\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-9.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11779\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-9.png 328w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-9-220x300.png 220w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 328px) 100vw, 328px\" \/><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>John Deere Classic Underdog Plays \u2013 Round 1<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":9432,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[15],"bs_tags":[73,157],"class_list":["post-11776","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-fantasy","bs_tag-golf-dfs","bs_tag-underdog"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/gettyimages-1159088535-612x612-1.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":73,"name":"Golf DFS","slug":"golf-dfs"},{"id":157,"name":"Underdog","slug":"underdog"}],"types_list":[{"id":15,"name":"Fantasy"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Ryan Noonan","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Ryan-Noonan-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/11776","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9432"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=11776"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=11776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}