{"id":11509,"date":"2024-06-17T21:33:22","date_gmt":"2024-06-17T21:33:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/?post_type=article&#038;p=11509"},"modified":"2024-06-18T16:41:11","modified_gmt":"2024-06-18T16:41:11","slug":"2024-travelers-championship-betting-card-picks-and-preview","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/article\/2024-travelers-championship-betting-card-picks-and-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 Travelers Championship Betting Card Picks and Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Pinehurst No. 2 did not disappoint. We were all provided with a thrilling finish for the 124th U.S. Open on Sunday, and most of the top players are back at it this week, with the season&#8217;s last signature event on tap. This is a demanding stretch of golf, and I&#8217;ll be fascinated to see who&#8217;s up for the challenge for the third week in a row. Muirfield Village presented a daunting task as a lead-in event to last week&#8217;s third major championship of the season. While this week&#8217;s track, TPC River Highlands, isn&#8217;t nearly as demanding, it requires a strategic game plan and precision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"ast-oembed-container\" style=\"height: 100%;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"The Travelers Championship First Look! | PGA Tour Opening Odds\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/-9KHr1N8CRk?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>The 2024 Travelers Championship brings us to the last Pete Dye course of the season. The par-70 layout stretches out to 6,835 yards from the tips, the third-shortest course on Tour this season. In past years, we&#8217;ve seen a wide array of skill sets show up to Cromwell, Connecticut, and win, which is what Pete Dye sets out to do in all of his designs. Play the best for four days, and you win. What a concept.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unlike the Memorial signature event a few weeks ago, the Travelers is a no-cut event. If Rory McIlroy decided to take a few days off, I don&#8217;t think any of us would be surprised, but as of this writing, we&#8217;re looking at a 72-man field. <em>(update: He&#8217;s OUT. Don&#8217;t blame him.)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For more course details, check out\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/PGASplits101\" target=\"_blank\">Ron&#8217;s<\/a>\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/golf-betting\/2024-travelers-championship-at-tpc-highlands-preview\" target=\"_blank\">course preview<\/a>. It&#8217;s by far the best in the business. Here&#8217;s an important tidbit about River Highlands:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When the field arrives in Cromwell this week, they will find a course that has undergone some &#8220;competitive enhancements&#8221; thanks to how low the scoring was last year, combined with Rory McIlroy&#8217;s comments about technology having rendered the layout obsolete. While length has not been added, six holes experienced significant changes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The agronomy for this week features 4-plus inch Bluegrass\/Fescue rough and a Bentgrass\/Poa annua mixture on the greens and fairways. Numerous lakes and ponds add to the course&#8217;s beauty, although only five holes have water in play. In Pete Dye fashion, the course (mostly on the back nine) does entice players into taking shots over some of these water hazards. The penal rough stands out as the course&#8217;s best defense. Players who end up off the fairway and in trouble will be forced to layup instead of going for the green with their approach shot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It has one of the lowest average driving distances on Tour at only 284 yards. With fairways being the 10th most narrow and many holes being tree-lined doglegs, many players club down and use less-than-driver from the tee. Perhaps the bigger reason players club down is some of the most penal rough that has been grown to 4+ inches long for this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To prevent a complete birdie-fest, the pin positions on the greens are typically in tougher locations. A Pete Dye course is not just going to give away birdies. Many of the green complexes are also angled away from the directional path of the hole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The green surfaces are a combination of &#8220;northeastern&#8221; Poa annua and bentgrass. This is not the bumpy inconsistent &#8220;west coast&#8221; Poa that is often complained about out west.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"186\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-9.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11127\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-9.png 720w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-9-300x78.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Remember to check out the&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/the-rabbit-hole\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Rabbit Hole<\/a>, our customizable stat database that can help you pair down your player pool each week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Please take advantage of the&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/discord.gg\/HujqSwCvwR\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Discord<\/a> feature and community. It&#8217;s the best way to get up-to-the-minute lines and advice, and if you need help getting started, please reach out.&nbsp;My full card&nbsp;and any live in-tournament bets will be posted here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">My top 5 key stats this week:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>SG: Total (Scoring Conditions: Very Easy, Easy, and Average + Course Length: Short and Very Short)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>SG: OTT (Club: Less than Driver and Mixed + Missed Fairway Penalty: Average and High)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>SG: APP (Course Length: Very Short and Short)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>SG: Total (Pete Dye Courses)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Par 4 Efficiency (Course Length: Very Short and Short)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>It&#8217;s a great week to attack the live betting markets, especially from an outright standpoint, because this course invites wild swings on the leaderboard. I&#8217;ll be a little lighter pre-flop, but looking to add once play gets underway. (You&#8217;ll want to be in the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/discord.gg\/HujqSwCvwR\" target=\"_blank\">Discord<\/a> for that.)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Noonan&#8217;s Travelers Betting Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Russell Henley<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>I backed Russell Henley in the &#8220;Without Scheffler&#8221; markets last week, and he certainly put up a better fight than Scottie did. Henley&#8217;s T7 finish was a fourth top-ten in his past nine starts. The field will be taking less-than-driver off the tee on multiple holes this week, which brings the field back to Henley a bit, and the rest of his game is up to the challenge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I knew that, going into the model-building process, Henley would show well, but I was surprised to see him emerge a<a href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/custom-report\/10770\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">s the third-ranked player in my model this week<\/a>. He&#8217;s the best short par-4 player in the field over the past two years, and nine of this week&#8217;s 12 par 4&#8217;s are 445 yards and shorter. I also looked at Good Drive% when the missed fairway penalty is high and when the field was forced to do anything other than blindly bomb away, and Henley came out on top of that data set as well. So far this season, Scottie Scheffler is the only golfer on the planet who&#8217;s been better than Henley from 100-150 yards out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/custom-report\/10770\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"405\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-16-1024x405.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11511\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-16-1024x405.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-16-300x119.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-16-768x304.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-16.png 1417w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Par 4 efficiency &#8211; Short and Very Short Courses, Last 2 Years<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The 50s that were available at open have dried up, but he&#8217;s available at plus money to finish inside the top 20 again, which is a low bar to clear in this 72-man field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>To Win:<\/strong> +5000 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.betsperts.com\/go\/fanduel\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">FanDuel<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Top 20<\/strong>: +110 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.betsperts.com\/go\/fanduel\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">FanDuel<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tom Kim<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>I like how Tom Kim is trending right now, and I&#8217;m particularly encouraged by his recent iron play. That was his calling card when he made his initial splash on Tour, and as would be the case for any 21-year-old trying to find their footing in this new landscape of professional golf, he&#8217;s had some ups and downs over the past couple of seasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/USATSI_23443025_168403787_lowres-1024x678.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11514\" width=\"768\" height=\"509\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/USATSI_23443025_168403787_lowres-1024x678.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/USATSI_23443025_168403787_lowres-300x199.jpg 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/USATSI_23443025_168403787_lowres-768x509.jpg 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/USATSI_23443025_168403787_lowres-1536x1017.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/USATSI_23443025_168403787_lowres-2048x1356.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>It&#8217;s all fun and games until you leave yourself above the hole for a bendy 4-footer on the 72nd hole (Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports) <\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Kim&#8217;s added distance this season, but he&#8217;ll always profile best on a shorter, positional golf course like TPC River Highlands. He&#8217;s tied for fourth in this week&#8217;s field in SG: APP from 100-150 yards out in 2024, and he ranks seventh in this week&#8217;s field in SG: APP over the past 12 rounds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>To Win :<\/strong> 60\/1&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.betsperts.com\/go\/fanduel\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">FanDuel<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Top 20:<\/strong> +150&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.betsperts.com\/go\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">J.T. Poston<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>We haven&#8217;t seen a lot of &#8216;longshots&#8217; take down signature events since their inception last season, but this is one of the courses where I think it&#8217;s possible. Last year&#8217;s winner, Keegan Bradley, was playing exceptionally well and had a legitimate case to be on the Ryder Cup team in the fall, but the leaderboard behind him showed what&#8217;s possible here. Bradley was followed by Zac Blair and Chez Reavie before you get to the Schefflers and McIlroys of the world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/betspertsgolf.com\/custom-report\/10770\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"488\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-17-1024x488.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11513\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-17-1024x488.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-17-300x143.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-17-768x366.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-17.png 1053w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>SG: Total, Scoring Conditions Very Easy, Easy, and Average on Short or Very Short Courses, Last 2 Years<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>I was surprised to see Poston&#8217;s name at the top of the chart when I looked at who&#8217;s performed well on short courses with easy scoring conditions. Not inside the top five or ten, but at the very top, side by side with the no. 1 player in the world. Poston has also been a form player historically, able to go on hot streaks when he gets his game squared up, and I believe he&#8217;s in it right now. He missed the cut at Valhalla, but he&#8217;s played well in the three starts since, including a T12 at Colonial and a T32 last week at Pinehurst.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He finished second here in 2022, which doesn&#8217;t hurt. A 100\/1 outright winner might not be your cup of tea in a loaded field like we have this week, but he&#8217;s worth a look at +225 for a top 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>To Win :<\/strong> 100\/1&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.betsperts.com\/go\/fanduel\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">FanDuel<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Top 20:<\/strong> +225&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.betsperts.com\/go\/draftkings\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DraftKings<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"577\" src=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-15-1024x577.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11510\" srcset=\"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-15-1024x577.png 1024w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-15-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-15-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-15.png 1435w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>The top 10 in my weekly Rabbit Hole Model<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ryan Noonan&#8217;s 2024 Travelers Championship Betting Card Picks and Preview<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":11512,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":""},"bs_types":[14],"bs_tags":[29,119],"class_list":["post-11509","article","type-article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","bs_type-betting","bs_tag-golf-betting","bs_tag-travelers-championship"],"acf":false,"featured_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/USATSI_22421944_168403787_lowres-scaled.jpg","tags_list":[{"id":29,"name":"Golf Betting","slug":"golf-betting"},{"id":119,"name":"Travelers Championship","slug":"travelers-championship"}],"types_list":[{"id":14,"name":"Betting"}],"bs_author":{"name":"Ryan Noonan","profile_image":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Ryan-Noonan-150x150.jpg"},"bs_term_name":null,"is_paid":"false","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/11509","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11512"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11509"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"bs_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_types?post=11509"},{"taxonomy":"bs_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/api.betspertsgolf.com\/raw-forum\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bs_tags?post=11509"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}