Mexico Open - Round 4 Betting and Showdown Picks

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The two top dogs in this event and the only players ranked inside the top-65 in the world rankings to even make the cut, Jon Rahm and Tony Finau, will be locked in a head-to-head clash on Sunday to win the Mexico Open. Finau enters the final round with a two-shot lead on Rahm and rookie Akshay Bhatia, with Brandon Wu three shots back at 16-under. While Bhatia and Wu definitely have the scoring firepower to give themselves a chance tomorrow (and are also the two contenders I have outrights with), common sense says that the two world-class players should separate themselves and battle it out. Even though Rahm is two shots back, surprisingly, there is decent value on his odds to win at +170. Seemingly even more dangerous when chasing the leader, he is the player I would be backing if choosing between them.

Weather Forecast – Nuevo Vallarta, Mexico

Round 4 Betting Matchups Model

*Strokes Gained Rating (SG RTG) is the key metric that combines all the weighted categories in the model. Some players (or matchups) may not be listed due to not having enough sample size data.