Houston Open Picks 2026: Bets, Weather, DFS Notes, Underdog | Fantasy Golf Picks

2026 Houston Open Quick Bets

WINNER

BOMBS

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FIRST ROUND LEADER

KFT

  • Shad Tuten +5500

LPGA

  • Miyu Yamashita +2200

H2H

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Houston Open 2026 Final Bets, One & Done | Golfer with Most Crossover Appeal, Tiger Woods Plays TGL/Masters???, Scheffler WD

Mayo and Keith Stewart of Read The Line discuss the odds for the 2026 Houston Open, making their Final Bets and One & Done selections. The guys preview which golfers fit the course, the weather draw, and more in a free-flowing golf conversation to have the final word on golf for the week. Plus, Tiger Woods’ return to golf on TGL.

2026 Houston Open Picks

Chris Gotterup — Gotterup sits 11th in the field in ball speed, has crushed long Par 4s all season, and has produced a far more efficient scrambling rate on closely mown surfaces than out of thicker rough. Probably won’t get away with losing strokes putting and winning as he did in Phoenix, but he won’t have to gain as many as most to find himself near the top of the leaderboard.

Kurt Kitayama — Drive it as long as you can with no worry of accuracy and get dialed in with irons. This is the Kurt Kitayama method. Kitayama’s lost strokes on approach just once in the past 12 months, sits 14th of all players in the field in ball speed, and 16th in distance. While “average” is probably too generous for his short game, he has gained on the greens in four of five and hasn’t been chipping himself out of tournaments lately. If you don’t have access to the each-way 3 markets, I highly recommend the PME boost at Coolbet, which gets Kitayama up to +3500. Just need to be in Canada (Outside Ontario) to play on Coolbet.

Nicolai Hojgaard & Pierceson Coody — I’ll never stop. Well, eventually I’ll literally run out of money. You know, if it’s another down week, maybe I will stop.

Michael Thorbjornsen — Wasn’t initially on Thorb, but then Keith and Fienberg talked me into it. Thorbjornsen perfectly fits the profile for a Houston winner, and once Scottie WD’d, there were still good numbers lingering.

Wyndham Clark — Someone once said, “Don’t bet a golfer who is currently yelling at their putter.” If they haven’t, they probably should. Still, I wouldn’t listen. Clark’s ball striking has been peaking over the past month, back to the levels of his career best run from two years ago. The problem is, he’s lost almost 18 strokes putting over his past 16 rounds. Fortunately, history suggests Clark is actually a good putter, so a rebound could come at any time, and he’s gained over 2 strokes putting each of the past three years at Memorial Park GC.

Aldrich Potgiter, Sudarshan Yellamaraju, Isaiah Salinda, Mason Howell — We’re going team ball speed with the longshots at Memorial Park. The driving will be there for these four; if one of them can do one or two other things well for a few rounds, we’re in business.

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Matti Schmid over Christian Bezuidenhout +110 (Coolbet) — Look, if I’m all in on bombers over short hitters this week, I see no better H2H on the board. At plus-money to boot!

2026 Houston Open WEATHER

No wave advantage this week. Take who ya want.

WIND TOWER: Hunters Creek Village

2026 Houston Open DRAFTKINGS

When Blickle and I did the show this week, we focused on constructing lineups we thought would be sneaky and without using Scottie Scheffler. Now that Scottie pulled out of the tournament because he didn’t pull out in his personal life (probably a sin or something), everyone is on the same builds. I still like playing a 4/2 onslaught with four studs and two 6K guys who fit the bomber profile. That amounts to three 9K players, a mid-to-low 8K, no 7Ks, and two 6Ks. That construction will remain unique. Will it be successful? Who fucking knows?

From that bottom tier, I used…

At the top, pick your poison. Without Scottie, everyone is carrying a lot of ownership because the highest-priced play is only $9,900. Burns, Nicolai, and Rickie appear like they’ll be a cut below the top end. I think Burns will actually come in lower than projected, so I like going to him as a first or second man this week.

No one wants any part of the upper 8Ks. If you have a lean on Harris English, Ben Griffin, Shane Lowry, or Harry Hall, you can print this week.

If you’re looking for the chalk guys below, Woodland, Fox, Finau, and Ol’ Yella will garner in-and-around 10% ownership. Tosti looks to be the choice of everyone in the 6Ks. He and Jesper Svensson are the only two projecting over 5%.

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Houston Open Underdog THURSDAY

Despite the course playing on the more difficult side in its historic form (yes, it was easy last year), the GIR rate for the field is just above 72%, which is about 13 GIR per round. All three are just below that number for the year, but this doesn’t take into consideration the more difficult courses in terms of GIR that they’ve played this season. Hitting the green at Sawgrass vs. Memorial Park are two different things. There are a ton of boosts in the Underdog Lobby right now; I used a 40% banger on this one.

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