2025 Procore Championship – Betting Preview

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Surrounded by the golden hills of the Napa Valley, the fall portion of the season begins out west with the Procore Championship (formerly the Fortinet Championship). Played on the North course at the 1,200-acre property known as the Silverado Resort and Spa, this will be the 12th year for the resort to host this event.

The North course at Silverado is one of the shortest on Tour and features extremely narrow tree-lined fairways, few hazards, non-penal rough, and tricky sloping greens. It is a very straightforward and scoreable course with a winning score that has averaged 17 under par since 2014.

The Procore Championship will double as a Ryder Cup tune-up, with 10 of the 12 U.S. team members in the field. As the opening event of the PGA Tour’s fall schedule, it boasts a strong lineup largely due to captain Keegan Bradley, who encouraged his players to head to Napa, California, as preparation for this month’s matches at Bethpage Black outside New York City.

The Field

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The field at the Procore Championship will be headlined by world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and include Sam BurnsPatrick CantlayHarris EnglishBen GriffinRussell HenleyCollin MorikawaJ.J. SpaunJustin Thomas, and Cameron Young. From the U.S. Ryder Cup team, only Xander Schauffele and Bryson DeChambeau will not be in the field at Silverado Resort. DeChambeau isn’t qualified for the event as a member of LIV Golf, although various sources said he will be in the area for team events.

Other notables include Akshay Bhatia, Ben An, Max HomaTom KimMaverick McNealyKeith MitchellSahith TheegalaGary Woodland, and defending champion Patton Kizzire.

The Procore Championship marks the first event of the 2025 FedExCup Fall. The FedExCup Fall consists of eight official PGA Tour events, providing players with an opportunity to secure or improve their positions in the priority ranking and earn additional playing opportunities for the 2026 FedEx Cup Season, which begins at The Sentry in January. Furthermore, points can only be earned by players ranked 51st or lower.

Past Winners & Odds

Most Important Stats For Success at Silverado (North)

*In order of importance

  • SG: Approach
  • Par 5 Scoring
  • SG: ARG/Scrambling
  • Driving Distance
  • SG: Par 4: 400-450
  • Birdie or Better %
  • Proximity: 75-150
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • SG: Putting (Poa/Bent)
  • Course History – Silverado/Comp Courses

Key Rabbit Hole Filters

  • Course Region: West
  • Scoring Conditions: Easy
  • Course Length: Short/Very Short
  • Field Strength: Strong
  • Event Season: Fall
  • Bunker #: Low
  • Water Danger: Low
  • Greens Size: Small
  • Architect: Robert Trent Jones
  • Greens Surface: Bent/Poa
  • Fairway Accuracy: Difficult
  • Rough Penalty: Low
  • Scrambling Short Grass: Difficult
  • 3-Putt AVD: Easy

Procore Championship – Final Model

In each preview article and on Discord, I present my final model, which gives a detailed player ranking of the most important stats and splits for the week. My modeling is based on the PGA’s Strokes Gained data, which is categorized into SG: Off the Tee (OTT), SG: Approach (APP), SG: Around the Green (ARG), and SG: Putting (P). Learn more about Strokes Gained and why it can be so useful in analyzing the past and predicting future performance. Many of these specific metrics and conditions can be found in “The Rabbit Hole“, with my final model exclusively published here and in the Discord for subscribers.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1H_UInOB11UeoKA_WfnkxicSHv9n2Av8iH0mgafm4fpc/edit?usp=sharing

Outright Betting Selections

For the most up-to-date picks, check out my Twitter and subscribe to our Discord at BetspertsGolf.com.

*Lines accurate at the time of publication.

  • Spaun +2800 (0.85u) – MGM
  • Griffin +3000 (0.80u) – Rivers
  • Morikawa +3000 (0.80u) – Rivers
  • Thompson +5500 (0.43u) – FD
  • Theegala +12500 (0.19u) – Rivers
  • Clanton +15000 (0.16u) – Rivers
  • An +17500 (0.13u) – Rivers
  • T. Kim +17500 (0.13u) – Rivers
  • Cole +17500 (0.13u) – FD

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Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images