2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Betting Preview

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The PGA Tour heads north up the Pacific Coast to the Monterey Bay Peninsula for the year’s second “Signature” event featuring the iconic Pebble Beach Golf Links and the challenging Spyglass Hill course.

Last year’s tournament saw the beginning of numerous changes to the event’s structure that will continue this year. The field size was sliced in half to 80 golfers with only two courses in play. On Thursday and Friday, thirty-six holes will be played between Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill with each of the PGA Tour golfers paired with an amateur. Similar to last year, there is no cut, and the final two rounds will be played solely at Pebble Beach and only by the pros.

Both courses are exposed to the Pacific coast, where the weather can change quickly and influence the outcome of this tournament. However, they also share other similarities. Each is among the shortest courses on Tour, at under 7,100 yards. They also have among the top five smallest greens, with Pebble Beach having the most minuscule greens on Tour, at an average of only 3,500 square feet. Finally, each course has the same agronomy, with a blend of Poa annua and Ryegrass in the fairways and rough and pure Poa greens.

While Spyglass Hill is scenic in its own right, Pebble Beach is the crown jewel of this tournament. The way the jagged coastline meets the cliffs is beyond words. It truly is the greatest meeting of land and sea in American golf. Said Jack Nicklaus, “If I had only one more round to play, I would choose to play at Pebble Beach. I loved this course from the first time I saw it. It’s possibly the best in the world.”

Having hosted this event since 1947, past winners are a historical “who’s who” of golf including Ben Hogan, Byron Nelson, Billy Casper, Ken Venturi, Johnny Miller, Jack Nicklaus, Tom Watson, Davis Love III, Vijay Singh, and Tiger Woods.

A second-shot course if there ever was one, players will be provided with a challenging test of patience, pitching wedges, and Poa putting. For those who played last week at Torrey Pines, the emphasis shifts from distance and long-iron play to short-iron precision on equally difficult greens. Since 2010, winning scores have averaged 18-under par.

Last year’s event was shortened to 54 holes due to persistent rain and high winds, and Wyndham Clark was declared the winner at -12. With warm days and no rainfall leading into this week’s tournament, expect both courses to play firm and fast.

The Field

In recent years, this tournament has struggled to attract an elite field. Things changed completely last year when it became a Signature event. This year, 27 of the world’s top 30 golfers are in attendance and will compete for the $3.6 million winner’s check (from a $20 million purse). The only players missing are world No. 2 Xander Schauffele (rib injury) and LIV golfers Tyrrell Hatton and Bryson DeChambeau.

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler makes his season debut following a holiday kitchen hand injury and No. 3 Rory McIlroy is in the field after starting his year in Dubai. Jordan Spieth is also making his first start after having surgery last August on his left wrist. He is in the field on a sponsor exemption, along with Rickie Fowler, Harry Hall, and Gary Woodland (who won the 2019 U.S. Open at Pebble). Past winners of this event who are participating this week include Justin Rose, Tom Hoge, Nick Taylor, and Spieth.

Past Winners & Odds

Most Important Stats For Success at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

*In order of importance

SG: APP
SG: Putting (Poa)
SG: Coastal Courses
Proximity 75-150 yds
SG: ARG/Scrambling
Good Drive %
SG: Short Courses
Par 5 Scoring
BoB%
Bogey Avoidance

Unique Rabbit Hole Filters

Course Region: West
Scoring Conditions: Average
Course Length: Short/Very Short
Course Type: Coastal
Field Size: Small Field
Event Season: West Coast
Greens Surface: Poa
Bunkers #: High
Greens Size: Small
OTT Club Type: Less Than Driver
Gain Approach: Very Difficult
Sand Saves: Difficult
Gain Putting: Very Difficult
Putting Inside 15 ft: Difficult
3-Putt AVD: Difficult

Weather Forecast – Pebble Beach, CA

AT&T Pebble Beach – Final Model

In each preview article and on Discord, I present my final model, which gives a detailed player ranking of the most important stats and splits for the week. My modeling is built around the PGA’s Strokes Gained data, which is divided into SG: Off the Tee (OTT), SG: Approach (APP), SG: Around the Green (ARG), and SG: Putting (P). Learn more about Strokes Gained and why it can be so useful in analyzing the past and predicting future performance. Many of these specific metrics and conditions can be found in “The Rabbit Hole“, with my final model exclusively published here and in the Discord for subscribers.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1BWDuZ1TDst18nsRvziJmiTjmq32bN_ESNyMGjUsijQA/edit?usp=sharing