2023 Wells Fargo Championship – Round 4 Betting and Showdown Picks

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Needless to say, I’m not sleeping too soundly on my 100-1 Wyndham Clark outright. Closing out a PGA Tour victory is hard. It’s even more difficult when it’s potentially your first win, and you have a historically dominant Sunday performer in Xander Schauffele on your heels only two shots back. As tremendous as he played on Saturday, the books reflect the uncertainty on Clark as he is a +100 favorite to Schauffele’s +165. Schauffele has gained an average of 2.27 strokes on the field in final rounds over the past year. That is the second-best mark in the world behind Tony Finau. When broadening that out to the last 50 Sundays, he is the best at 2.08 per round. The data and my gut say Schauffele pulls it out.

Weather Forecast – Charlotte, North Carolina

Looks like some moderate winds may finally show up on Sunday.

Showdown Wave Edge: None

Round 4 Betting Matchups Model

*Strokes Gained Rating (SG RTG) is the key metric that combines all the weighted categories in the model. Some players (or matchups) may not be listed due to not having enough sample size data.