2023 Open Championship – Round 4 Betting and Showdown Picks

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After dropping a couple of shots early in his round on Saturday, Brian Harman could have let the pressure of the moment derail his Open chances. Instead, he remained steady and unphased like always. After his bogey on the fourth hole, he bounced right back with a birdie on the par 5 5th, and after picking up his birdie putt out of the 14th hole, had a six-shot lead and was 2-under on the day, which is where he would finish. He is currently listed at -185 to win. There are a couple of strong-willed and elite chasers in Jon Rahm (+700) and Cameron Young (+750) with Viktor Hovland (+2200) and Tommy Fleetwood (+2500) still in the mix. But with a five-shot lead, it would take quite the collapse from Harman combined with a near-perfect round from one of the chasers.

Weather Forecast – Hoylake, England

The weather forecasting for this week has been awful. I’d monitor more tonight, but most likely just play the best plays, especially if you are playing Showdown.

Round 3 Betting Matchups Model

*Strokes Gained Rating (SG RTG) is the key metric that combines all the weighted categories in the model. Some players (or matchups) may not be listed due to not having enough sample size data.