2023 Honda Classic – Round 4 Betting and Showdown Picks

Top of the leaderboard SG per round on Sundays over the past year #HondaClassic

Chris Kirk -0.28
Eric Cole 0.65
Justin Suh -2.08
Shane Lowry 1.06
Ben Taylor -0.55
Byeong Hun An-0.23
Tyler Duncan -0.30
Cameron Percy1.56
Sepp Straka 0.88
Brice Garnett 0.60
Ben Martin-1.91
— Betsperts Golf (@BetspertsGolf) February 26, 2023

With a whole bunch of inexperienced and poor Sunday performers filling the top of the leaderboard heading into the final round of the Honda Classic, predicting who will come out on top is not an easy task. Veteran Chris Kirk carries a two-shot lead yet is only a +110 favorite with two PGA Tour rookies behind him. Even the books don’t wholly trust Kirk to pull this out after he has gone eight years since his last Tour victory, failing in plenty of Sunday chances along the way. While I’ll be rooting for Kirk thanks to my pretournament 33-1 ticket, I would put Shane Lowry as the favorite to win tomorrow. Lowry loves PGA National and has played in so many pressure-packed events in his career. I expect him to avoid any big mistakes, sink some huge birdie putts down the stretch, and rise to the occasion.

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Shane Lowry +650 (4 shots back, +1.70 ball-striking/rd)
Sepp Straka +5000 (6 shots back, +2.53 ball-striking/rd, streaky performer who can shoot a low number, defending champion)
Eric Cole +500 (2 shots back, +2.64 ball-striking/rd, Tour rookie is playing fearless with nothing to lose)

Weather Forecast – Palm Beach Gardens, Florida

Round 4 Betting Matchups Model

*Strokes Gained Rating (SG RTG) is the key metric that combines all the weighted categories in the model. Some players (or matchups) may not be listed due to not having enough sample size data.

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