Adam Hadwin shot the round of the day with a 4-under 66 at the first round of the 122nd U.S. Open. He gained 2.8 shots on approach and was equally as good around the greens when he had to scramble. Rory McIlroy was among a group of four other players who shot 67 and are one shot back. The course was as tough as advertised playing 2.76 shots over par. With winds forecast on Friday to be steady from 12-15 mph along with consistent gusts over 20 mph, the cut-line could approach five-over-par.
Numerous star players sit within three shots of the lead including Matt Fitzpatrick, Dustin Johnson, Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, Max Homa, Justin Thomas, and Will Zalatoris. The one name that stands out from a value perspective is Daniel Berger (+6600) who is four shots off the lead. He gained 1.7 strokes ball-striking today, and with winds increasing over the weekend, is one of the best “wind” players in the world.
Weather Forecast – Brookline, Massachusetts
Round 2 Betting Matchups Model
*Strokes Gained Rating (SG RTG) is the key metric that combines all the weighted categories in the model.
Round 2 Betting Selections
*Betting lines accurate at the time of publication.
MJ Daffue +119 (1u) over Yannik Paul and Maxwell Moldovan – PointsBet
Corey Conners -103 (1.1u) over Luke List and Austin Greaser – PointsBet
Jon Rahm -120 (1.2u) over Collin Morikawa and James Piot – BetMGM
Joseph Bramlett +150 (1u) over Chan Kim and Marcel Schneider – DraftKings
Sam Burns -110 (1.5u) over Patton Kizzire and Thomas Pieters – PointsBet
Round 2 DraftKings DFS Showdown Selections
*Weather and tee time impacts not included in model. Tee Times can be found here.
Core Plays
- Justin Thomas, $10,600
- Corey Conners, $7,600
- Tony Finau, $8,100
Top-Tier Plays
- Jon Rahm, $9,900
- Scottie Scheffler, $10,700
- Shane Lowry, $9,100
- Jordan Spieth, $9,000
- Will Zalatoris, $9,400
Mid-Tier Plays
- Sam Burns, $8,500
- Matt Fitzpatrick, $8,600
- Max Homa, $8,200
- Hideki Matsuyama, $8,300
- Joaquin Niemann, $8,800
Value Plays
- Daniel Berger, $7,800
- Tommy Fleetwood, $7,700
- Talor Gooch, $7,400
- Webb Simpson, $7,500
- Adam Hadwin, $7,300
- Bryson DeChambeau, $7,300
- Joel Dahmen, $6,800
- Alex Noren, $6,900
- Lanto Griffin, $7,200
- Joseph Bramlett, $6,600
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