Tony Finau caught fire in Saturday’s third round of the RBC Canadian Open shooting an 8-under 62 and shares the lead with defending champion Rory McIlroy who shot a 65 of his own. Justin Thomas (63) and Sam Burns (65) also shot low scores and are two shots back at 9-under. With the PGA Tour under threat from the rival LIV Tour, the star-studded leaderboard is just what was needed to get some of the attention back where it belongs heading into next week’s U.S. Open.
Players will go off in threesomes for tomorrow’s final round between 10:30 am-12:50 pm ET off of holes number one and nine. Weather does not look to play much of an impact with winds fairly consistent and light and a minor threat of some storms later in the day.
Weather Forecast – Etobicoke, Ontario
Reconstructed Leaderboard
*Based on the expected total for every golfer if they had putted to their two-year baseline on Bentgrass.
- Smalley -10.2
- Thomas -7.8
- Lowry -7.7
- Finau -7.0
- Knous -6.6
- Burns -6.2
- Grillo -6.0
- McIlroy -5.8
- Smith -5.3
- Varner -4.7
Round 4 Betting Matchups Model
*Strokes Gained Rating (SG RTG) is the key metric that combines all the weighted categories in the model.
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Round 4 Betting Selections
*Betting lines accurate at the time of publication.
Sebastian Munoz -115 (1.5u) over Jim Knous and Austin Cook – FanDuel
Corey Conners +110 (1u) over Scott Piercy and Nick Hardy – FanDuel
Scottie Scheffler -110 (1.1u) over Vincent Whaley and Sahith Theegala – BetMGM
Sam Burns +100 (1.3u) over Alex Smalley and Wyndham Clark – BetMGM
*Check the Discord for additional selections
Round 4 DraftKings DFS Showdown Selections
*Weather and tee time impacts not included in model. Tee Times can be found here.
Like always, with ownership likely being very high on the two leaders, I will be fading both Finau and McIlroy. I always play “chase pack” golfers who have high upside on Sunday Showdown because those are the players who will be more aggressive and take more chances, which is what you need to place high in these contests.
Core Plays
- Justin Thomas, $10,200
- Corey Conners, $9,300
- Danny Lee, $7,700
Top-Tier Plays
- Sam Burns, $9,800
- Shane Lowry, $9,500
- Cameron Smith, $9,600
- Scottie Scheffler, $9,800
Mid-Tier Plays
- Keith Mitchell, $9,000
- Adam Hadwin, $8,700
- Alex Smalley, $8,300
- Sebastian Munoz, $8,800
- Aaron Rai, $8,000
Value Plays
- Nick Taylor, $7,600
- Carlos Ortiz, $7,600
- Nick Hardy, $7,300
- Adam Svensson, $7,400
- Austin Smotherman , $7,400
- Ryan Armour, $7,400
- Vincent Whaley, $6,900
- Chase Seiffert, $7,300
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Photo by Minas Panagiotakis/Getty Images