2022 John Deere Classic Round 3 Betting and Showdown Picks

Reconstructed Leaderboard

*Based on the expected total for every golfer if they had putted to their two-year baseline. This is a great tool for finding players with value heading into the weekend.

  • J.T. Poston -11.7
  • Denny McCarthy -9.3
  • Chris Gotterup -8.9
  • Martin Trainer -7.9
  • Emiliano Grillo -7.8
  • Charles Howell III -7.7
  • Patton Kizzire -7.7
  • Cameron Davis -7.2
  • Seung-Yul Noh -7.1
  • Scott Stallings -6.9

Weather Forecast – Silvis, Illinois

Round 3 Betting Matchups Model

*Strokes Gained Rating (SG RTG) is the key metric that combines all the weighted categories in the model.

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Round 3 Betting Selections

*Betting lines accurate at the time of publication.

Chris Gotterup +105 (1u) over Matthias Schwab – BetMGM

Vaughn Taylor +100 (1u) over Kelly Kraft – BetMGM

Brendon Todd -120 (1.2u) over Hayden Buckley – BetMGM

Round 3 DraftKings DFS Showdown Selections

*Weather and tee time impacts not included in model. Tee Times can be found here.

Core Plays 

  • Maverick McNealy, $9,400
  • Christiaan Bezuidenhout, $8,700
  • Chris Gotterup, $8,200

Top-Tier Plays

  • Charles Howell III, $9,300
  • Scott Stallings, $9,500
  • Sahith Theegala, $9,800
  • Denny McCarthy, $10,200

Mid-Tier Plays

  • Brendon Todd, $8,300
  • Adam Long, $8,600
  • Kevin Streelman, $7,900
  • Patton Kizzire, $7,700
  • Cheng Tsung Pan, $8,000
  • Mark Hubbard, $8,200

Value Plays

  • Emiliano Grillo, $7,500
  • Zach Johnson, $7,300
  • Alex Smalley, $7,500
  • Ryan Moore, $7,200
  • Anirban Lahiri, $7,500
  • Andrew Putnam, $6,900
  • Aaron Baddeley, $6,900
  • Lee Hodges, $7,500
  • Stephan Jaeger, $7,400
  • Sam Ryder, $7,300

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Photo by Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images