2022 Fortinet Championship Round 4 Betting and Showdown Picks

Heading into a rain-soaked final round, tournament favorite Max Homa enters Sunday one shot behind leader Justin Lower who is 13-under par. 12 players are within four shots of the lead. None, however, can match Homa’s level of consistency and class. Yes, Danny Willett has a major to his name and is also one shot back, but Homa is the sole player that I am confident putting any money behind. And at odds of +225 (BetMGM) to win, it’s decent value as well. Along with the rainy and chilly conditions, winds are forecast to be gusty at times. A native of England, Willett does have the most experience playing in those types of conditions. The best current odds for him are +550 (FanDuel).

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Weather Forecast – Napa, California

Round 4 Betting Matchups Model

*Strokes Gained Rating (SG RTG) is the key metric that combines all the weighted categories in the model. Some players (or matchups) may not be listed due to not having enough sample size data. Some players didn’t finish their first round, thus leaving some of the player data incomplete.