2022 3M Open Round 2 Betting and Showdown Picks

Best Live Outright Adds

  • Tom Hoge – 2 shots back (+1800 FanDuel) – I took Hoge at +13000 pre-tournament so my pick is in, but he gained 5.8 on Approach and missed multiple easy putts; streaky and trending upward.
  • Jason Day – 5 shots back (+5000 BetRivers) – Gets to tee off early Friday with calmer winds; great sign gaining 1.9 on Approach; great wind player who could continue to climb the leaderboard with continued gusts thru the weekend.
  • Cameron Davis – 5 shots back (+3000 BetMGM) – Birdied 2 of last 3 holes in 1st round; gained 2.7 on Approach; lost with putter which is one of his strengths on bentgrass; also tees off early on Friday.

Weather Forecast – Blaine, MN

Similar to the first round, Friday sees the morning wave of golfers with mostly calm conditions. Winds increase around 1 PM but are only consistent in the 10-12 mph range. Today the morning wave had only a 0.34 stroke advantage. I would expect that to look very similar tomorrow.

Round 2 Betting Matchups Model

*Strokes Gained Rating (SG RTG) is the key metric that combines all the weighted categories in the model. Some players (or matchups) may not be listed due to not having enough sample size data.

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Round 2 Betting Selections

*Betting lines accurate at the time of publication.

Emiliano Grillo +110 (1u) over Nate Lashley and Ryan Brehm – DraftKings

Chris Gotterup +120 (1u) over Michael Gligic and Dawie van der Walt – DraftKings 

Nick Hardy -110 (1.1u) over Bo Hoag and Chris Naegel – DraftKings

C.T. Pan +110 (1u) over Sung Kang and Danny Willett – Caesars

Troy Merritt +141 (1u) over Garrick Higgo and Tyler Duncan – PointsBet

Round 2 DraftKings DFS Showdown Selections

Slight edge to the morning wave. Tee Times can be found here.

Core Plays

  • Tony Finau $10.1K
  • Cameron Davis $9.2K
  • Jason Day $8.0K

Upper Tier Plays

  • Davis Riley 9.4K
  • Adam Hadwin $9.3K
  • Brendan Steele $9.1K

Mid Range Plays

  • Adam Long $8.7K
  • Nick Hardy $8.3K
  • Chris Gotterup $8.2K
  • Matthew NeSmith $8.0K

Value Plays

  • Tom Hoge $7.6
  • Emiliano Grillo $7.7K
  • Troy Merritt $7.7K
  • Brendon Todd $7.8K
  • Matthias Schwab $7.4K
  • Hank Lebioda $7.2K
  • Brandon Hagy $6.8K
  • C.T. Pan $7.9K
  • Stewart Cink $7.4K
  • Patton Kizzire $7.3K
  • James Hahn $7.0K
  • Scott Piercy $7.0K

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Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images