Round 4 Model and Betting/DFS Picks – Corales Puntacana Championship

Compared to Friday, the top golfers in the model struggled in Saturday’s third round. Heading into Sunday, winds do not appear to have much impact on the action. Ben Martin has thus far managed to withstand charges up the leaderboard from numerous contenders and holds a two-shot lead over Chad Ramey. With both Martin and Ramey rarely ever being in this position on a Sunday, Jhonattan Vegas (+450), Thomas Detry (+1200) and Nate Lashley (+1400) all hold some value with their outright odds. Though Vegas is the most talented player, if I had to take the one with the most value, it would be Lashley who is four shots back. He is seventh in the field in ball-striking, has great course history here, and can get streaky hot with the putter.

Due to there being no Strokes Gained data, Driving Distance, Driving Accuracy and GIR% has been used to calculate Ball-Striking.

Round 4 Betting Picks

Nick Taylor +110 (1u) over Ryan Armour – FanDuel

Vincent Whaley +120 (1u) over Ben Kohles – FanDuel

Alex Smalley +110 (1u) over Brian Stuard – FanDuel

Rasmus Hojgaard -130 (1.3u) over Justin Lower – FanDuel

PARLAY +182 (1u) – Jhonattan Vegas -145 over Cameron Percy & Thomas Detry -150 over Martin Trainer – FanDuel

DraftKings Showdown Picks

Core Plays

  • Rasmus Hojgaard $8.6K
  • Jhonattan Vegas $10.8K
  • Jonathan Byrd $7.2K

Upper-Tier Plays

  • Nate Lashley $10.0K
  • Thomas Detry $10.2K
  • Alex Smalley $9.4K

Mid-Range Plays

  • Ben Martin $7.9K
  • Nick Taylor $8.9K
  • David Lipsky $8.4K
  • Hudson Swafford $7.8K
  • Vince Whaley $8.0K
  • Vaughn Taylor $7.9K

Value Plays

  • Cameron Percy $7.3K
  • Hank Lebioda $7.1K
  • Bo Hoag $6.4K
  • Wesley Bryan $7.1K
  • Ben Kohles $7.4K
  • Hayden Buckley $7.6K
  • Ryan Armour $7.6K
  • Rafael Campos $6.5K

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Featured Image Credit: Warren Little/Getty Images