There is no ShotLink data for two of the three courses this week so there will be no Strokes Gained charts for betting or Showdown. Round 4 starts on Sunday at 11:30 am ET.
f684b2f3d4218ee06dad551b3bb2074bJon Rahm is tied for the lead at 23-under with rookie Davis Thompson. The next closest competitors are four shots back in J.T. Poston and Christiaan Bezuidenhout. High-upside scorers Tom Kim, Sam Burns and Taylor Montgomery are five shots back. The history of Jon Rahm tells us that there is almost no chance he loses tomorrow. “But what about Collin Morikawa blowing a seven-shot lead just two weeks ago?” you might ask. Well, Jon Rahm is no Morikawa. And who was it that made the miraculous comeback? Jon Rahm. And as much as Davis Thompson has been unflappable in holding the overnight lead every single round of this tournament, he has never faced pressure as he will tomorrow. The bookmakers agree. The best odds you can get on Rahm tomorrow are -175.
Weather Forecast – La Quinta, California
Round 4 Betting Selections
- Head-to-head matchup bets have been slumping. I always prefer 3-balls because of the extra value. But this week, without complete Strokes Gained data, I have been relying more on past course performance than anything. And on a high-scoring course with tons of variance, seemingly favorable matchups are anything but. Thankfully, 3-balls are back for Round 4. Betting lines are accurate at the time of publication.
Si Woo Kim +125 (1u) over Erik van Rooyen and Garrick Higgo – FanDuel
Thomas Detry +160 (1u) over Scott Piercy and Stephan Jaeger – MGM
Sungjae Im +125 (1u) over Patton Kizzire and Chris Kirk – MGM
Tom Kim +110 (1u) over Harry Higgs and Christiaan Bezuidenhout – MGM
Round 4 DraftKings DFS Showdown Selections
Core Plays
- Tom Kim $9.0K
- Taylor Montgomery $8.9K
- Sam Burns $9.1K
Upper Tier Plays
- Jon Rahm 10.6K
- Tony Finau $9.2K
- Sungjae $9.8K
Mid Range Plays
- Adam Hadwin $7.9K
- Si Woo Kim $8.6K
- Tom Hoge $8.5K
- JT Poston $8.8K
- Andrew Putnam $8.0K
- Jason Day $8.4K
Value Plays
- Thomas Detry $7.3K
- Ben Griffin $7.0K
- Dean Burmester $7.6K
- Brendan Steele $7.3K
- Stephan Jaeger $7.3K
- Harry Hall $7.1K
- Joseph Bramlett $6.7K
- Garrick Higgo $6.7K
- Kevin Tway $6.2K
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