2022 Shriners Children’s Open – Round 3 Betting and Showdown Picks

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What an exciting weekend is ahead for the 2022 Shriners Children’s Open. There are 16 players within four shots of the lead including numerous favorites within striking distance. Because there are so many quality players with win equity at the top of the leaderboard, I believe it is pointless to promote any long shots. I’d say Matthew NeSmith at +4500 would be my top choice, but I would be very surprised if anyone won outside of the group of Mito Pereira, Tom Kim, Cam Davis, Patrick Cantlay, or Max Homa. Of course, with scoring this low, a surprising name could shoot a 60 tomorrow and propel themself right to the top. I just won’t be trying to guess who that is in such a wide-open event.

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Round 3 Betting Matchups Model

*Strokes Gained Rating (SG RTG) is the key metric that combines all the weighted categories in the model. Some players (or matchups) may not be listed due to not having enough sample size data.

Round 3 Betting Selections

*Betting lines are accurate at the time of publication. Check the Discord for more picks tonight.

Davis Thompson +150 (1u) over Patton Kizzire and Jim Herman – Caesars

Tom Hoge +140 (1u) over Martin Laird and Tano Goya – BetMGM

Taylor Pendrith +100 (1.5u) over Ryan Moore and Andrew Landry – Caesars

Taylor Montgomery +120 (1u) over Doug Ghim and Harry Hall – FanDuel

Round 3 DraftKings DFS Showdown Selections

Slight edge to the morning wave. Tee Times can be found here

Core Plays

  • Patrick Cantlay $10.7K
  • Brian Harman $8.3K
  • Matthew NeSmith $7.6K

Upper Tier Plays

  • Sungjae Im 10.3K
  • Taylor Montgomery $9.5K
  • Tom Kim $9.9K
  • Aaron Wise $9.7K

Mid Range Plays

  • Taylor Pendrith $8.9K
  • Cam Davis $9.3K
  • Tom Hoge $9.2K
  • Christiaan Bezuidenhout $8.1K
  • Adam Hadwin $8.0K

Value Plays

  • Mito Pereira $7.7K
  • Mark Hubbard $7.9K
  • Davis Thompson $7.3K
  • K.H. Lee $7.9K
  • Ben Griffin $6.4K
  • Jason Day $7.1K
  • J.J. Spaun $7.7K
  • Adam Schenk $7.1K
  • Kevin Streelman $7.3K
  • Patrick Rodgers $7.3K

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