2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Betting Preview

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The PGA Tour returns to California’s Pacific Coast, heading to the Monterey Bay Peninsula for the season’s first official Signature Event, contested across the iconic Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill.

Two years ago, the tournament introduced a series of structural changes that remain in place this year. The field was reduced to 80 players, with competition now split between just two courses. The first 36 holes are contested Thursday and Friday at Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill, with each PGA Tour professional paired alongside an amateur. There is no cut, and the final two rounds are played exclusively by the pros at Pebble Beach.

Though Spyglass is slightly more protected by trees, both courses sit exposed along the Pacific Coast, where rapidly changing weather can play a significant role in shaping the tournament. Beyond the coastal elements, Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill share several key similarities. Each ranks among the shortest courses on the PGA Tour at under 7,100 yards, and both feature some of the smallest greens on Tour. Pebble Beach, in particular, has the smallest greens, averaging just 3,500 square feet.

Agronomically, the courses are identical, with Poa annua and ryegrass blends in the fairways and rough, and pure Poa annua greens. While Spyglass Hill is scenic in its own right, Pebble Beach is the crown jewel of this tournament. The way the jagged coastline meets the cliffs is beyond words. It truly is the greatest meeting of land and sea in American golf. Said Jack Nicklaus, “If I had only one more round to play, I would choose to play at Pebble Beach. I loved this course from the first time I saw it. It’s possibly the best in the world.”

A second-shot course if there ever was one, players will be provided with a challenging test of patience, pitching wedges, and Poa putting. For the golfers who have played the last couple of weeks in Torrey Pines and Scottsdale, the emphasis shifts from distance and long-iron play to short-iron precision on very difficult green complexes.

Since 2010, winning scores have averaged 19-under par. Having hosted this event since 1947, past winners are a historical “who’s who” of golf including Ben Hogan, Byron Nelson, Billy Casper, Ken Venturi, Johnny Miller, Jack Nicklaus, Tom Watson, Davis Love III, Vijay Singh, Tiger Woods, and last year, Rory McIlroy.

The Field

It’s the strongest field of the year thus far with 27 of the top 30-ranked golfers in the world in attendance. The only players missing are Justin Thomas (injury), Patrick Reed (ineligible), and Bryson DeChambeau (LIV).

Rory McIlroy arrives for his first PGA event of the year, hoping to repeat as champion at Pebble Beach and claim the first signature event of the season. World No. 4 Tommy Fleetwood is also making his state-side debut fresh off his 2025 FedExCup title.

Both will have their work cut out for them as Scottie Scheffler comes in as the overwhelming favorite (+300) once again, having already proven he is in championship form by recently capturing the American Express and finishing T3 in Scottsdale last week.

Past Winners & Odds

Most Important Stats For Success at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

*In order of importance

SG: APP
SG: Putting (Poa)
SG: Coastal Courses
Proximity 50-150 yds
SG: ARG/Scrambling
Good Drive %
SG: Short Courses
Par 5 Scoring
BoB%
Bogey Avoidance

Unique Rabbit Hole Filters

Course Region: West
Scoring Conditions: Average
Course Length: Short/Very Short
Course Type: Coastal
Field Size: Small Field
Event Season: West Coast
Greens Surface: Poa
Bunkers #: High
Greens Size: Small
OTT Club Type: Less Than Driver
Gain Approach: Very Difficult
Sand Saves: Difficult
Gain Putting: Very Difficult
Putting Inside 15 ft: Difficult
3-Putt AVD: Difficult

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Final Model

In each preview article and on Discord, I present my final model, which gives a detailed player ranking of the most important stats and splits for the week. My modeling is based on the PGA’s Strokes Gained data, which is categorized into SG: Off the Tee (OTT), SG: Approach (APP), SG: Around the Green (ARG), and SG: Putting (P). Learn more about Strokes Gained and why it can be so useful in analyzing the past and predicting future performance. Many of these specific metrics and conditions can be found in “The Rabbit Hole“, with my final model exclusively published here and in the Discord for subscribers.