2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship – Betting Preview

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With only two events remaining in the “FedExCup Fall”, the Tour heads to the island of Bermuda for the seventh edition of the Bermuda Championship. Located on high ground overlooking the Atlantic Ocean on the western shore of Southampton Parish, Port Royal Golf Course is one of the world’s most scenic island courses. Known as one of Jack Nicklaus‘ all-time favorites, it is a government-run municipal course designed by Robert Trent Jones in 1970.

One of the shortest courses played in the PGA Tour’s annual rotation, it is characterized by its hilly terrain, challenging par-3s, and the seemingly ever-present threat of windy conditions on much of the course. It features one of the most dramatic holes on the PGA Tour, the 16th, a 230-yard par 3 perched on a clifftop ledge overlooking the Atlantic.

While any type of player can win here, past winners have included some of the best putters on the Tour, including the likes of Seamus Power, Lucas Herbert, Brendon Todd, and Brian Gay. Fairways are narrow, and wedge opportunities are plentiful. This leads to numerous short to mid-range birdie putts that players must consistently make to remain in contention.

Scoring has been as low as -24 both when Todd won in 2019 and in 2023 when Camilo Villegas emerged victorious. But the prevailing conditions of Bermuda often add volatility, making for an unpredictable week. This was the case in both 2020 and 2021 when Gay and Herbert won at only -15.

The Field

This week’s Bermuda Championship is critical for players hovering around the top 100 bubble, with those finishing inside that number securing PGA Tour cards for 2026. Golfers like Beau Hossler, Max McGreevy, David Lipsky, and Victor Perez are right on the bubble of that magic number in the standings. They, along with numerous other golfers in the field, will be hoping for a big performance this week.

In what is most likely the weakest field this year on the PGA Tour, Bank of Utah Championship winner Michael Brennan and Sam Stevens are the only two players in the field ranked among the top 50 in the world. Other notables include Sahith Theegala, Nico Echavarria, Thorbjorn Olesen, Matt Wallace, Luke Clanton, and Eric Cole. Past champions in the field include last year’s winner, Rafael Campos, Camilo Villegas, and Seamus Power.

Most Important Stats For Success at Port Royal GC

*In order of importance

SG: APP
SG: Coastal Courses/Windy Conditions
SG: Putting (Bermuda)
Driving Accuracy (DFEF)
Scrambling
Birdie or Better %
Bogeys Avoided
3-Putt AVD
SG: Weak Fields/Short Courses
Proximity 50-150 yds

Key Rabbit Hole Filters

Course Type: Coastal/Resort/Island
Scoring Conditions: Easy
Course Length: Very Short
Field Strength: Very Weak
Event Season: Fall
Water Danger: Low
Greens Surface: Bermuda
Greens Speed: Slow
Greens Size: Large
Rough Surface: Bermuda
Rough Length: Short
OTT Club Type: Less than Driver
Gain OTT: Difficult
Gain APP: Easy
3-Putt AVD: Difficult
Par 3 Scoring: Difficult

Bermuda Championship – Final Model

In each preview article and on Discord, I present my final model, which gives a detailed player ranking of the most important stats and splits for the week. My modeling is based on the PGA’s Strokes Gained data, which is categorized into SG: Off the Tee (OTT), SG: Approach (APP), SG: Around the Green (ARG), and SG: Putting (P). Learn more about Strokes Gained and why it can be so useful in analyzing the past and predicting future performance. Many of these specific metrics and conditions can be found in “The Rabbit Hole“, with my final model exclusively published here and in the Discord for subscribers.