2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Picks | Fantasy Golf Picks

2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Picks

Pat Mayo and Keith Stewart get into the 2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Picks, Bets & Fantasy Golf Preview. Plus a recap of the WWT, LPGA and DP World Tour. Plus, a research session with Mayo using the Rabbit Hole Tool power by Betsperts Golf.

 

Quick Bets (FINAL CARD)
First Round Leader
  • Putnam +8000
  • Manassero +10000
  • Peterson +11000
  • Streb +27500 (With 5 Places)
LPGA

Green +3300

2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Info

  • Course: Port Royal Golf Course
  • Yardage: 6,828
  • Par: 71
  • Greens: Bermuda
  • Average Green Size: 8,000 sq. ft.
  • Number of Sand Bunkers: 87
  • Number of Holes Water is in Play: 7
  • Cutline: Top 65 and Ties
  • Field: 120 Players
  • Defending Champ: Rafael Campos

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2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Past Winners

2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Stat Rankings

✅ Accurate from 100–150 yards
✅ Elite Putting and/or Short Game
✅ Able to Manage Conditions
✅ Scoring on Par 4s
✅ Low flighted ball
✅ Doesn’t need distance

This week isn’t about carrying bunkers — it’s about sticking wedges and surviving wind gusts.

You can access my exact filters (and modify for yourself) for this precision model, which is available under the “Expert Rankings” tab inside the Rabbit Hole.

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2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Overview

Port Royal is a precision competition: Point, shoot, and putt. Playing just 6,828 yards, all players, regardless of distance, are live to win. That brings in a bunch of old guys, too: Flat Stick extraordinaire Brian Gay won this event five years ago at age 47. How? He made every putt. Even accuracy off the tee, while always helpful, isn’t even necessarily required because of the short rough. Much like Waialae in that sense. Expect players not to even have to hit the driver at Port Royal if they’re not feeling it.

The main defenses of the course will be the bunkers guarding the green, elevation changes, but mainly, the dramatic wind that can swirl off the coast. Sitting directly on the Atlantic, the wind gusts and throws off the yardage management into the large greens. After reviewing the wind-affected rounds from the past three years, the main impact of the wind will actually be on the greens. The amount of short, missed putts in the final round in 2024 was staggering at the top of the leaderboard. Yes, nerves almost certainly played a factor with so many players looking for a first win on TOUR, but still, you just don’t see so many three putts from inside 3-feet anywhere — Maybe Riviera or Torrey Pines? Because of the sheer size and amount of undulations, short downhill putts can be death if not hit exactly right.

If you get to watch this event at all, pay attention to hole 16. It’s a beautiful, downhill 235-yard Par 3, situated directly on the ocean cliffs, with swirling. Very Scenic. Quite difficult. It’s the toughest hole on the course with a bogey or worse rate over 30%.

No. 16 Cliff Notes

  • Bogey or worse rate: 31%+
  • Cliffside Outcomes: The Ocean
  • Beauty: Very High
  • Terror level: Higher

2026 ONE AND DONE CONTEST

As a heads up, the Race for the Mayo Cup 2026 is OPEN FOR BUSINESS!!!!!! It starts in January per usual, but there’s now $1.2M guaranteed in the prize pool. The top 750 get paid, and just look at this glorious, flat payout structure. Everyone inside the Top 20 will win at least $10,000 with $110,000 to the winner.

The Sentry has been cancelled this year, so there won’t be a tournament to remind you to sign up for the following week. So, just reserve your spot right now as not to forget.

Tambo and I always mention how we get our dad’s entries for Christmas (since buying for a Dad is basically impossible), I highly recomend that move.

JOIN THE MAYO CUP ONE & DONE CONTEST

2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Course Breakdown: Port Royal Golf Course

The Butterfield Bermuda Championship returns to Port Royal Golf Course in Southampton — a 6,828-yard, Par 71 track that rewards control over chaos.

  • Bermuda grass greens (8,000 sq ft average)
  • 87 bunkers
  • 7 holes with water in play — mostly the ocean
  • Wind exposure: relentless

This is not a bomber’s paradise. It’s a target golf test where precision, spin control, and putting on grainy Bermuda dictate who contends.

🌬️ The Wind Is Everything

Port Royal is short, but it punches way above its weight when the gusts start swirling.

One round, you’re hitting wedges tight; the next, you’re three-putting from two feet. Greens that roll slowly in calm air can turn lightning-fast in the wind, especially if you’re putting from above the hole

2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Fantasy Values

The majority of scoring shots fall in that 100–150 window. If you’re not crisp with wedges, you’re toast.

After weighing those key areas (with a focus on wedges and putting), the numbers pointed to a few players who consistently stand out as course fits to deploy in DFS and Fantasy Golf for a value.

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Matt Kuchar – Fresh off his third consecutive Top 20 (in three starts) in the swing season, Kuch has picked up strokes on the green in five of six starts overall and is lethal on Bermuda. Kuchar has gained +0.34 SG: PUTT/Round on Bermuda greens over his past 200 rounds.

Data-wise, everything screams “Kuchar week.” He’s green across every key wedge range — 100 to 150 yards, 50 to 100 yards — and still one of the best long-term Bermuda putters in the field. He topped the stat rankings and rates out as the ideal prototype for Port Royal: Accurate, flights wedges, and doesn’t melt when the gusts pick up. If you want the safest profile in this field, it’s Kuchar. It’s a classic Kuchar setup. Like Mayakoba or Sony — hit it to 15 feet and make a bunch of birdies and be able to scramble out of jail if things go awry.

Eric Cole – Cole is sneaky-elite with wedges, and when the putter heats up, he can post something low. Come to think of it, it’s not that sneaky. Elite, though. He closed with five straight birdies to grind out a Top 10 in Mexico, his second Top 10 in three starts. He’s got the combo I want — good from 100–150, can get streaky with the flat stick, and doesn’t beat himself.

David Lipsky – Underrated in these technical setups. Strong wind player, precise with his wedges, and enters his very consistent form: Lipsky has made nine of his past 10 cuts. Can he putt? No. So that’s always an issue.

Paul Peterson – Peterson has been brutal since mid-July. Hence why he’s been relegated to the “Are we sure these aren’t made-up names” tier of the Fantasy pricing and odds board. Yet, if he plays to his long-term baseline skills, Peterson’s the exact type of guy you want on this track. He’s solid across every relevant stat — Par 4 scoring, wedge play, putting. He rates 8th in my specific data point, which are most relevant to Port Royal, which shouldn’t be THAT surprising. Peterson doesn’t gain strokes with power; he gains them with precision. That plays here.

Of Note: My data inputs really avoided almost all areas where Peterson struggles. While off the tee and distance isn’t all that important in Bermuda, Peterson’s been so bad that he could limit his upside on Par 5s or simply drive himself out of the tournament. Hence why he’s with the specials.

Justin Lower – Lower’s stats don’t leap off the screen, but his game fits this course like a glove. Above average accuracy, smart decision-making, plus, he putts, he chips, and he’s never finished outside the Top 20 in four starts at Port Royal.

Brandt Snedeker – Yeah, I’m going back to Sneds. Missed the cut by one last week, but the putter’s still elite, and that’s what wins here. His wedges have been a bit off, but he’s always been an excellent wind player. He’s back in the triple-digits on the betting board, so I feel comfortable wasting that cash. And the spike performance is live, in his past five starts, he’s gone MC/T19/MC/T9/MC. Fingers crossed he can be the Brian Gay of 2025.