2024 Sanderson Farms Championship – Betting Preview

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After a couple of weeks off, including last week’s American victory at the Presidents Cup, the PGA Tour returns to stroke play competition for the second event of the FedExCup Fall “Swing Season” in Jackson, Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Championship.

Played at the Country Club of Jackson for the 11th consecutive year, it is a relatively long and straightforward tree-lined parkland course. Golfers who have added length off the tee and can get hot with the putter on the fast Bermuda greens will have a definite advantage. With minimal hazards and non-penal rough, scores have averaged 19-under par over the last five events.

The Field

As is typical for fall events in the Swing season, the field for the Sanderson Farms is quite weak. Rickie Fowler and Nick Dunlap might be the closest examples to “headline” players in this field. The highest-ranked player in the field is Dunlap who is 35th in the world. Beyond him, the next highest-ranked golfers are Eric Cole (54th) and Stephan Jaeger (59th). Six of the last ten winners at this event have been first-time winners on the PGA Tour.

Beyond Cole and Jaeger, there is some depth in the mid-tier with the likes of Daniel Berger, Harris English, Ryan Fox, Ben Griffin, Emiliano Grillo, Maverick McNealy, Keith Mitchell, Seamus Power, Patrick Rodgers, and Adam Svensson. Last year’s winner, Luke List returns to defend his crown, as do other past winners including Cameron Champ, Mackenzie Hughes, Ryan Armour, Peter Malnati and Cody Gribble. There are three golfers in the field with home ties to Mississippi including Davis Riley, Chad Ramey, and Hayden Buckley.

Most Important Stats For Success at the Country Club of Jackson

*In order of importance

SG: Approach
Birdie or Better %
SG: Putting (Bermuda)
Driving Distance
Par 5 Scoring
Proximity: 100-150
SG: Easy Scoring Courses
Proximity: 200+
Scoring Chances Gained
SG: ARG

Sanderson Farms Championship – Final Model

In each preview article and on Discord, I present my final model, which gives a detailed player ranking of the most important stats and splits for the week. My modeling is built around the PGA’s Strokes Gained data, which is divided into SG: Off the Tee (OTT), SG: Approach (APP), SG: Around the Green (ARG), and SG: Putting (P). Learn more about Strokes Gained and why it can be so useful in analyzing the past and predicting future performance. Many of these specific metrics and conditions can be found in “The Rabbit Hole“, with my final model exclusively published here and in the Discord for subscribers.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1p3kiuMAUn2lXV2ppwxyC9shR7MNdtTk-LtwwjbIJliA/edit?usp=sharing