We’ve partnered with Underdog Fantasy and their top-notch Pick ’em platform! Each week, prior to Round 1, I’ll give you my thoughts on the top plays on the board. We also have a Discord channel devoted to Underdog Pick ’em plays as the tournament progresses, so remember to join and turn notifications on!
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For our Betspert Golf subscribers, we have an exciting tool in the works that’ll revolutionize your game! This tool will help highlight the top plays for each round based on our expert projections. We’ll have more information on that in the coming weeks, so keep an eye out for this game-changing feature!
Underdog Fantasy does a great job of giving us so many different offerings to choose from. From round score to fairways hit, fantasy points to greens in regulation, their offerings are unmatched in the industry.
John Deere Classic Underdog Plays – Round 1
With slightly wider than average fairways and a handful of doglegs that force less-than-driver off the tee, TPC Deere Run has a fairway hit rate about 6% higher than the average Tour event. With that said, the fine folks at Underdog Fantasy are aware of this and have adjusted for it across the board. Still, some of the field’s more accurate drivers should still flourish, while other less accurate drivers are getting their line driven up based on the overall baseline expectation.
I used the Rabbit Hole to create a driving accuracy model, accounting for short and long-term driving accuracy results along with how each golfer has fared when playing on courses with a high rough penalty.
Balancing out our slip with both HIGHER and LOWER options helps because we get taxed on correlation if we just use one side of one stat. Feel free to mix and match.
